B\u00f6lgesel diplomasi \u00e7abalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, Washington ve Tahran’\u0131n uzla\u015fmaya yana\u015fmamas\u0131, yakla\u015f\u0131k iki ayd\u0131r s\u00fcren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada derinle\u015fen bir \u00e7\u0131kmaz hissi yarat\u0131yor. \u0130ran ve ABD aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fczakerelerde bir at\u0131l\u0131m umutlar\u0131, yo\u011fun b\u00f6lgesel diplomatik faaliyetlere ra\u011fmen Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc daha da azald\u0131.<\/p>\n
Washington ve Tahran, s\u00f6ylemlerini yumu\u015fatma veya taviz verme konusunda isteksiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Sava\u015f\u0131 kesin bir sona ula\u015ft\u0131rabilecek herhangi bir m\u00fczakere de \u015fu an i\u00e7in planlanm\u0131\u015f de\u011fil.<\/p>\n
Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Abbas Ara\u011f\u00e7i, arabulucularla g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmek \u00fczere ikinci kez Pakistan’a d\u00f6nd\u00fc. Daha \u00f6nce Umman’da k\u0131sa s\u00fcreli g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ara\u011f\u00e7i, Cumartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc Pakistan gezisini \u201c\u00e7ok verimli\u201d<\/strong> olarak nitelendirse de, Washington’\u0131n niyetleri konusunda \u015f\u00fcphelerini dile getirdi. X platformunda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u201cABD’nin diplomasi konusunda ger\u00e7ekten ciddi olup olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 hen\u00fcz g\u00f6rmedik\u201d<\/em> dedi.<\/p>\n Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, el\u00e7ileri Steve Witkoff ve Jared Kushner’\u0131n Pakistan ziyaretini iptal etti\u011fini duyurdu. Bu iki isim, bu hafta sonu yap\u0131lmas\u0131 planlanan \u0130ran ile ikinci tur g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere kat\u0131lacakt\u0131.<\/p>\n Trump, Florida’da yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, ziyaretin \u0130ran’\u0131n yetersiz buldu\u011fu teklifi i\u00e7in \u00e7ok fazla seyahat ve masraf i\u00e7erdi\u011fini belirtti. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, bir silahl\u0131 sald\u0131rgan\u0131n g\u00fcvenlik ekibine ate\u015f a\u00e7mas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Washington’daki Beyaz Saray Muhabirleri Derne\u011fi yeme\u011finden apar topar ayr\u0131lmadan \u00f6nce geldi. \u0130ptal karar\u0131, \u0130ran’\u0131n ABD’nin \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti’ne y\u00f6nelik t\u00fcm deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 abluka alt\u0131na almas\u0131 halinde do\u011frudan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere kat\u0131lmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n Trump daha sonra, Tahran’\u0131n kendi karar\u0131ndan dakikalar sonra yeni bir anla\u015fma teklifi sundu\u011funu iddia etti. \u201cBize daha iyi olmas\u0131 gereken bir belge verdiler ve \u2013 ilgin\u00e7 bir \u015fekilde \u2013 ben iptal etti\u011fimde, 10 dakika i\u00e7inde \u00e7ok daha iyi bir yeni belge ald\u0131k\u201d<\/em> diyen Trump, detay vermedi.<\/p>\n Pakistanl\u0131 yetkililer, m\u00fczakerelerde ivme kazanmak amac\u0131yla medyaya, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak olas\u0131 bir \u201ck\u00f6pr\u00fc anla\u015fmas\u0131na\u201d<\/strong> do\u011fru ilerleme kaydedildi\u011fini bildirdi. Ancak bu ay\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda \u0130slamabad’da yap\u0131lan ve ABD Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance liderli\u011findeki bir heyet ile \u0130ran Meclis Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Muhammed Bak\u0131r Galibaf liderli\u011findeki \u0130ranl\u0131 delegelerin kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir tur g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme, herhangi bir ilerleme kaydedilmeden sona erdi.<\/p>\n 21 saat s\u00fcren bu oturum, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n gelece\u011fi, \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131 ve Tahran’\u0131n Orta Do\u011fu’daki militan hareketlere uzun s\u00fcredir devam eden deste\u011fi konular\u0131nda geni\u015f farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131 ortaya koydu. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler, \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer zenginle\u015ftirmeyi sona erdirme ve 440 kg y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyde zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f uranyumunu teslim etme y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki ABD taleplerini kabul etmemesi \u00fczerine \u00e7\u00f6kt\u00fc.<\/p>\n Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta Trump, \u0130ran ile daha \u00f6nceki iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkesini s\u00fcresiz olarak uzatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu ve \u0130ran’\u0131n normal zamanlarda d\u00fcnya petrol ve s\u0131v\u0131 do\u011fal gaz arz\u0131n\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte birini ta\u015f\u0131yan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’nda gemilere serbest ge\u00e7i\u015f izni vermesi talebini yineledi. K\u00f6rfez’deki bu stratejik su yolunun kapanmas\u0131, d\u00fcnya genelinde petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 y\u00fckselterek k\u00fcresel bir ekonomik gerileme tehdidi olu\u015fturdu.