Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, arabulucular\u0131n devam eden ancak k\u0131r\u0131lgan iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkes sona ermeden m\u00fczakereleri yeniden canland\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde, \u0130ran ile ikinci tur g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Pakistan’da yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etti.
\nPazar g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, s\u00f6ylemdeki keskin bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fla birlikte geldi. Trump, \u0130ran’\u0131n bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 \u201cbir \u015fekilde \u2013 ya iyi yolla ya da zor yolla\u201d kabul etmesi gerekti\u011fini belirterek, m\u00fczakerelerin ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olmas\u0131 halinde kilit altyap\u0131lar\u0131 hedef alma tehdidinde bulundu. Ayr\u0131ca, uzmanlar\u0131n uluslararas\u0131 hukuka g\u00f6re sava\u015f su\u00e7u te\u015fkil edebilece\u011fini belirtti\u011fi \u201ck\u00f6pr\u00fcler ve enerji santralleri\u201dni vurma tehdidini yineledi.
\nAncak \u0130ran, ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130ran ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 bir tankere sald\u0131rarak el koymas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ABD’yi \u201csilahl\u0131 korsanl\u0131k\u201d ile su\u00e7layarak g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere kat\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u015fimdiye kadar reddetti. Bu olay, uzun s\u00fcredir d\u00fc\u015fman olan iki taraf aras\u0131ndaki gerilimi daha da art\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
ABD ne dedi?
\nPazar g\u00fcn\u00fc Trump, ABD’li m\u00fczakerecilerin \u0130ran’a kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fct\u00fclen ABD-\u0130srail sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 sona erdirmeyi ama\u00e7layan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler i\u00e7in Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Pakistan’\u0131n ba\u015fkenti \u0130slamabad’a gidece\u011fini duyurdu.
\nBa\u015fkan, sosyal medya payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere hangi yetkililerin g\u00f6nderilece\u011fini belirtmedi. Ge\u00e7en hafta sonu Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance’in ABD heyetine ba\u015fkanl\u0131k etti\u011fi ilk tur g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler anla\u015fmas\u0131z sona ermi\u015fti.
\nTrump, \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcn\u00fc sona erecek olan iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkesi, \u0130ran’\u0131n Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’nda ate\u015f a\u00e7arak ihlal etti\u011fini iddia etti. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131, \u0130ran’\u0131n ABD taraf\u0131ndan sunulan anla\u015fma \u015fartlar\u0131n\u0131 kabul etmemesi halinde \u00fclkedeki sivil altyap\u0131y\u0131 yok etmekle tehdit etti.
\nTrump, Truth Social platformunda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131mda, \u201c\u00c7ok adil ve makul bir anla\u015fma sunuyoruz ve umar\u0131m kabul ederler, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc etmezlerse, Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri \u0130ran’daki her bir enerji santralini ve her bir k\u00f6pr\u00fcy\u00fc yok edecek,\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.
\nGerilimi daha da t\u0131rmand\u0131ran Trump, Touska adl\u0131 \u0130ran band\u0131ral\u0131 bir geminin Umman K\u00f6rfezi’nde ABD g\u00fc\u00e7leri taraf\u0131ndan \u201cmotor odas\u0131na bir delik a\u00e7arak\u201d durduruldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Geminin, ABD’nin \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131 a\u015fmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.
\nABD g\u00fc\u00e7leri gemiye \u00e7\u0131karak geminin fiziksel kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc ele ge\u00e7irdi.
\n\u0130ran’\u0131n Hatem el-Enbiya askeri karargah\u0131, ABD’nin \u0130ran band\u0131ral\u0131 tankere y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frulayarak \u201cyak\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vereceklerini\u201d bildirdi.
\nArd\u0131ndan, \u0130ran’\u0131n Tasnim Haber Ajans\u0131, \u0130ran g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin ABD askeri gemileri y\u00f6n\u00fcne insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131 g\u00f6nderdi\u011fini duyurdu.
\n\u0130ran parlamentosunun Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Komitesi Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u0130brahim Azizi, El Cezire’ye yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u0130ran’\u0131n ABD ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler s\u0131ras\u0131ndaki eylemlerinin kesinlikle ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlar ve g\u00fcvenlik taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6nlendirildi\u011fini belirtti.
