H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinde kontrol sa\u011flama m\u00fccadelesi veren ABD ve \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki abluka sava\u015f\u0131, Washington’\u0131n yeni hamleleriyle daha da k\u0131z\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ancak ABD’nin s\u00fcresiz deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131 uzatma karar\u0131, d\u00fcnya petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek bir yana, nominal ate\u015fkesi ihlal eden daha fazla askeri gerilimin, teslim olmaya niyeti olmayan bir rejime kar\u015f\u0131 daha b\u00fcy\u00fck riskler ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n bir itiraf\u0131 olarak de\u011ferlendiriliyor.<\/p>\n
Teorik olarak Trump’\u0131n askeri se\u00e7enekleri art\u0131yor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, bu y\u0131\u011f\u0131na\u011f\u0131n ard\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7aresizlik yat\u0131yor. G\u00fcney Afrika’y\u0131 dola\u015ft\u0131ktan sonra Ortado\u011fu’ya varmas\u0131 beklenen \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ABD u\u00e7ak gemisi sald\u0131r\u0131 grubu George HW Bush ve Pasifik’ten gelen 2.500 deniz piyadesinden olu\u015fan ikinci g\u00f6rev g\u00fcc\u00fc, b\u00f6lgedeki gerilimi t\u0131rmand\u0131rma \u00e7abas\u0131 olarak yorumlan\u0131yor. Ancak bu ek kuvvetlerin sadece k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre i\u00e7in kullan\u0131labilece\u011fi ve USS Gerald R Ford’un 300 g\u00fcnden fazla s\u00fcredir denizde olmas\u0131 nedeniyle ne kadar kalabilece\u011fi belirsizli\u011fini koruyor.<\/p>\n
ABD’nin, \u0130ran’\u0131n petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131n %90’\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcklendi\u011fi Harg Adas\u0131 petrol terminalini ele ge\u00e7irme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fulsa da, bu t\u00fcr bir hamlenin mevcut ablukaya k\u0131yasla ek bir kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamayaca\u011f\u0131 uzmanlarca belirtiliyor. Royal United Services Institute’tan Matthew Savill, “Bir hava veya amfibi sald\u0131r\u0131y\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirmektense tehdit etmeyi tercih edeceklerinden \u015f\u00fcpheleniyorum. ABD’nin bunu yapacak yetenekleri ve ate\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc var. Ama buna de\u011fer miydi?”<\/em> s\u00f6zleriyle ABD’nin bu t\u00fcr maceralardan ka\u00e7\u0131nma e\u011filimini vurguluyor.<\/p>\n ABD ve \u0130srail’in \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik 38 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bombard\u0131man\u0131, askeri a\u00e7\u0131dan tek tarafl\u0131 gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, \u0130ran’\u0131n K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerine kar\u015f\u0131 etkili misillemeleri g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilemez. ABD’nin 13.000 sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, \u0130ran’\u0131n askeri kapasitesi t\u00fckenmi\u015f de\u011fil. S\u0131zan ABD istihbarat de\u011ferlendirmelerine g\u00f6re, \u0130ran f\u00fczelerinin ve f\u0131rlat\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131, \u015eahid sald\u0131r\u0131 dronlar\u0131n\u0131n benzer bir oran\u0131 hala sa\u011flam durumda. Dahas\u0131, \u0130ran ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc bo\u011fazda iki ticari gemiyi ba\u015far\u0131yla ele ge\u00e7irerek operasyonel g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc bir kez daha g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n 3.000’den fazla \u0130ranl\u0131n\u0131n \u015fehit d\u00fc\u015fmesine ra\u011fmen, kay\u0131plar\u0131n rejimi sarsmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u0130ran \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti dimdik ayakta ve kendisini yenilmez g\u00f6r\u00fcyor; direksiyonu ele alan Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 uzla\u015fmaya yana\u015fm\u0131yor.<\/strong> ABD-\u0130srail bombard\u0131man\u0131n\u0131n siyasi dinamikleri de\u011fi\u015ftiremeyece\u011fi, hatta Trump’\u0131n elektrik santralleri, k\u00f6pr\u00fcler ve tuzdan ar\u0131nd\u0131rma tesislerine y\u00f6nelik sava\u015f su\u00e7u niteli\u011findeki tehditlerinin \u0130ran halk\u0131n\u0131n direni\u015fini daha da g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi\u011fi ortada.