Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran’\u0131n \u201cmali olarak \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc\u201d iddia ederek, Washington’\u0131n \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 deniz ablukas\u0131 nedeniyle \u00fclkenin her g\u00fcn milyonlarca dolar kaybetti\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n
Trump, Sal\u0131 gecesi Truth Social platformundaki bir payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda \u015funlar\u0131 yazd\u0131: \u201c\u0130ran mali olarak \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcyor! H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n derhal a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyorlar \u2013 Nakit s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7ekiyorlar! G\u00fcnde 500 milyon dolar kaybediyorlar. Ordu ve Polis maa\u015f alamamaktan \u015fikayet\u00e7i. SOS!!!\u201d<\/p>\n
ABD’nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ablukas\u0131 13 Nisan GMT saatiyle 14:00’te ba\u015flad\u0131. O zamandan beri ABD, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda \u0130ran band\u0131ral\u0131 bir tankere ate\u015f a\u00e7\u0131p el koydu ve a\u00e7\u0131k denizlerde \u0130ran’a veya \u0130ran’dan kargo ta\u015f\u0131yan gemileri y\u00f6nlendirdi. \u0130ran silahl\u0131 kuvvetleri bunu \u201cyasa d\u0131\u015f\u0131 bir eylem\u201d ve \u201ckorsanl\u0131k\u201d olarak nitelendirdi.<\/p>\n
ABD’nin deniz ablukas\u0131na yan\u0131t olarak \u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 t\u00fcm yabanc\u0131 gemi trafi\u011fine kapatt\u0131 ve yabanc\u0131 band\u0131ral\u0131 bir\u00e7ok gemiyi ele ge\u00e7irdi. Daha \u00f6nce, \u0130ran’a \u201cdost\u201d kabul edilen baz\u0131 gemilerin ge\u00e7i\u015fine izin veriyordu.<\/p>\n
19 Nisan’da \u0130ran Birinci Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Mohammad Reza Aref, \u201cH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n g\u00fcvenli\u011fi bedava de\u011fil\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
X’teki bir payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda, \u201c\u0130ran’\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlarken, ba\u015fkalar\u0131 i\u00e7in bedava g\u00fcvenlik bekleyemezsiniz\u201d diye yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6zlerine ekledi: \u201cSe\u00e7im a\u00e7\u0131k: ya herkes i\u00e7in serbest bir petrol piyasas\u0131, ya da herkes i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli maliyet riskleri. K\u00fcresel yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131ndaki istikrar, \u0130ran ve m\u00fcttefiklerine y\u00f6nelik ekonomik ve askeri bask\u0131n\u0131n garantili ve kal\u0131c\u0131 bir \u015fekilde sona ermesine ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n
Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc sosyal medyada yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u0130ran parlamento ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerindeki ba\u015f m\u00fczakereci Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, tam bir ate\u015fkesin ancak ABD deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131yla m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olabilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Analistler, ablukan\u0131n \u0130ran’a zarar verdi\u011fini ancak \u00fclkenin buna dayanacak ekonomik ve siyasi iradeye sahip oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
Deniz ablukas\u0131na \u0130ran ne kadar dayanabilir?<\/p>\n
\u0130lgi alanlar\u0131n\u0131za g\u00f6re an\u0131nda uyar\u0131lar ve g\u00fcncellemeler al\u0131n. B\u00fcy\u00fck olaylar oldu\u011funda ilk siz haberdar olun.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015fte bildiklerimiz:<\/p>\n
Deniz ablukas\u0131 \u0130ran’a nas\u0131l zarar veriyor?<\/p>\n
\u0130ran, petrol, gaz ve petrokimya, plastik ve tar\u0131m \u00fcr\u00fcnleri dahil di\u011fer mallar\u0131 deniz yoluyla ihra\u00e7 ediyor. Analistler, ABD’nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 dahil limanlar\u0131na uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131n bu ticareti etkileyebilece\u011fini belirtiyor.<\/p>\n
ABD-\u0130srail’in 28 \u015eubat’ta \u0130ran’a kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre sonra, Tahran’daki yetkililer, K\u00f6rfez’den tek su yolu olan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n fiili olarak kapat\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 uygulad\u0131. Bar\u0131\u015f zaman\u0131nda d\u00fcnya petrol ve s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011fal gaz (LNG) tedarikinin y\u00fczde 20’si K\u00f6rfez \u00fcreticilerinden bu bo\u011fazdan sevk ediliyordu.<\/p>\n