\nTahran’\u0131n \u0130slamabad’daki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere kat\u0131lmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcp d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmedi\u011fi soruldu\u011funda ise, \u201c\u0130ran ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na g\u00f6re hareket eder,\u201d yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 verdi.
\nAzizi, \u201cMevcut m\u00fczakereleri sava\u015f alan\u0131n\u0131n bir devam\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz ve bunda sava\u015f alan\u0131ndan ba\u015fka bir \u015fey g\u00f6rm\u00fcyoruz,\u201d dedi. \u201cE\u011fer sava\u015f alan\u0131ndaki ba\u015far\u0131lar\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek kazan\u0131mlar sa\u011flarsa, o zaman m\u00fczakere alan\u0131 da bizim i\u00e7in bir f\u0131rsatt\u0131r\u2026 ancak Amerikal\u0131lar bunu zorbal\u0131k yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131na dayal\u0131 a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 taleplerin bir alan\u0131 haline getirmeyi ama\u00e7l\u0131yorlarsa de\u011fil.\u201d<\/p>\n
\u015eu anki temel anla\u015fmazl\u0131k noktalar\u0131 neler?
\n28 \u015eubat’ta sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana, eski zorluklar\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra bir dizi yeni anla\u015fmazl\u0131k noktas\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131:<\/p>\n
H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131
\nMerkezi bir anla\u015fmazl\u0131k konusu, Basra K\u00f6rfezi’ni Arap Denizi’ne ba\u011flayan kritik bir k\u00fcresel denizcilik yolu olan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinedir. Sava\u015f ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n petrol ve s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011fal gaz (LNG) arz\u0131n\u0131n be\u015fte biri bu bo\u011fazdan sevk ediliyordu.
\n\u0130ran, \u0130ran ve Umman’\u0131n karasular\u0131 i\u00e7inde yer alan ve uluslararas\u0131 sulara dahil olmayan bu su yolu \u00fczerinde egemenlik konusunda \u0131srar ediyor ve sadece \u201cd\u00fc\u015fmanca olmayan\u201d gemilerin ge\u00e7ebilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Ayr\u0131ca ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti uygulama fikrini de ortaya atm\u0131\u015fken, Washington tam seyir serbestisi talep ediyor.
\nSava\u015f ba\u015flad\u0131ktan sonra \u0130ran, ge\u00e7i\u015fleri yasaklayarak, gemilere sald\u0131rarak ve iddiaya g\u00f6re deniz may\u0131nlar\u0131 d\u00f6\u015feyerek bo\u011faz\u0131 fiilen kapatt\u0131. O zamandan beri deniz trafi\u011fi y\u00fczde 95 oran\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.
\nBir hafta \u00f6nce, ABD kendi ablukas\u0131n\u0131 uygulamaya koydu. Donanmas\u0131, Tahran’\u0131 hayati su yolunu yeniden a\u00e7maya zorlamak i\u00e7in \u0130ran limanlar\u0131n\u0131 abluka alt\u0131na alarak g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere bir engel daha ekledi.
\nKing’s College London’da uluslararas\u0131 g\u00fcvenlik alan\u0131nda \u00f6\u011fretim g\u00f6revlisi olan Rob Geist Pinfold’a g\u00f6re, Trump’\u0131n bo\u011faz konusundaki duru\u015fu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma s\u0131ras\u0131nda de\u011fi\u015fti ve belirsizli\u011fini koruyor.
\nGeist Pinfold, \u201cTrump’\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 \u0130ran ile ortakla\u015fa kontrol etmeye a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011funu, her iki taraf\u0131n da deniz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in bir ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi\u011fini duyduk,\u201d diyerek bunu \u201cABD’nin yaz\u0131l\u0131 taleplerinden ve K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkeleri ile \u0130srail gibi ABD’nin b\u00f6lgesel m\u00fcttefiklerinin taleplerinden tamamen farkl\u0131\u201d olarak nitelendirdi. M\u00fcttefikler, \u201c\u0130ran’\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc peki\u015ftiren herhangi bir anla\u015fmay\u0131\u2026 s\u0131rt\u0131ndan b\u0131\u00e7aklanma olarak g\u00f6receklerdir.\u201d
\nGeist Pinfold, El Cezire’ye verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, \u201cBu sadece ABD ve \u0130ran aras\u0131nda de\u011fil. Bu, ABD’nin b\u00f6lgesel m\u00fcttefiklerini yan\u0131nda tutmas\u0131yla ilgili,\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n
Zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f Uranyum
\nBir di\u011fer temel sorun ise \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131, \u00f6zellikle de zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f uranyum stoku.
