Sava\u015f Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (ISW) ve Amerikan Giri\u015fim Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc’ndeki Kritik Tehditler Projesi (CTP), \u0130ran ile sava\u015fa ili\u015fkin analizler sunmak \u00fczere g\u00fcnl\u00fck g\u00fcncellemeler yay\u0131nlamaktad\u0131r. G\u00fcncellemeler, ABD ve \u0130srail’in \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na ve \u0130ran ile Direni\u015f Ekseni’nin bu sald\u0131r\u0131lara verdi\u011fi yan\u0131tlara odaklanmaktad\u0131r. G\u00fcncellemeler, son 24 saatlik d\u00f6neme ait olaylar\u0131 kapsamaktad\u0131r.
\n\u0130ran ve Hizbullah, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki sava\u015f\u0131 sona erdirme m\u00fczakerelerini, \u0130srail’in teslimiyetiyle bitirmeyi hedefledikleri L\u00fcbnan’daki sava\u015f\u0131 sona erdirme m\u00fczakerelerine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmeye devam ediyor. \u0130ran rejimi muhtemelen, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri L\u00fcbnan’daki sava\u015fa y\u00f6nlendirerek n\u00fckleer program\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n kontrol\u00fc gibi di\u011fer konularda ABD ile m\u00fczakerelerdeki etkinli\u011fini koruyabilece\u011fini hesapl\u0131yor.
\nABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, 1 Haziran’da \u0130srail ile Hizbullah aras\u0131nda k\u0131smi bir ate\u015fkes ilan etti; buna g\u00f6re \u0130srail, Beyrut’taki Hizbullah hedeflerine sald\u0131rmayacak ve Hizbullah da \u0130srail’e y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 durduracakt\u0131. Ancak Hizbullah yetkilileri, Trump’\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan grubun k\u0131smi ate\u015fkese uymayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Hizbullah, 1 Haziran’dan bu yana ilk kez 3 Haziran’da kuzey \u0130srail’deki \u0130srail Savunma Kuvvetleri’ni (IDF) hedef alan roket sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fczenledi.
\n\u00dcst d\u00fczey Hizbullah yetkilileri, tam bir ate\u015fkes ve \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin L\u00fcbnan’dan \u00e7ekilmesini talep etmeye devam etti. \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer, L\u00fcbnan meselesi hakk\u0131nda uzun s\u00fcreli bir tart\u0131\u015fma yaratma ve b\u00f6ylece H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ile di\u011fer \u00f6nemli anla\u015fmazl\u0131k noktalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin m\u00fczakerelerden dikkati da\u011f\u0131tma \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak, Hizbullah’\u0131n L\u00fcbnan’da tam bir ate\u015fkes ve \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin L\u00fcbnan’dan \u00e7ekilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki maksimalist taleplerini yineledi.
\n\u0130ran rejimi muhtemelen, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri L\u00fcbnan’daki sava\u015fa y\u00f6nlendirerek n\u00fckleer program\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n kontrol\u00fc gibi di\u011fer konularda ABD ile m\u00fczakerelerdeki etkinli\u011fini koruyabilece\u011fini hesapl\u0131yor.
\n\u0130ran rejimi, ablukas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcren ABD’ye maliyet y\u00fcklemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, ayn\u0131 zamanda K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerinin ABD ile ili\u015fkilerini germeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.
\n\u0130ran Parlamento Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve \u0130ran’\u0131n \u00c7in Halk Cumhuriyeti (\u00c7HC) \u0130\u015fleri \u00d6zel Temsilcisi Muhammed Bak\u0131r Galibaf, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Mesud Peze\u015fkiyan’\u0131n devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberler aras\u0131nda \u0130ran’\u0131n ekonomik ve d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131nda icrac\u0131 d\u00fczeyde bir rol \u00fcstleniyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.
\nSeksen be\u015f \u0130ranl\u0131 parlamenter, 31 May\u0131s’ta Y\u00fcce Lider M\u00fccteba Hamenei’ye g\u00f6nderdikleri bir mektupla k\u0131talararas\u0131 balistik f\u00fcze (ICBM) yeteneklerinin geli\u015ftirilmesi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.