Bu hayati ge\u00e7i\u015f noktas\u0131n\u0131n neredeyse kapanmas\u0131, k\u00fcresel petrol ve gaz fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 f\u0131rlatt\u0131 ve o zamandan beri \u0130ran bo\u011faz\u0131 kontrol ediyor. Ancak kendi enerji \u00fcr\u00fcnlerini bu su yoluyla ihra\u00e7 etmeye devam etti.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran’\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrol ihracat\u0131, toplam petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k y\u00fczde 80’ini olu\u015fturuyor. Ticaret istihbarat firmas\u0131 Kpler’e g\u00f6re, \u0130ran Mart ay\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1.84 milyon varil (bpd) ham petrol ihra\u00e7 etti ve Nisan ay\u0131nda \u015fu ana kadar g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1.71 milyon varil sevk etti; bu, 2025’teki ortalama g\u00fcnl\u00fck 1.68 milyon varil ile kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131labilir.<\/p>\n
15 Mart’tan 14 Nisan’a kadar 55.22 milyon varil petrol ihra\u00e7 etti. \u0130ran petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn varil fiyat\u0131 \u2013 \u0130ran hafif, \u0130ran a\u011f\u0131r ve Forozan kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131 olarak bilinen \u00fc\u00e7 ana varyant\u0131nda \u2013 ge\u00e7en ay varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90 dolar\u0131n alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmedi. Bir\u00e7ok g\u00fcn fiyat varil ba\u015f\u0131na 100 dolar\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n
Varil ba\u015f\u0131na 90 dolarl\u0131k muhafazakar bir tahminle bile, \u0130ran ge\u00e7en ay devam eden petrol ihracat\u0131ndan en az 4.97 milyar dolar kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n
Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, sava\u015f ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nceki \u015eubat ba\u015f\u0131nda, \u0130ran ham petrol ihracat\u0131ndan g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 115 milyon dolar, yani ayda 3.45 milyar dolar kazan\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n
Basit\u00e7e s\u00f6ylemek gerekirse, \u0130ran ge\u00e7en ay petrol ihracat\u0131ndan sava\u015f \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re y\u00fczde 40 daha fazla kazand\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bunu durdurmak, ABD’nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131n temel motivasyonlar\u0131ndan biridir.<\/p>\n
Frederic Schneider, K\u00fcresel \u0130li\u015fkiler Orta Do\u011fu Konseyi’nde yerle\u015fik olmayan k\u0131demli bir ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131 olarak 14 Nisan’da Al Jazeera’ye verdi\u011fi r\u00f6portajda, \u00f6nceki alt\u0131 haftan\u0131n petrol gelirleri a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u0130ran i\u00e7in bir nimet oldu\u011funu, ancak ABD ablukas\u0131yla bunun de\u011fi\u015fece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\u201c\u0130ran’\u0131n y\u00fczen tanklarda, yani park edilmi\u015f tankerlerde yakla\u015f\u0131k 127 milyon varil olarak tahmin edilen ham petrol rezervleri \u015feklinde bir tamponu var. Ancak bu, ablukan\u0131n \u0130ran’a zarar vermeyece\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmez\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Schneider, Al Jazeera’ye \u0130ran’\u0131n \u201cdaha uzun bir oyun oynuyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc\u201d ve bu t\u00fcr bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 bir dereceye kadar \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcp haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\u201cDeniz ablukas\u0131, uluslararas\u0131 sularda bir\u00e7ok sivil geminin ele ge\u00e7irilmesiyle ekonomik gerilimi art\u0131rd\u0131. Ancak ablukan\u0131n ne kadar s\u0131k\u0131 oldu\u011fu, \u00f6nemli miktarda y\u00fczen \u0130ran petrol\u00fc g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda ka\u00e7 geminin ge\u00e7meyi ba\u015fard\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Trump’\u0131n ablukay\u0131 ne kadar s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilece\u011fi belirsizli\u011fini koruyor\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
ABD ablukay\u0131 uzun s\u00fcre s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilir mi?<\/p>\n