\nABD ve \u0130srail, s\u0131f\u0131r uranyum zenginle\u015ftirmesi i\u00e7in bast\u0131r\u0131yor ve iddialar\u0131na dair hi\u00e7bir kan\u0131t sunmadan \u0130ran’\u0131 n\u00fckleer silah yapmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmakla su\u00e7luyor.
\n\u0130ran ise zenginle\u015ftirme \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131n sadece sivil ama\u00e7l\u0131 oldu\u011fu konusunda \u0131srar ediyor. \u00dclke, 1970 tarihli N\u00fckleer Silahlar\u0131n Yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00d6nlenmesi Antla\u015fmas\u0131’na (NPT) taraf.
\n2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda, d\u00f6nemin ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Barack Obama d\u00f6neminde ABD, Kapsaml\u0131 Ortak Eylem Plan\u0131’na (JCPOA) imza atm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu anla\u015fmada \u0130ran, uranyum zenginle\u015ftirmesini silah derecesinin \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde alt\u0131nda olan y\u00fczde 3,67 ile s\u0131n\u0131rlamay\u0131 ve n\u00fckleer silah geli\u015ftirmedi\u011finden emin olmak i\u00e7in Uluslararas\u0131 Atom Enerjisi Ajans\u0131 (UAEA) denetimlerine uymay\u0131 taahh\u00fct etti. Kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u0130ran \u00fczerindeki uluslararas\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar kald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131.
\nAncak 2018’de, ilk g\u00f6rev s\u00fcresi boyunca Trump, UAEA’n\u0131n \u0130ran’\u0131n o zamana kadar anla\u015fmaya uydu\u011funu belirtmesine ra\u011fmen ABD’yi JCPOA’dan \u00e7ekti.
\nMart 2025’te, ABD Ulusal \u0130stihbarat Direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Tulsi Gabbard, Kongre’ye verdi\u011fi ifadede, ABD’nin \u201c\u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer silah in\u015fa etmedi\u011fini de\u011ferlendirmeye devam etti\u011fini\u201d belirtti.
\nBir ay sonra, UAEA, \u0130ran’\u0131n 440 kg (970 lb) y\u00fczde 60 zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f uranyuma sahip oldu\u011funu tahmin etti. Bu da silah derecesinin alt\u0131nda olsa da, atom silah\u0131 \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in gereken y\u00fczde 90 safl\u0131\u011fa ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in k\u0131sa bir s\u0131\u00e7rama mesafesinde.
\nPazar g\u00fcn\u00fc, \u0130ran Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Mesud Peze\u015fkiyan, sert ifadelerle yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, Trump’\u0131n \u0130ran’\u0131 n\u00fckleer haklar\u0131ndan \u201cmahrum b\u0131rakmak\u201d i\u00e7in hi\u00e7bir gerek\u00e7esi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.
\nBoulder’daki Colorado \u00dcniversitesi’nde hukuk profes\u00f6r\u00fc olan Maryam Jamshidi, \u0130ran’\u0131n zenginle\u015ftirme konusundaki tutumunun NPT’nin IV. Maddesi’ne dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bu maddenin \u201ct\u00fcm taraf devletlerin [antla\u015fmaya] n\u00fckleer enerjiyi bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l ama\u00e7larla ara\u015ft\u0131rma, geli\u015ftirme ve kullanma konusunda devredilemez bir hakka sahip oldu\u011funu\u201d kabul etti\u011fini belirtti.
\nJamshidi, El Cezire’ye verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, \u201c\u0130ran’\u0131n zenginle\u015ftirme yapmamas\u0131n\u0131 talep ederek, Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri \u0130ran’\u0131n bu antla\u015fma kapsam\u0131ndaki haklar\u0131n\u0131 inkar ediyor,\u201d dedi.