\nToplines
\n\u0130ran ve Hizbullah, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki sava\u015f\u0131 sona erdirme m\u00fczakerelerini, \u0130srail’in teslimiyetiyle bitirmeyi hedefledikleri L\u00fcbnan’daki sava\u015f\u0131 sona erdirme m\u00fczakerelerine d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrmeye devam ediyor. ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump, 1 Haziran’da \u0130srail ile Hizbullah aras\u0131nda k\u0131smi bir ate\u015fkes ilan etti; buna g\u00f6re \u0130srail, Beyrut’taki Hizbullah hedeflerine sald\u0131rmayacak ve Hizbullah da \u0130srail’e y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 durduracakt\u0131.[1] \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu, Hizbullah’\u0131n \u0130srail’e sald\u0131rmaya devam etmesi halinde \u0130srail’in Beyrut’taki Hizbullah hedeflerine sald\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu, bu da Hizbullah’\u0131n \u0130srail’e y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 durdurmas\u0131 halinde Beyrut’u vurmamay\u0131 kabul etti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcr\u00fcyor.[2] L\u00fcbnan’\u0131n Washington B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7ili\u011fi, 1 Haziran’da Hizbullah’\u0131n kuzey \u0130srail’e y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 durdurmay\u0131 kabul etti\u011fini iddia etti.[3] Ancak Hizbullah yetkilileri, Trump’\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan grubun k\u0131smi ate\u015fkese uymayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.[4] Hizbullah, 1 Haziran’dan bu yana ilk kez 3 Haziran’da kuzey \u0130srail’deki \u0130srail Savunma Kuvvetleri’ni (IDF) hedef alan roket sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fczenledi.[5] Hizbullah, 3 Haziran’da, IDF’nin Beyrut’un sekiz mil g\u00fcneyindeki Halde’de bir arac\u0131 hedef alan hava sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 d\u00fczenlemesinden birka\u00e7 saat sonra, \u0130srail-L\u00fcbnan s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na yak\u0131n IDF askerlerini hedef alan roketler ate\u015fledi\u011fini iddia etti.[6] \u0130srail’in ABD B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isi Yechiel Leiter, Hizbullah’\u0131n 3 Haziran sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131smi ate\u015fkes ihlali olarak nitelendirdi ve \u0130srail’in Beyrut’taki Hizbullah hedeflerine sald\u0131rarak kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k verebilece\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc.[7] Bir \u0130srailli askeri muhabir, 3 Haziran’da Netanyahu’nun Hizbullah’\u0131n sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na \u0130srail’in yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 belirlemek \u00fczere \u00fcst d\u00fczey \u0130srailli yetkililerle bir araya gelece\u011fini bildirdi.[8]
\n\u00dcst d\u00fczey Hizbullah yetkilileri, tam bir ate\u015fkes ve \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin L\u00fcbnan’dan \u00e7ekilmesini talep etmeye devam etti. Hizbullah Siyasi Konseyi \u00fcyesi Mahmud Kamati, Bat\u0131 medyas\u0131na Hizbullah’\u0131n k\u0131smi bir ate\u015fkese raz\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve daha sonra “ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131” s\u00f6yledi.[9] Hizbullah yetkilileri, IDF’nin L\u00fcbnan’daki t\u00fcm askeri operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131 durdurmas\u0131n\u0131 ve g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’dan tamamen \u00e7ekilmesini talep etti ve \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerini g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’dan \u00e7\u0131karmak i\u00e7in “gereken her t\u00fcrl\u00fc fedakarl\u0131\u011f\u0131” yapacaklar\u0131n\u0131 iddia etti.[10] Bir Hizbullah parlamenteri, 2 Haziran’da Hizbullah’\u0131n temel hedeflerinden birinin \u0130srail’in L\u00fcbnan’dan tamamen \u00e7ekilmesi i\u00e7in bir zaman \u00e7izelgesi elde etmek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.[11] Bu pozisyonlar, Hizbullah Genel Sekreteri Naim Kas\u0131m’\u0131n IDF’nin Hizbullah’a kar\u015f\u0131 t\u00fcm operasyonlar\u0131n\u0131 durdurmas\u0131 ve L\u00fcbnan’dan \u00e7ekilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki talepleriyle tutarl\u0131d\u0131r.[12]