Schneider, Trump’\u0131n 1 May\u0131s’a kadar, kongre onay\u0131 olmadan yabanc\u0131 bir sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilece\u011fi 60 g\u00fcnl\u00fck s\u00fcrenin sona ermesiyle yasal bir zorlukla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
Ablukay\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcren gemilerde zorlu ko\u015fullar\u0131n rapor edildi\u011fini s\u00f6yleyen Schneider, \u00c7in’in kendi kargosunu ta\u015f\u0131yan gemilerin s\u00fcrekli ele ge\u00e7irilmesine nas\u0131l tepki verece\u011finin hen\u00fcz belli olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekledi.<\/p>\n
\u201c\u00c7in, \u0130ran ile \u00c7in ticaretinin ablukas\u0131n\u0131 kabul edilemez buldu\u011funu zaten belirtti. Ayr\u0131ca, \u0130ran’\u0131n misilleme olarak H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’\u00fc kapatmas\u0131, ABD’nin kendisi kadar olmasa da, b\u00f6lgedeki ve k\u00fcresel \u00e7aptaki Amerikan m\u00fcttefiklerine zarar veriyor ve Trump \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131yor\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6zlerine ekledi: \u201c\u0130ki taraf\u0131n davran\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan bir \u015fey \u00e7\u0131karabilirsek, sab\u0131r sinyali veren \u0130ran ve sab\u0131rs\u0131zl\u0131k g\u00f6steren Trump’t\u0131r.\u201d<\/p>\n
Bahreyn eski ABD b\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isi Adam Ereli, Al Jazeera’nin \u201cThis is America\u201d program\u0131na verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, ABD’nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ablukan\u0131n ve \u0130ran petrol\u00fc ta\u015f\u0131yan gemilere el koymas\u0131n\u0131n bir politika olarak \u201cmant\u0131kl\u0131\u201d olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, ABD’deki i\u00e7 siyasi m\u00fclahazalar nedeniyle ama\u00e7land\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi i\u015flemeyebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Ereli, Al Jazeera’ye verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, \u201c\u0130ranl\u0131lar buna, bu olas\u0131l\u0131\u011fa haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015f durumdalar. Kendi planlar\u0131 var. Petrol depolamak veya satmak i\u00e7in alternatif yollar\u0131 var\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
\u201cPetrol bitse bile, \u00e7ok zorlu bir abluka ve yapt\u0131r\u0131m rejiminden sa\u011f \u00e7\u0131kman\u0131n yollar\u0131 var ki, a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7as\u0131, bunun Trump’\u0131n sabr\u0131ndan ve Amerikan halk\u0131n\u0131n sabr\u0131ndan daha uzun s\u00fcrece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6zlerine ekledi: \u201cUnutmay\u0131n, bu sadece harita \u00fczerinde askerleri, gemileri ve u\u00e7aklar\u0131 hareket ettirmekle ilgili de\u011fil. Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri’nde siyaset de i\u015fin i\u00e7inde.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u201cTrump siyasi r\u00fczgarlara duyarl\u0131 olmaktan ba\u015fka bir \u015fey de\u011fildir. Ve bu nedenle, bir yanda \u0130ran stratejisi, di\u011fer yanda ise bir se\u00e7im stratejisi ile kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131yas\u0131n\u0131z ve bu y\u00fczden soru \u015fu: hangisi pes edecek?\u201d<\/p>\n
\u0130ran bu arada ABD’nin ablukaya ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrol\u00fc depolayabilir mi?<\/p>\n
FGE Energy dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k \u015firketine g\u00f6re, \u0130ran’\u0131n yerel rafinerilerinin kapasitesi g\u00fcnl\u00fck 2.6 milyon varil (bpd). Petrol ve gaz \u00fcretim tesisleri g\u00fcneybat\u0131 eyaletlerinde yo\u011funla\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r: petrol i\u00e7in Huzistan ve G\u00fcney Pars gaz sahas\u0131ndan gaz ve kondensat i\u00e7in Bu\u015fehr.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran ayn\u0131 zamanda Petrol \u0130hra\u00e7 Eden \u00dclkeler \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc (OPEC) i\u00e7inde \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc en b\u00fcy\u00fck petrol \u00fcreticisidir ve ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn y\u00fczde 90’\u0131n\u0131 H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden sevkiyat i\u00e7in Harg Adas\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla ihra\u00e7 etmektedir.<\/p>\n