\n\u201cZenginle\u015ftirme hakk\u0131n\u0131n korunmas\u0131 konusunda \u0131srar eden \u0130ran, uluslararas\u0131 hukuk uyar\u0131nca di\u011fer t\u00fcm devletlerle ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde muamele g\u00f6rme y\u00f6n\u00fcnde makul bir arzusunu dile getiriyor.\u201d<\/p>\n
L\u00fcbnan
\n28 \u015eubat’ta Tahran’a d\u00fczenlenen ve Y\u00fcce Lider Ali Hamanei’nin \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ilk ABD-\u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131ndan iki g\u00fcn sonra, L\u00fcbnan’daki \u0130ran destekli Hizbullah grubu kuzey \u0130srail’e roket ve insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131 f\u0131rlatmaya ba\u015flad\u0131 ve \u0130srail de kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vererek g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’a bir i\u015fgal ba\u015flatt\u0131.
\n\u0130ran, ABD ile yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ate\u015fkesin L\u00fcbnan’\u0131 da kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131 konusunda \u0131srarc\u0131 ve \u0130srail’den m\u00fcttefiki Hizbullah’a kar\u015f\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ve L\u00fcbnan’\u0131 i\u015fgalini sona erdirmesini talep ediyor.
\nBa\u015flang\u0131\u00e7ta iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkesin L\u00fcbnan’\u0131 kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 reddeden \u0130srail, do\u011frudan \u0130srail-L\u00fcbnan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin ard\u0131ndan Per\u015fembe gecesi ba\u015flayan 10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bir ate\u015fkese raz\u0131 oldu. Ancak bu ate\u015fkes de yenilenen d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131klar aras\u0131nda \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn e\u015fi\u011finde.
\nPazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc, \u0130srail ordusu g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’\u0131n Kfarkela b\u00f6lgesinde gece boyunca y\u00fckl\u00fc bir f\u0131rlatma sistemini vurdu\u011funu iddia ederken, Hizbullah ise yine g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’da sekiz \u0130srail z\u0131rhl\u0131 arac\u0131ndan olu\u015fan bir konvoyu vurdu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi\u011fi \u00e7ok say\u0131da patlaman\u0131n sorumlulu\u011funu \u00fcstlendi.
\nHizbullah, Tahran’\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc m\u00fcttefiki ve \u0130ran’\u0131n \u0130srail’e kar\u015f\u0131 Orta Do\u011fu’daki silahl\u0131 gruplar a\u011f\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan \u201cdireni\u015f ekseni\u201dnin merkezi bir par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r. Bu a\u011fda ayr\u0131ca Yemen’deki Husiler ve Irak’taki bir dizi silahl\u0131 grup da yer al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n
\u00c7at\u0131\u015fma s\u0131ras\u0131nda ABD’nin hangi talepleri de\u011fi\u015fti?<\/p>\n
Balistik f\u00fczeler
\nABD-\u0130srail’in \u0130ran’a kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncesinde Tahran, m\u00fczakerelerin yaln\u0131zca \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131na odaklanmas\u0131 konusunda her zaman \u0131srar etmi\u015fti.
\nAncak ABD’nin talepleri n\u00fckleer dosyan\u0131n \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7ti. Sava\u015ftan \u00f6nce Washington ve \u0130srail, \u0130ran’\u0131n balistik f\u00fcze program\u0131na ciddi k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar getirilmesini talep ediyordu. \u0130ran ise f\u00fcze yeteneklerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme kabiliyetinin m\u00fczakere edilemez oldu\u011funu belirtmi\u015fti.
\n25 \u015eubat’ta ABD D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Marco Rubio, \u0130ran’\u0131n f\u00fcze program\u0131n\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 reddetmesinin \u201cb\u00fcy\u00fck bir sorun\u201d oldu\u011fu konusunda uyarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.