<\/p>\n \u0130ran’a bask\u0131 yapmak amac\u0131yla Trump, ABD donanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u0130ran k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131na y\u0131\u011farak, \u00fclkeyi tamamen ekonomik \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015ften kurtarmak i\u00e7in petrol sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan \u0130ran’\u0131 abluka alt\u0131na alma emri verdi. Analistler, \u0130ranl\u0131 liderlerin ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131’n\u0131n y\u00fckselen yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131ndan memnun olmayan ABD’li se\u00e7menlerin bask\u0131s\u0131 alt\u0131nda oldu\u011funu bildi\u011fini ve Tahran’dan daha erken taviz vermeye zorlanabilece\u011fini belirtiyor. ABD’de ara se\u00e7imler Kas\u0131m ay\u0131nda yap\u0131lacak.<\/p>\n Uzmanlar\u0131n \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma s\u0131ras\u0131nda karar alma \u00fczerindeki hakimiyetinin peki\u015fti\u011fine inand\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130ran Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu (IRGC), ablukay\u0131 kald\u0131rma niyetinde olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. \u0130ran, bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7i\u015f i\u00e7in her tankere 2 milyon dolar \u00f6deme zorunlulu\u011fu getirerek bir ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti talep etmek istiyor. Bu durum, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda daha y\u00fcksek fiyatlara yol a\u00e7abilir. IRGC, resmi Telegram kanal\u0131nda \u015funlar\u0131 yazd\u0131: \u201cH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 kontrol etmek ve cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 etkilerinin g\u00f6lgesini Amerika ile Beyaz Saray’\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki destek\u00e7ileri \u00fczerinde tutmak, \u0130slam \u0130ran’\u0131n\u0131n kesin stratejisidir.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n \u0130ran ordusu, devlet medyas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan bir bildiriyle, ABD’nin devam eden \u201cabluka, haydutluk ve korsanl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n\u201d<\/strong> misillemeye yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Trump, may\u0131n d\u00f6\u015feyebilecek \u0130ran gemilerini \u201cvurma ve \u00f6ld\u00fcrme\u201d<\/strong> emri verdi. ABD, \u0130ran’\u0131n neredeyse t\u00fcm konvansiyonel donanmas\u0131n\u0131 bat\u0131rm\u0131\u015f olsa da, IRGC taraf\u0131ndan kullan\u0131lan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck h\u0131zl\u0131 tekneler hala \u00f6nemli bir tehdit olu\u015fturuyor. Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta \u00fc\u00e7 gemiye \u0130ran g\u00fc\u00e7leri taraf\u0131ndan ate\u015f a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n Analistler, \u0130slamabad’daki ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z ilk tur g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerden bu yana \u0130ran’\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc elinde tuttu\u011funu belirtiyor. Hollanda Uluslararas\u0131 \u0130li\u015fkiler Clingendael Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc’nden Hamidreza Azizi ve Erwin van Veen ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta yazd\u0131klar\u0131 yaz\u0131da, \u201cHem ABD hem de \u0130ran, muhataplar\u0131n\u0131n bilinen k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgilerini a\u015fan s\u0131ras\u0131yla 15 ve 10 maksimalist talep listesini masaya koydu\u201d<\/em> ifadelerini kulland\u0131. \u201cAncak o zamanki askeri durum veya askeri g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm, sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi pozisyonlara k\u0131yasla b\u00fcy\u00fck tavizlerin sunuldu\u011fu fikrini desteklemiyordu. Hatta ate\u015fkesle sonu\u00e7lanan stratejik \u00e7\u0131kmaz \u0130ran’\u0131 destekledi, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc ABD, b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 ve riskli bir kara operasyonu olmadan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7amaz.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n Washington yeme\u011fi sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nce Truth Social’da yazan Trump, \u0130ran liderli\u011fi i\u00e7inde \u201cmuazzam bir i\u00e7 \u00e7eki\u015fme ve kafa kar\u0131\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131\u201d<\/em> oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. \u201cKimsenin kimin sorumlu oldu\u011funu bilmedi\u011fini, kendileri de dahil\u201d<\/em> diye yazd\u0131. \u201cAyr\u0131ca, t\u00fcm kartlar bizde, onlarda hi\u00e7 yok! Konu\u015fmak istiyorlarsa, tek yapmalar\u0131 gereken aramak!!!