\u00d6nde gelen bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, son g\u00f6stergelerin \u0130sko\u00e7ya’n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri konusunda “daha iyimser bir anlat\u0131y\u0131 te\u015fvik etti\u011fini” ancak Orta Do\u011fu’da devam eden \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6lgeledi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Strathclyde \u00dcniversitesi’ne ba\u011fl\u0131 Fraser of Allander Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc, bug\u00fcn yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k \u0130sko\u00e7 ekonomisi de\u011ferlendirmesinde, bu y\u0131lki b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini \u015eubat ay\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc %1,1’den %0,9’a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Enstit\u00fc, bu revizyonun temel nedeni olarak Orta Do\u011fu’daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n olas\u0131 etkilerine dikkat \u00e7ekti.<\/p>\n
Ancak, bu revizyona ra\u011fmen “orta vadede b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentilerinin olumlu kalmaya devam etti\u011fi” vurguland\u0131. \u0130sko\u00e7ya’n\u0131n gayri safi yurt i\u00e7i has\u0131la b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinin 2027’de %1,0 ve 2028’de %1,1 olarak tahmin edildi\u011fi belirtildi. Fraser of Allander, \u015eubat ay\u0131ndaki tahminlerinde 2027 i\u00e7in %1,2’lik bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n
D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu \u015funlar\u0131 kaydetti: “Son g\u00f6stergeler ekonominin ivmesini korudu\u011funu g\u00f6sterse de, \u00f6nceki \u015foklardan edinilen deneyimler, jeopolitik bozulmalar\u0131n tam etkilerinin genellikle enerji piyasalar\u0131 ve fiyatlar arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla kademeli olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir.”<\/p>\n
Fraser of Allander Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Mairi Spowage, “Son g\u00f6stergeler \u0130sko\u00e7ya’n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri etraf\u0131nda daha iyimser bir anlat\u0131y\u0131 te\u015fvik etse de, bu ivmenin g\u00fcvende oldu\u011funu varsaymak i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz erken” dedi.<\/p>\n
Spowage, “Orta Do\u011fu’daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, jeopolitik riskin \u00f6zellikle enerji piyasalar\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla ekonomik bask\u0131ya ne kadar h\u0131zl\u0131 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015febilece\u011fini bize hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor” diye ekledi.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6zlerine devam eden Spowage: “Birle\u015fik Krall\u0131k enflasyonunun istikrara kavu\u015fmaya ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve ekonominin birka\u00e7 zorlu y\u0131l\u0131n ard\u0131ndan toparlanma i\u015faretleri g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi bir zamanda, bu yenilenen \u015fok, g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcn son derece belirsiz kalmas\u0131na neden oluyor ve potansiyel etkilerin \u00e7o\u011fu hen\u00fcz verilere tam olarak yans\u0131mad\u0131.”<\/p>\n
“Rusya’n\u0131n 2022’deki Ukrayna i\u015fgalinin ard\u0131ndan ya\u015fananlar zihnimizde taze kalmal\u0131. O d\u00f6nem, petrol ve gaz piyasalar\u0131ndaki uzun s\u00fcreli aksakl\u0131klar\u0131n enflasyonist bask\u0131lar\u0131 nas\u0131l art\u0131rabilece\u011fini, finansal ko\u015fullar\u0131 nas\u0131l s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rabilece\u011fini ve nihayetinde ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmeyi nas\u0131l olumsuz etkileyebilece\u011fini g\u00f6stermi\u015fti. \u0130sko\u00e7ya i\u00e7in ders, bir gerilemenin ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz oldu\u011fu de\u011fil, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc olumlu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcme dikkatle yakla\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fidir.”<\/p>\n
#\u0130sko\u00e7Ekonomisi #B\u00fcy\u00fcmeTahmini #OrtaDo\u011fu\u00c7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 #JeopolitikRisk #EnerjiPiyasalar\u0131 #Enflasyon #EkonomikB\u00fcy\u00fcme #FraserOfAllander #K\u00fcreselEkonomi #\u0130sko\u00e7ya<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u00d6nde gelen bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, son g\u00f6stergelerin \u0130sko\u00e7ya’n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fcme beklentileri konusunda “daha iyimser bir anlat\u0131y\u0131 te\u015fvik etti\u011fini” ancak Orta Do\u011fu’da devam eden \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n bu g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fc g\u00f6lgeledi\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. Strathclyde \u00dcniversitesi’ne ba\u011fl\u0131 Fraser of Allander Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc, bug\u00fcn yay\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7 ayl\u0131k \u0130sko\u00e7 ekonomisi de\u011ferlendirmesinde, bu y\u0131lki b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminini \u015eubat ay\u0131nda \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc %1,1’den %0,9’a d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc. Enstit\u00fc, bu revizyonun temel […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5804,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5803","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5803","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5803"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5803\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/5804"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5803"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5803"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5803"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}