Deniz istihbarat ajans\u0131 TankerTrackers’a g\u00f6re, ABD deniz ablukas\u0131 \u00fclkenin depolama kapasitesini etkilemeye ba\u015flad\u0131. Abluka, \u0130ran’\u0131n daha fazla petrol depolamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor ve alan s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 ya\u015fanabilir.<\/p>\n
TankerTrackers, Harg Adas\u0131’nda petrol depolama alan\u0131n\u0131n t\u00fckenme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na haz\u0131rlanmak i\u00e7in \u0130ran’\u0131n NASHA (9079107) adl\u0131 eski bir tankeri yeniden hizmete soktu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n
TankerTrackers, X’teki bir g\u00f6nderisinde, \u201cO, son birka\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r bo\u015f demirlemi\u015f 30 ya\u015f\u0131ndaki bir VLCC [\u00c7ok B\u00fcy\u00fck Ham Petrol Tankeri]; \u015fu anda 1.5-2 g\u00fcn s\u00fcrmesi gereken bir yolculukta 4 g\u00fcn harc\u0131yor\u201d diyerek tankerin petrol depolamak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Geminin bir rotas\u0131 veya seyir y\u00f6n\u00fc olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirsiz.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran petrolden gelir elde etmeye devam edebilir mi?<\/p>\n
Evet, analistler, birka\u00e7 ay boyunca \u0130ran’\u0131n denizde transit halindeki petrolden gelir elde etmeye devam edebilece\u011fini s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Washington DC’deki Kongre Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Servisi’nin eski \u0130ran analisti Kenneth Katzman, ABD’nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 abluka s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u0130ran’\u0131n yeni petrol ihra\u00e7 etmedi\u011fini, ancak Tahran’\u0131n \u015fu anda d\u00fcnya genelindeki gemilerde \u201cy\u00fczer halde\u201d 160 milyon ila 170 milyon varil petrol\u00fc bulundu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Katzman, Al Jazeera’ye verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, ABD ablukas\u0131 uygulanmadan \u00f6nce H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’ndan ge\u00e7en bu tedariklerin y\u00fczlerce tankerde bulundu\u011funu ve \u201cteslim edilmeyi bekledi\u011fini\u201d belirtti.<\/p>\n
Katzman, \u0130ranl\u0131 bir profes\u00f6r taraf\u0131ndan, bu tedariklere dayanarak Tahran’\u0131n ABD deniz ablukas\u0131na ra\u011fmen A\u011fustos ay\u0131na kadar gelir ak\u0131\u015f\u0131na sahip olabilece\u011fi konusunda bilgilendirildi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
\u201cBu uzun bir s\u00fcre. Ba\u015fkan Trump’\u0131n A\u011fustos’a kadar zaman\u0131 var m\u0131? Muhtemelen yok\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
\u201cMuhtemelen bunu istedi\u011fi sonuca ula\u015ft\u0131rmak istiyorsa kinetik bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fa bakmak zorunda kalacak, ya da ideal olarak istedi\u011fi anla\u015fmadan daha az\u0131n\u0131 kabul etmek zorunda kalacak\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran gemileri, ABD Donanmas\u0131’n\u0131n son zamanlarda \u0130ran kargolar\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan gemileri de durdurmas\u0131 nedeniyle a\u00e7\u0131k okyanusta ABD sava\u015f gemilerinden ka\u00e7\u0131nmak zorunda kalacak.<\/p>\n
\u00d6rne\u011fin, bu hafta \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc, Reuters’in bildirdi\u011fine g\u00f6re, ABD ordusu Asya sular\u0131nda en az \u00fc\u00e7 \u0130ran band\u0131ral\u0131 tankere el koydu ve bunlar\u0131n Hindistan, Malezya ve Sri Lanka yak\u0131nlar\u0131ndaki konumlar\u0131ndan uzakla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtildi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran ba\u015fka nas\u0131l gelir elde edebilir?<\/p>\n
Petrol gelirlerinin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, \u0130ran \u015fu anda \u00fclkenin Mart ay\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’na uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir \u201cge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti\u201d sisteminden de gelir elde ediyor.<\/p>\n
Yar\u0131 resmi Tasnim haber ajans\u0131na g\u00f6re, Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ran parlamento ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Hamidreza Haji-Babaei, Tahran’\u0131n merkez bankas\u0131n\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana uygulanan ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccretlerinden ilk gelirleri ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Bu ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti gelirinin ne kadar oldu\u011fu belirsiz.<\/p>\n