\n\u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer, L\u00fcbnan meselesi hakk\u0131nda uzun s\u00fcreli bir tart\u0131\u015fma yaratma ve b\u00f6ylece H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ile di\u011fer \u00f6nemli anla\u015fmazl\u0131k noktalar\u0131na ili\u015fkin m\u00fczakerelerden dikkati da\u011f\u0131tma \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak, Hizbullah’\u0131n L\u00fcbnan’da tam bir ate\u015fkes ve \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin L\u00fcbnan’dan \u00e7ekilmesi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki maksimalist taleplerini yineledi. \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Abbas Ara\u011f\u00e7i, 3 Haziran’da Hizbullah’a ba\u011fl\u0131 medyaya yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u0130ran ve L\u00fcbnan’\u0131n “ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131” oldu\u011funu ve \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7leri g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’dan \u00e7ekilmedik\u00e7e ABD ve \u0130srail ile \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n sona ermeyece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.[13] \u0130ran Parlamento Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik ve D\u0131\u015f Politika Komisyonu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 \u0130brahim Azizi, 3 Haziran’da Hizbullah yetkililerine, ABD ve \u0130srail ile t\u00fcm cephelerde, “\u00f6zellikle L\u00fcbnan’da”, sava\u015f\u0131 sona erdirmenin \u0130ran’\u0131n ABD ile ate\u015fkes anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n “\u00f6n saflar\u0131nda” yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.[14] Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 (IRGC) ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 Tasnim Haber Ajans\u0131, 3 Haziran’da Hizbullah ile \u0130srail aras\u0131nda tam bir ate\u015fkes ve \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin L\u00fcbnan’dan tamamen \u00e7ekilmesi gerekti\u011fini savundu. Ajans ayr\u0131ca, \u0130ran’\u0131n Hizbullah’\u0131 \u0130srail ve ABD’ye kar\u015f\u0131 cayd\u0131rmak ve etkinli\u011fini korumak i\u00e7in nas\u0131l kullanabilece\u011fini vurgulad\u0131.[15] Rejime yak\u0131n bir siyasi analist de 3 Haziran’da Hizbullah’\u0131n korunmas\u0131n\u0131n “\u0130ran i\u00e7in jeopolitik, stratejik ve ulusal g\u00fcvenlik a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bir zorunluluk” oldu\u011funu belirtti.[16]
\n\u0130ran rejimi ayr\u0131ca, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri L\u00fcbnan’daki sava\u015fa y\u00f6nlendirerek n\u00fckleer program\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n kontrol\u00fc gibi di\u011fer konularda ABD ile m\u00fczakerelerdeki etkinli\u011fini koruyabilece\u011fini hesapl\u0131yor. ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131na tabi Basra K\u00f6rfezi Bo\u011faz Otoritesi (PGSA), 3 Haziran’da bo\u011fazdan ge\u00e7i\u015f i\u00e7in \u0130ran’dan izin isteyen gemilere ili\u015fkin verileri yay\u0131nlamaya devam etti.[17] Tasnim Haber Ajans\u0131, 3 Haziran’da PGSA’n\u0131n raporlar\u0131n\u0131n “\u0130ran’\u0131n bo\u011faz \u00fczerindeki egemenli\u011finin istikrara kavu\u015ftu\u011funu g\u00f6sterdi\u011fini” savundu. Bu yorum, ISW-CTP’nin \u0130ran’\u0131n ate\u015fkes d\u00f6nemini H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki \u0130ran kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc normalle\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak i\u00e7in kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmesiyle tutarl\u0131d\u0131r.[18] Tasnim ayr\u0131ca, \u0130ran rejiminin bo\u011faz \u00fczerindeki egemenli\u011fi sa\u011flamay\u0131, \u0130ran’\u0131n yasa d\u0131\u015f\u0131 trafik ayr\u0131m \u015femas\u0131 \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7en gemilerden ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti toplamaktan daha \u00f6ncelikli tuttu\u011funu belirtti. ISW-CTP, 14 May\u0131s’ta \u0130ran’\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’na ili\u015fkin iddialar\u0131n\u0131n “me\u015fruiyetini” korumay\u0131 ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti toplamaktan daha \u00f6ncelikli tutabilece\u011fini de\u011ferlendirmi\u015fti.[19] Bu yorumlar, \u0130ranl\u0131 karar vericilerin mevcut durumu H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki fiili \u0130ran kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc sa\u011flamla\u015ft\u0131rmak i\u00e7in nas\u0131l kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tmaktad\u0131r. L\u00fcbnan hakk\u0131nda uzun s\u00fcreli bir tart\u0131\u015fma, \u0130ranl\u0131 karar vericilerin taviz vermeyi reddetti\u011fi \u0130ran’\u0131n y\u00fcksek oranda zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f uranyum sto\u011fu ve \u0130ran topraklar\u0131nda uranyum zenginle\u015ftirme yetene\u011fi konusundaki m\u00fczakerelerden de dikkati da\u011f\u0131tmaktad\u0131r.