\nAncak, 8 Nisan’da iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkesin duyurulmas\u0131ndan ve Pakistan arabuluculu\u011fundaki m\u00fczakerelerin ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana, ABD, \u0130ran’\u0131n ABD ve \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerine kar\u015f\u0131 misillemelerinde \u00f6nemli bir \u00f6zellik olan balistik f\u00fczelerinden hi\u00e7 bahsetmedi.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran h\u00fck\u00fcmetinde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik
\nABD ve \u0130srail, \u0130ran h\u00fck\u00fcmetinde bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik arzusunu da gizlemedi. Sava\u015f ba\u015flamadan iki hafta \u00f6nce Tahran’daki h\u00fck\u00fcmetin devrilmesini isteyip istemedi\u011fi soruldu\u011funda Trump, \u201cBu olabilecek en iyi \u015fey gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor,\u201d yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 verdi.
\nHamanei ve di\u011fer bir\u00e7ok \u00fcst d\u00fczey \u0130ranl\u0131 liderin \u00f6ld\u00fcr\u00fclmesinin ard\u0131ndan Trump, ABD-\u0130srail sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n fiilen \u201crejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi\u201d getirdi\u011fini, kilit liderlik katmanlar\u0131n\u0131n \u201cyok edildi\u011fini\u201d iddia etti.
\nAncak uzmanlar, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc olmasa da b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde sa\u011flam oldu\u011funu belirterek Trump’\u0131n iddialar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.
\nMaine’deki Bowdoin College’dan Profes\u00f6r Salar Mohandesi, ABD iddialar\u0131na ra\u011fmen \u0130ran’da ya\u015fananlar\u0131n \u201crejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi\u201dnin ciddi hi\u00e7bir tan\u0131m\u0131na uymad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savundu.
\nMohandesi, El Cezire’ye verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te, \u201c\u0130slam Cumhuriyeti’nin temel yap\u0131lar\u0131 sa\u011flam ve yeni liderler, suikasta kurban giden seleflerinden tart\u0131\u015fmas\u0131z daha \u015fahin olan rejim sad\u0131klar\u0131d\u0131r,\u201d dedi.
\nMohandesi, sava\u015f\u0131n \u0130slam Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu’nu (IRGC) g\u00fc\u00e7lendirdi\u011fini, bunun \u201cmevcut bir e\u011filimin h\u0131zlanmas\u0131\u201d oldu\u011funu ve \u201ckesinlikle Trump’\u0131n kastetti\u011fi anlamda\u201d rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmedi\u011fini belirtti.
\n\u201cTrump’\u0131n ‘rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finde’ ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 oldu\u011funu ilan etmesi, var olmayan bir zaferi iddia etmeye y\u00f6nelik retorik bir hamleden ibarettir,\u201d diye ekledi.<\/p>\n
Vekil gruplara deste\u011fin sona erdirilmesi
\nSava\u015f ba\u015flamadan \u00fc\u00e7 g\u00fcn \u00f6nce, ABD Kongresi’ne yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 Birli\u011fin Durumu konu\u015fmas\u0131nda Trump, \u0130ran’\u0131 ve \u201conun katil vekillerini\u201d \u201cter\u00f6r, \u00f6l\u00fcm ve nefretten ba\u015fka bir \u015fey\u201d yaymakla su\u00e7lad\u0131.
\nABD ve \u0130srail, uzun s\u00fcredir \u0130ran’dan devlet d\u0131\u015f\u0131 m\u00fcttefiklerine \u2013 ba\u015fta L\u00fcbnan’daki Hizbullah, Yemen’deki Husiler ve Irak’taki bir dizi grup olmak \u00fczere \u2013 deste\u011fini durdurmas\u0131n\u0131 talep ediyor.
\nTahran, bug\u00fcne kadar bu silahl\u0131 gruplara verdi\u011fi deste\u011fi s\u0131n\u0131rlama konusunda herhangi bir diyalo\u011fa girmeyi reddetti.
\nAncak Cuma g\u00fcn\u00fc Trump, \u0130ran’\u0131n vekillerine destek de dahil olmak \u00fczere ABD’nin neredeyse t\u00fcm taleplerini kabul etti\u011fini iddia etti.
\n\u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131’ndan yap\u0131lan bir a\u00e7\u0131klama ise b\u00f6yle bir anla\u015fman\u0131n yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 reddederek, \u201cAmerikal\u0131lar a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 konu\u015fuyor ve durum hakk\u0131nda g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fc \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131yorlar. Yan\u0131lt\u0131lmay\u0131n!\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
U\u00e7urum kapat\u0131labilir mi?