\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n Analistler, \u0130ranl\u0131 liderler ve gruplar aras\u0131nda derin ayr\u0131l\u0131klar olsa da, hepsinin ABD’ye kar\u015f\u0131 birle\u015fik bir cephe sunmaya kararl\u0131 oldu\u011funu belirtiyor. \u0130ran Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Mesud Peze\u015fkian ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta Tahran’da \u201cne sertlik yanl\u0131s\u0131 ne de \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131\u201d<\/em> oldu\u011funu ve \u00fclkenin Y\u00fcce Lideri’nin arkas\u0131nda birle\u015fti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n Bir di\u011fer zorluk ise, Tahran’\u0131n herhangi bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeye kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 i\u00e7in hayati \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc L\u00fcbnan’daki k\u0131r\u0131lgan ate\u015fkesi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmektir. \u0130srail Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’\u0131 vurarak, Hizbullah militan\u0131 oldu\u011funu iddia etti\u011fi en az alt\u0131 ki\u015fiyi \u00f6ld\u00fcrd\u00fc ve L\u00fcbnan’dan \u0130srail’e birka\u00e7 roket ve insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131 f\u0131rlat\u0131ld\u0131.<\/p>\n Bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, \u0130kinci D\u00fcnya Sava\u015f\u0131’ndan bu yana Orta Do\u011fu’da Azerbaycan’dan Umman’a ve hatta Hint Okyanusu’na kadar uzanan co\u011frafi kapsam\u0131yla en geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalardan biridir. Yerel sa\u011fl\u0131k yetkililerine g\u00f6re, \u0130ran’da ABD-\u0130srail ortak sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda en az 3.375 ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti. L\u00fcbnan’da ise yakla\u015f\u0131k 2.500 ki\u015fi \u00f6ld\u00fc. \u0130srail, \u0130ran’\u0131n Y\u00fcce Lideri Ali Hamaney’i \u00f6ld\u00fcren Tahran’daki \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na misilleme olarak Hizbullah’\u0131n \u0130srail’e f\u00fcze f\u0131rlatmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan L\u00fcbnan’a ac\u0131mas\u0131z bir sald\u0131r\u0131 ba\u015flatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n K\u00f6rfez Arap \u00fclkelerinde bir d\u00fczineden fazla ki\u015fi, \u0130srail’de ise \u0130ran’\u0131n ve vekillerinin ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 misilleme sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda 23 ki\u015fi hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti. L\u00fcbnan’da on be\u015f \u0130srail askeri, b\u00f6lgede 13 ABD askeri personeli ve g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’da alt\u0131 BM bar\u0131\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc askeri \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n #OrtaDo\u011fu #\u0130ranABDGerilimi #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #Diplomasi\u00c7\u0131kmaz\u0131 #\u0130ranDevrimMuhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 #N\u00fckleerProgram #B\u00f6lgeselG\u00fcvenlik #Ate\u015fkes\u0130hlalleri #EkonomikBask\u0131 #\u0130ranDireni\u015fi<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" B\u00f6lgesel Diplomasiye Ra\u011fmen Derinle\u015fen \u00c7\u0131kmaz B\u00f6lgesel diplomasi \u00e7abalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen, Washington ve Tahran’\u0131n uzla\u015fmaya yana\u015fmamas\u0131, yakla\u015f\u0131k iki ayd\u0131r s\u00fcren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada derinle\u015fen bir \u00e7\u0131kmaz hissi yarat\u0131yor. \u0130ran ve ABD aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fczakerelerde bir at\u0131l\u0131m umutlar\u0131, yo\u011fun b\u00f6lgesel diplomatik faaliyetlere ra\u011fmen Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc daha da azald\u0131. Washington ve Tahran, s\u00f6ylemlerini yumu\u015fatma veya taviz verme konusunda isteksiz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Sava\u015f\u0131 kesin […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":9940,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9939","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9939","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9939"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9939\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/9940"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9939"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9939"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9939"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Pakistan’\u0131n Arabuluculuk \u00c7abalar\u0131 ve G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerdeki Engeller<\/h3>\n
ABD’nin Bask\u0131s\u0131 ve \u0130ran’\u0131n Kararl\u0131 Duru\u015fu<\/h3>\n
Stratejik \u00c7\u0131kmaz ve \u0130ran’\u0131n \u00dcst\u00fcnl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc<\/h3>\n
B\u00f6lgesel Gerilimler ve \u0130nsani Kay\u0131plar<\/h3>\n