\n\u0130ran rejimi, ablukas\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcren ABD’ye maliyet y\u00fcklemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken, ayn\u0131 zamanda K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerinin ABD ile ili\u015fkilerini germeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. ABD Merkez Komutanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (CENTCOM), 2 Haziran’da ABD deniz kuvvetlerinin, ABD ablukas\u0131n\u0131 ihlal ederek \u0130ran’\u0131n Hark Adas\u0131’na do\u011fru seyreden Botsvana band\u0131ral\u0131 M\/T Lexie adl\u0131 \u0130ran ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 bir tankeri etkisiz hale getirdi\u011fini belirtti.[20] \u0130ran g\u00fc\u00e7leri daha sonra Basra K\u00f6rfezi’nden ge\u00e7meye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan sivil gemilere sald\u0131r\u0131 dronlar\u0131 f\u0131rlatt\u0131. ABD g\u00fc\u00e7leri dronlardan \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn\u00fc engelledi.[21] Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 ayr\u0131ca, ABD ve \u0130srail’e ait oldu\u011funu iddia etti\u011fi Liberya band\u0131ral\u0131 MSC Panaya’ya gemisavar f\u00fczeleri f\u0131rlatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etti.[22] ABD g\u00fc\u00e7leri daha sonra H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’ndaki Ke\u015fm Adas\u0131’ndaki drone yer kontrol istasyonlar\u0131na me\u015fru m\u00fcdafaa sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fczenledi.[23] \u0130ran g\u00fc\u00e7leri daha sonra Kuveyt ve Bahreyn’deki ABD \u00fcslerine balistik f\u00fczeler ve dronlarla misilleme yapt\u0131.[24] Kuveyt Savunma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, 3 Haziran’da Kuveyt g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin 13 balistik f\u00fcze ve 17 dronu engelledi\u011fini belirtti.[25] Ancak iki \u0130ran f\u00fczesi Kuveyt Uluslararas\u0131 Havaliman\u0131’n\u0131 vurdu, bir ki\u015fiyi \u00f6ld\u00fcrd\u00fc, en az 63 ki\u015fiyi yaralad\u0131 ve \u00f6nemli hasara neden oldu.[26] ABD ve Bahreyn hava savunmalar\u0131 da \u00fc\u00e7 balistik f\u00fczeyi engelledi, bunlardan biri Manama’daki ABD Be\u015finci Filo Karargah\u0131’n\u0131 hedef al\u0131yordu.[27] \u0130ran rejiminin \u0130ngilizce yay\u0131n yapan medya kurulu\u015fu Press TV, \u0130ran’\u0131n sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerine, ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerini bar\u0131nd\u0131rmaya devam etmeleri halinde “topraklar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00fcvende olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131” mesaj\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6nderdi\u011fini iddia etti.[28] Bu yorum, \u0130ran’\u0131n K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerini ABD ile i\u015fbirli\u011fi yapmalar\u0131 halinde sald\u0131r\u0131 tehdidiyle b\u00f6lerek aralar\u0131na nifak sokma \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tmaktad\u0131r. \u0130ran’\u0131n K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkeleri ile ABD aras\u0131ndaki b\u00f6l\u00fcnmeleri yaratma \u00e7abalar\u0131, \u0130ran’\u0131n ABD’yi Orta Do\u011fu’dan \u00e7\u0131karma y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki daha geni\u015f stratejik hedefinin bir par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r.