\u0130ranl\u0131 siyaset\u00e7i Alaeddin Boroujerdi, Mart ay\u0131nda Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k merkezli, Fars\u00e7a yay\u0131n yapan uydu televizyon kanal\u0131 Iran International’a verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, \u00fclkenin baz\u0131 gemilerden bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7i\u015f i\u00e7in 2 milyon dolara kadar \u00fccret ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Denizcilik haber kurulu\u015fu Lloyd’s List’e g\u00f6re, \u015fu ana kadar bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7en en az iki gemi, \u00c7in para birimi yuan cinsinden \u00fccret \u00f6dedi. Lloyd’s List, bir \u201cge\u00e7i\u015fin, \u0130ran makamlar\u0131na \u00f6demeyi de yapan arac\u0131 bir \u00c7in denizcilik hizmetleri \u015firketi taraf\u0131ndan sa\u011fland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d bildirdi. Ancak gemilerin ne kadar \u00f6dedi\u011fi belli de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran liderli\u011fi ne kadar diren\u00e7li?<\/p>\n
Son g\u00fcnlerde, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran’\u0131 ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131 m\u00fczakere etmeye zorlarken, \u0130ranl\u0131lar\u0131n \u201cliderlerinin kim oldu\u011funu anlamakta \u00e7ok zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d iddia ederek, Tahran’da \u201c\u0131l\u0131ml\u0131lar\u201d ve \u201cmuhafazakarlar\u201d aras\u0131nda \u201c\u00e7\u0131lg\u0131n\u201d bir i\u00e7 \u00e7eki\u015fme oldu\u011funu \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Ancak \u00fclkenin yetkilileri, \u0130ran h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin birle\u015fik oldu\u011fu konusunda \u0131srar etti.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran Birinci Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Mohammad Reza Aref Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cSiyasi \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fimiz demokrasimizdir, ancak tehlike zamanlar\u0131nda tek bir bayrak alt\u0131nda ‘Tek El’iz. Topra\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ve onurumuzu korumak i\u00e7in t\u00fcm etiketleri a\u015far\u0131z. Biz tek ruh, tek milletiz.\u201d<\/p>\n
D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Abbas Araghchi de \u0130ran ordusunun siyasi liderlikle \u00e7eli\u015fti\u011fi iddialar\u0131n\u0131 reddetti.<\/p>\n
X’te yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131mda, \u0130srail’in son haftalarda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fi \u0130ranl\u0131 siyasi ve askeri fig\u00fcr suikastlar\u0131na at\u0131fta bulunarak, \u201c\u0130srail’in ter\u00f6r cinayetlerinin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131, \u0130ran’\u0131n devlet kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n birlik, ama\u00e7 ve disiplinle hareket etmeye devam etmesinde yans\u0131maktad\u0131r\u201d diye yazd\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u201cSava\u015f alan\u0131 ve diplomasi, ayn\u0131 sava\u015fta tamamen koordine edilmi\u015f cephelerdir. \u0130ranl\u0131lar her zamankinden daha fazla birle\u015fmi\u015f durumdalar.\u201d<\/p>\n
En g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc birlik mesajlar\u0131ndan biri \u0130ran Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Masoud Pezeshkian’dan geldi.<\/p>\n
X’te, \u201c\u0130ran’da radikaller veya \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131lar yoktur\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
\u201cHepimiz \u0130ranl\u0131 ve devrimciyiz. Millet ve devletin \u00e7elikle\u015fmi\u015f birli\u011fi ve Y\u00fcce Lider’e itaatle, sald\u0131rgan\u0131 pi\u015fman edece\u011fiz.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u0130ran askeri olarak ne kadar g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc?<\/p>\n
\u0130ran, haftalar s\u00fcren ABD-\u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda asimetrik sava\u015f y\u00f6ntemlerini kullanarak \u00f6nemli bir askeri diren\u00e7 g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n
Bu, gerilla taktikleri, siber sald\u0131r\u0131lar, vekil silahl\u0131 gruplar\u0131 silahland\u0131rma ve destekleme gibi dolayl\u0131 ara\u00e7lar\u0131 i\u00e7erir.<\/p>\n