\nPazar g\u00fcn\u00fc, \u0130ran’\u0131n ba\u015f m\u00fczakerecisi ve parlamento ba\u015fkan\u0131 Muhammed Bak\u0131r Galibaf, baz\u0131 konularda \u201csonu\u00e7lara\u201d ula\u015f\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olsa da, \u201cnihai bir anla\u015fmadan \u00e7ok uzakta olduklar\u0131n\u0131\u201d kabul etti.
\nAnalist Geist Pinfold, El Cezire’ye yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, Trump’\u0131n de\u011fi\u015fen pozisyonlar\u0131n\u0131n yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 baz\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131mlara ra\u011fmen, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki derin ayr\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n yak\u0131n vadede kapsaml\u0131 bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 olas\u0131 k\u0131lmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.
\nPinfold, \u201cBir anla\u015fmay\u0131 daha az olas\u0131 k\u0131lan temel komplikasyon, ancak ayn\u0131 zamanda bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 daha olas\u0131 hale getirebilecek potansiyel s\u00fcrprizlerden biri, Trump y\u00f6netiminin k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgilerinin asl\u0131nda ne oldu\u011fu konusundaki belirsizlikleridir,\u201d dedi.
\nGeist Pinfold, \u201c\u015eu anda, bo\u015fluklar a\u015f\u0131lamaz g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor,\u201d diye ekleyerek, \u201cen iyi senaryonun ger\u00e7ek bir anla\u015fmadan ziyade ate\u015fkesin uzat\u0131lmas\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131\u201d kaydetti.
\nBowdoin College’dan Mohandesi’ye g\u00f6re, ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri, mevcut krize m\u00fczakere yoluyla bir son verilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki artan spek\u00fclasyonlara ra\u011fmen b\u00fcy\u00fck yap\u0131sal engellerle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya.
\nMohandesi, \u201cDonald Trump, bu felaket yenilgisini bir \u015fekilde bir zafere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmesi gerekti\u011fini hissediyor,\u201d diyerek ekledi: \u201cM\u00fczakere masas\u0131nda bunun neye benzeyece\u011fi belirsiz.\u201d
\n\u0130ran taraf\u0131nda ise Mohandesi, temel stratejik konularda uzla\u015fmaya pek yer g\u00f6rm\u00fcyor. \u201c\u0130ran f\u00fcze program\u0131ndan kesinlikle vazge\u00e7meyecek. B\u00f6lgedeki m\u00fcttefiklerini desteklemeyi b\u0131rakmayacak ve neredeyse kesinlikle s\u0131f\u0131r zenginle\u015ftirmeye raz\u0131 olmayacak,\u201d dedi.
\nAkademisyen, deniz trafi\u011finin yeniden sa\u011flanmas\u0131n\u0131n bile Washington i\u00e7in anlaml\u0131 bir ba\u015far\u0131 te\u015fkil edip etmeyece\u011fini sorgulad\u0131. Mohandesi, \u201cTrump, \u0130ran’\u0131 H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi stat\u00fckoya d\u00f6nd\u00fcrmeye bir \u015fekilde ikna etse bile, bo\u011faz sava\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flatmadan \u00f6nce a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in bunun nas\u0131l b\u00fcy\u00fck bir zafer olaca\u011f\u0131 belirsiz,\u201d dedi.
\n#ABD\u0130ranG\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #\u0130ranN\u00fckleerProgram\u0131 #BalistikF\u00fczeler #L\u00fcbnanGerilimi #Hizbullah #DiplomatikKriz #Ortado\u011fu #TrumpTehditleri #Ate\u015fkes<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, arabulucular\u0131n devam eden ancak k\u0131r\u0131lgan iki haftal\u0131k ate\u015fkes sona ermeden m\u00fczakereleri yeniden canland\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde, \u0130ran ile ikinci tur g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Pakistan’da yap\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etti. Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc yap\u0131lan bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, s\u00f6ylemdeki keskin bir t\u0131rman\u0131\u015fla birlikte geldi. Trump, \u0130ran’\u0131n bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 \u201cbir \u015fekilde \u2013 ya iyi yolla ya […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4397,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4396","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4396","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4396"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4396\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4397"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4396"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4396"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4396"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}