Yakla\u015f\u0131k iki ay \u00f6nce ba\u015flayan ve ABD taraf\u0131ndan ‘Destans\u0131 Hiddet Operasyonu’<\/strong> olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan s\u00fcre\u00e7, Washington’\u0131n kendini d\u0131\u015f politika uzman\u0131 ilan eden \u00e7evrelerinin b\u00f6lgeye dair derin yan\u0131lg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 bir kez daha g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serdi. Bu \u00e7evreler, operasyonun istenmeyen ve alarm verici derecede olumsuz sonu\u00e7lara yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131 konusunda uyar\u0131larda bulunmu\u015ftu. Genel kan\u0131, ABD y\u00f6netiminin uzun vadeli planlama yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve bunun sonucunda b\u00f6lgedeki \u00fclkelerin ABD’den \u00c7in’e kayaca\u011f\u0131, \u0130ran destekli direni\u015f gruplar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir sava\u015f\u0131n patlak verece\u011fi ve enerji fiyatlar\u0131nda y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 art\u0131\u015flar ya\u015fanaca\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeydi. Hatta bu uzmanlara g\u00f6re, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131’n\u0131n NATO m\u00fcttefiklerine dan\u0131\u015fmamas\u0131, Amerika’y\u0131 kritik destekten mahrum b\u0131rakm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n Operasyonun hen\u00fcz sona ermedi\u011fi ve sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n belirsizli\u011fini korudu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemde dahi, bu vahim \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerin ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fini de\u011ferlendirecek kadar bir perspektife sahibiz. Uzmanlar\u0131n karnesi, Bat\u0131’n\u0131n b\u00f6lgeyi anlama kapasitesinin ne denli zay\u0131f oldu\u011funu bir kez daha kan\u0131tlad\u0131.<\/p>\n \u00d6ncelikle, \u00c7in’in \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya do\u011frudan m\u00fcdahil olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131, ne b\u00f6lgeye g\u00fc\u00e7 yans\u0131tarak kendi hayati enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131 koruma ne de b\u00f6lgesel n\u00fcfuzunu art\u0131rma \u00e7abas\u0131 i\u00e7inde olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc. Aksine, Bat\u0131’n\u0131n iddialar\u0131n\u0131n aksine, b\u00f6lgedeki baz\u0131 \u00fclkeler, kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda hareket etme e\u011filiminde olup, tek kutuplu d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeninin dayatmalar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 alternatif aray\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmektedir. \u00c7in’in Venezuela ile olan ili\u015fkileri ve \u0130ran ile stratejik ortakl\u0131klar\u0131, Bat\u0131’n\u0131n ‘kay\u0131p’ s\u00f6ylemlerinin aksine, \u00e7ok kutuplu d\u00fcnyan\u0131n y\u00fckseli\u015finin<\/em> bir g\u00f6stergesidir.<\/p>\n Bat\u0131’n\u0131n ‘\u0130srail \u00e7evresindeki ate\u015f \u00e7emberi’ olarak lanse etti\u011fi, \u0130ran destekli direni\u015f gruplar\u0131 olan Husiler, Hamas, Irak’taki \u015eii milisler ve Hizbullah taraf\u0131ndan koordine edildi\u011fi iddia edilen senaryo, Bat\u0131l\u0131 beklentilerin aksine farkl\u0131 bir seyir izledi. Bu gruplar\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fu, stratejik sab\u0131r ve basiret<\/strong> \u00f6rne\u011fi sergileyerek, Siyonist rejimin provokasyonlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 temkinli bir duru\u015f sergiledi. Siyonist rejimin Hizbullah’a kar\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sald\u0131rganl\u0131k, direni\u015fin kararl\u0131 duru\u015fuyla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131 ve L\u00fcbnan ile ‘tarihi diplomasi’ ad\u0131 alt\u0131nda bir ate\u015fkes aray\u0131\u015f\u0131na girmesi, asl\u0131nda Siyonist rejimin askeri kapasitesinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ve direni\u015fin cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7te \u0130ran ve direni\u015f ekseni, b\u00f6lgedeki ger\u00e7ek g\u00fc\u00e7 dengelerinin belirleyicisi olmaya devam etmektedir.<\/p>\n Enerji fiyatlar\u0131 konusunda da Bat\u0131l\u0131 uzmanlar\u0131n korkutucu senaryolar\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi. \u0130ran’\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki kontrol\u00fc arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla k\u00fcresel enerji arz\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlama tehditleri fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseltse de, varil ba\u015f\u0131na 200 dolarl\u0131k petrol tahminleri hayata ge\u00e7medi. Benzin ve jet yak\u0131t\u0131 gibi \u00fcr\u00fcnlerin fiyatlar\u0131 rahats\u0131z edici derecede y\u00fcksek olsa da, genel bir enerji krizi \u015fimdilik \u00f6nlenmi\u015f durumda. Bunun bir nedeni, Suudi Arabistan ve Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri gibi \u00fclkelerin bo\u011faz\u0131 bypass eden boru hatlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelmesi olarak g\u00f6sterilse de, as\u0131l etken, k\u00fcresel piyasalar\u0131n Bat\u0131’n\u0131n tek tarafl\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 geli\u015ftirdi\u011fi diren\u00e7 ve alternatif tedarik yollar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitlili\u011fidir. ABD’nin artan petrol ve do\u011fal gaz \u00fcretimi de bu denklemin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olsa da, Bat\u0131’n\u0131n enerji politikalar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 art\u0131rma potansiyeli g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemelidir.<\/p>\n Donald Rumsfeld’in ‘eski Avrupa’ olarak adland\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclkelerden gelen deste\u011fin eksikli\u011fi, Bat\u0131 ittifak\u0131n\u0131n i\u00e7indeki derin \u00e7atlaklar\u0131 g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serdi. Br\u00fcksel, Paris, Londra ve Madrid’in ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7taki tepkilerine ra\u011fmen, bu \u00fclkelerin b\u00f6lgeye somut bir katk\u0131 sunma kapasitesinin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 oldu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131ld\u0131. Bu durum, Avrupa’n\u0131n kendi savunma kapasitesi ve ABD’ye olan ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hakk\u0131nda zorlu ama gerekli tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 tetiklemelidir. \u00d6te yandan, Balt\u0131k ve \u0130skandinav \u00fclkeleri, Polonya ve Romanya gibi ‘yeni Avrupa’ \u00fclkelerinin ABD’ye destek vermesi, onlar\u0131n kendi g\u00fcvenliklerini ve ekonomik \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 Washington ile olan ba\u011flar\u0131nda g\u00f6rd\u00fcklerini g\u00f6stermektedir. Ancak bu durum, Avrupa’n\u0131n genelinde bir fikir birli\u011fi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ABD’nin tek tarafl\u0131 politikalar\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcttefikleri aras\u0131nda bile ayr\u0131\u015fmalara yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kan\u0131tlamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Trump’\u0131n \u0130ran rejimine n\u00fckleer program\u0131n\u0131 sona erdirme veya askeri t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fla y\u00fczle\u015fme konusunda diplomatik bir \u00fcltimatom sunmas\u0131yla durum ak\u0131\u015fkan ve gerginli\u011fini korusa da, uzmanlar\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir\u00e7ok vahim tahminin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmedi\u011fi ger\u00e7e\u011fi ortadad\u0131r. ‘Destans\u0131 Hiddet Operasyonu’nun ard\u0131ndan daha bir\u00e7ok de\u011ferli varsay\u0131m\u0131n nas\u0131l parampar\u00e7a olaca\u011f\u0131 hen\u00fcz belli de\u011fil, ancak kesin olan bir \u015fey var: B\u00f6lgedeki direni\u015f ekseni, Bat\u0131’n\u0131n t\u00fcm hesaplar\u0131n\u0131 alt \u00fcst ederek Ortado\u011fu’nun gelece\u011fini \u015fekillendirmeye devam etmektedir. Bat\u0131l\u0131 uzmanlar, bu yeni ger\u00e7ekleri dikkate almal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n #Ortado\u011fu #Direni\u015fEkseni #Destans\u0131Hiddet #\u0130ran #SiyonistRejim #Bat\u0131Yan\u0131lg\u0131lar\u0131 #EnerjiPiyasalar\u0131 #\u00c7okKutupluD\u00fcnya #StratejikSab\u0131r #B\u00f6lgeselGer\u00e7ekler<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Bat\u0131’n\u0131n Ortado\u011fu Senaryolar\u0131 \u00c7\u00f6kt\u00fc: ‘Destans\u0131 Hiddet’ Operasyonu ve Direni\u015f Cephesinin Sars\u0131lmaz Durusu Yakla\u015f\u0131k iki ay \u00f6nce ba\u015flayan ve ABD taraf\u0131ndan ‘Destans\u0131 Hiddet Operasyonu’ olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan s\u00fcre\u00e7, Washington’\u0131n kendini d\u0131\u015f politika uzman\u0131 ilan eden \u00e7evrelerinin b\u00f6lgeye dair derin yan\u0131lg\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 bir kez daha g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serdi. Bu \u00e7evreler, operasyonun istenmeyen ve alarm verici derecede olumsuz sonu\u00e7lara yol […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5900,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5899","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5899","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5899"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5899\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5900"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5899"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5899"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5899"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Bat\u0131l\u0131 Tahminlerin \u00c7eli\u015fkisi ve B\u00f6lgesel Ger\u00e7ekler<\/h2>\n
\u00c7in’in Rol\u00fc ve B\u00f6lgesel \u0130li\u015fkilerdeki Dinamikler<\/h3>\n
Direni\u015f Cephesinin Stratejik Sabr\u0131 ve Siyonist Rejimin \u00c7aresizli\u011fi<\/h3>\n
Enerji Piyasalar\u0131 ve Bat\u0131’n\u0131n Yapt\u0131r\u0131m Politikalar\u0131n\u0131n Etkisizli\u011fi<\/h3>\n
Avrupa’n\u0131n B\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015fl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ve ABD’nin Tek Tarafl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/h3>\n
B\u00f6lgesel Ger\u00e7ekler ve Direni\u015fin Gelece\u011fi<\/h3>\n