ABD ve \u0130srail ile olan sava\u015f\u0131nda \u0130ran, \u0130srail’deki ve K\u00f6rfez genelindeki enerji altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 hedef alm\u0131\u015f, bankac\u0131l\u0131k kurumlar\u0131n\u0131 hedef alma tehdidinde bulunmu\u015f ve Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri ile Bahreyn’deki Amazon gibi teknoloji \u015firketlerinin ABD veri merkezlerini hedef alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran ayr\u0131ca H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 da kapatm\u0131\u015f ve nakliyeyi aksatmak i\u00e7in bo\u011faza may\u0131n d\u00f6\u015fedi\u011fi bildirilmi\u015f, bu da k\u00fcresel petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 f\u0131rlatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n
ABD’nin Nisan ortas\u0131nda \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na deniz ablukas\u0131 uygulamaya ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana, \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer \u00fclkelerinin kendisini savunaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve herhangi bir ABD sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na yan\u0131t verece\u011fini defalarca vaat ettiler.<\/p>\n
Bu hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda, ABD ordusunun bir \u0130ran gemisine el koydu\u011funu ve d\u00fczinelerce di\u011fer gemiye geri d\u00f6nme emri verdi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan, \u0130ran da misilleme olarak H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00e7evresinde denizcilik d\u00fczenlemelerini ihlal etti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi\u011fi yabanc\u0131 ticari gemileri ele ge\u00e7irdi.<\/p>\n
Eski ABD b\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isi Ereli, Al Jazeera’ye verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, \u0130ran ve Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131’n\u0131n \u201cdevrimci bir co\u015fkuya\u201d sahip oldu\u011funu ve bunun \u201chayatta kalabilecekleri\u201d anlam\u0131na geldi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Ereli, \u201c\u00c7o\u011fu Amerikal\u0131 karar vericinin ve planlay\u0131c\u0131n\u0131n hesaplad\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha uzun s\u00fcre ac\u0131ya dayanabilirler\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Ereli, Tahran’\u0131n ABD taraf\u0131ndan uygulanan \u201cku\u015fatma ko\u015fullar\u0131\u201d alt\u0131nda ne kadar dayanabilece\u011finin bilinmedi\u011fini, ancak muhtemelen ABD’nin tahmin etti\u011finden \u00e7ok daha uzun s\u00fcrece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Ereli, \u201cBence \u00e7ok daha uzun s\u00fcre dayanabilirler, \u00f6zellikle de \u00e7o\u011fu insan\u0131n hayal etti\u011finden daha uzun, ve \u00f6zellikle Amerikal\u0131lara boyun e\u011fme konusunda\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6zlerine ekledi: \u201cBir gurur ve hayatta kalma d\u00fczeyi var. Bizimle sava\u015f halindeler ve onlar i\u00e7in bu bir zorunluluk sava\u015f\u0131. Hayatta kalmak zorundalar.\u201d<\/p>\n
#\u0130ran #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #ABD #DenizAblukas\u0131 #Petrol #Ekonomi #Siyaset #Ortado\u011fu #Yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar #K\u00fcreselG\u00fcvenlik<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, \u0130ran’\u0131n \u201cmali olarak \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc\u201d iddia ederek, Washington’\u0131n \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 deniz ablukas\u0131 nedeniyle \u00fclkenin her g\u00fcn milyonlarca dolar kaybetti\u011fini belirtti. Trump, Sal\u0131 gecesi Truth Social platformundaki bir payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda \u015funlar\u0131 yazd\u0131: \u201c\u0130ran mali olarak \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fcyor! H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n derhal a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 istiyorlar \u2013 Nakit s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7ekiyorlar! G\u00fcnde 500 milyon dolar kaybediyorlar. Ordu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9956,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9955","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9955","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9955"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9955\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9956"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9955"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9955"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9955"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}