<\/p>\n \u0130ran’\u0131n modern tarihi, ABD ve \u00f6tesiyle y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc anti-emperyalist m\u00fccadeleyle tan\u0131mlan\u0131yor. Tahran, Trump’\u0131n dikkat s\u00fcresini a\u015fmak d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda pek az se\u00e7ene\u011fe sahip gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de, bu asl\u0131nda \u0130ran’\u0131n stratejik sabr\u0131n\u0131n bir g\u00f6stergesi. American Enterprise Institute’tan Brian Carter, “Bu \u0130ran rejimi inan\u0131lmaz derecede ideolojik. \u0130ktidardaki akt\u00f6rler ‘sava\u015f\u0131 kazanmaya’ \u00e7ok kararl\u0131lar ve bunu yapmak i\u00e7in a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 ekonomik zarara katlanmaya istekliler”<\/em> diyerek \u0130ran’\u0131n kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul ediyor.<\/p>\n B\u00f6lgede 50.000’den fazla ABD askeri bulunsa da, \u0130ran’\u0131n 92 milyonluk n\u00fcfusu ve 350.000 ki\u015filik ordusu (Artesh) ile 150.000 ki\u015filik Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir kara i\u015fgali olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yok denecek kadar az. Son \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar, ABD’nin yeteneklerinin de s\u0131n\u0131rs\u0131z olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor. Stratejik ve Uluslararas\u0131 \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar Merkezi’nin (CSIS) raporuna g\u00f6re, \u0130ran’\u0131n bombalanmas\u0131 Operasyonu Epic Fury sonras\u0131nda ABD’nin m\u00fchimmat envanterleri ciddi \u015fekilde azald\u0131. 850’den fazla Tomahawk seyir f\u00fczesi ve 1.000’den fazla JASSM havadan karaya f\u00fcze kullan\u0131ld\u0131. \u00d6zellikle hava savunma sistemleri etkilendi; 360 Thaad balistik f\u00fcze \u00f6nleyicisinden 190 ila 290’\u0131 kullan\u0131ld\u0131 ve Pac-3 Patriot f\u00fczelerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k yar\u0131s\u0131 t\u00fcketildi. Bu y\u00fcksek teknoloji f\u00fczelerin yerine konmas\u0131 d\u00f6rt ila be\u015f y\u0131l s\u00fcrebiliyor ve ABD’nin Tayvan ile Do\u011fu Asya’daki taahh\u00fctleri i\u00e7in de m\u00fchimmat ay\u0131rmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n Askeri mant\u0131k, abluka sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n bir s\u00fcre daha devam edece\u011fini ve hem ABD hem de \u0130ran’\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki kontrol\u00fc sa\u011flamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak ekonomik maliyetlerden ilk kimin geri ad\u0131m ataca\u011f\u0131 sorusu, \u0130ran’\u0131n direni\u015f g\u00fcc\u00fc kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda ABD i\u00e7in giderek daha zorlu bir hal al\u0131yor. Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc sinirli bir Trump’\u0131n, may\u0131n d\u00f6\u015ferken yakalanan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u0130ran teknelerini havaya u\u00e7urmakla tehdit etmesi, Washington’\u0131n i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu \u00e7aresizli\u011fi ve gerilimi t\u0131rmand\u0131rma e\u011filimini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya koyuyor. Ancak \u0130ran, bu tehditlere boyun e\u011fmeyecek ve kendi topraklar\u0131ndaki egemenli\u011fini kararl\u0131l\u0131kla savunmaya devam edecektir.<\/p>\n #\u0130ran #ABD #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #DenizAblukas\u0131 #Direni\u015f #DevrimMuhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 #AskeriGerilim #Ortado\u011fu #AntiEmperyalizm #\u0130ranG\u00fcc\u00fc<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’nda Direni\u015f: ABD’nin Abluka Hamlesi ve \u0130ran’\u0131n Kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinde kontrol sa\u011flama m\u00fccadelesi veren ABD ve \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki abluka sava\u015f\u0131, Washington’\u0131n yeni hamleleriyle daha da k\u0131z\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Ancak ABD’nin s\u00fcresiz deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131 uzatma karar\u0131, d\u00fcnya petrol fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek bir yana, nominal ate\u015fkesi ihlal eden daha fazla askeri gerilimin, teslim olmaya niyeti olmayan bir rejime […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7525,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7524","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7524","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7524"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7524\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7525"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7524"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7524"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7524"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}\u0130ran’\u0131n Sars\u0131lmaz G\u00fcc\u00fc ve Direni\u015fi<\/h3>\n
ABD’nin S\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 Kaynaklar\u0131 ve Stratejik \u00c7\u0131kmaz\u0131<\/h3>\n
Abluka Sava\u015f\u0131 ve \u0130ran’\u0131n Zaferi<\/h3>\n