\n\u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer ve medya, bu sald\u0131r\u0131lara daha fazla tehditle yan\u0131t verdi, muhtemelen ABD’yi \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ablukas\u0131n\u0131 uygulamaktan cayd\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar. \u0130ran Y\u00fcce Lideri M\u00fccteba Hamenei’nin askeri dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 Muhsin R\u0131zai, 3 Haziran’da X’te yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u0130ran’\u0131n ABD’nin m\u00fczakerelerde “a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 taleplerde bulunmas\u0131na” izin vermeyece\u011fini ve herhangi bir ABD askeri eylemine “f\u00fcze ve dron ya\u011fmuruyla” yan\u0131t verece\u011fini belirtti.[29] Press TV de, \u0130ran’\u0131n ABD’yi bu t\u00fcr eylemlerden cayd\u0131rmak i\u00e7in ABD askeri eylemlerine verdi\u011fi yan\u0131tlar\u0131 yo\u011funla\u015ft\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 savundu.[30]
\n\u0130ran Parlamento Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve \u0130ran’\u0131n \u00c7in Halk Cumhuriyeti (\u00c7HC) \u0130\u015fleri \u00d6zel Temsilcisi Muhammed Bak\u0131r Galibaf, \u0130ran’\u0131n ekonomik ve d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131nda icrac\u0131 d\u00fczeyde bir rol \u00fcstleniyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Galibaf, 3 Haziran’da \u0130ran Merkez Bankas\u0131 ba\u015fkan\u0131, Planlama ve B\u00fct\u00e7e Te\u015fkilat\u0131 ba\u015fkan\u0131 ile petrol, ekonomi ve sanayi bakanlar\u0131n\u0131 \u00c7HC’ye y\u00f6nelik \u0130ran’\u0131n ekonomik politikas\u0131n\u0131 koordine etmek \u00fczere bir araya getirdi.[31] Bu toplant\u0131, Y\u00fcce Lider M\u00fccteba Hamenei’nin kendisini 17 May\u0131s’ta bu g\u00f6reve atamas\u0131ndan bu yana Galibaf’\u0131n \u00c7HC i\u015fleri \u00f6zel temsilcisi olarak d\u00fczenledi\u011fi ilk toplant\u0131d\u0131r.[32] Toplant\u0131 ola\u011fand\u0131\u015f\u0131yd\u0131 \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc \u0130ran’da parlamento ba\u015fkanlar\u0131 normalde d\u0131\u015f ekonomik politikay\u0131 koordine etmek ve uygulamak i\u00e7in h\u00fck\u00fcmet yetkililerini bir araya getirmezler. Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 Tasnim Haber Ajans\u0131 daha \u00f6nce 17 May\u0131s’ta Galibaf’\u0131n yeni rol\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00f6nceki \u00c7HC ile ilgili temsilci rollerinden farkl\u0131 bir “yetki seviyesi” ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131.[33] \u0130ran’\u0131n \u00c7HC’ye y\u00f6nelik ekonomik politikas\u0131n\u0131 tart\u0131\u015fmak \u00fczere yap\u0131lan toplant\u0131, Galibaf’\u0131n \u00c7HC gibi ABD d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131yla i\u015fbirli\u011fini derinle\u015ftirmeyi nas\u0131l hedefledi\u011fini de vurgulamaktad\u0131r.
\nGalibaf’\u0131n toplant\u0131s\u0131, Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Mesud Peze\u015fkiyan’\u0131n rejimde devre d\u0131\u015f\u0131 b\u0131rak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair haberler aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti. Rejim kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 medya, 31 May\u0131s’ta Peze\u015fkiyan’\u0131n Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 yetkililerinin rejimdeki artan hakimiyeti nedeniyle Y\u00fcce Lider M\u00fccteba Hamenei’ye istifa mektubunu sundu\u011funu bildirdi.[34] ISW-CTP, Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Komutan\u0131 T\u00fcmgeneral Ahmed Vahidi ve yak\u0131n \u00e7evresinin rejim karar alma s\u00fcre\u00e7lerine hakim oldu\u011funu ve Galibaf’a kar\u015f\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fcnl\u00fck sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeye devam ediyor.[35] Galibaf’\u0131n icrac\u0131 d\u00fczeyde bir rol oynuyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi, Galibaf’\u0131n rejim karar alma s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinde Vahidi ile ayn\u0131 etkiye sahip oldu\u011fu anlam\u0131na gelmez.
\nSeksen be\u015f \u0130ranl\u0131 parlamenter, 31 May\u0131s’ta Y\u00fcce Lider M\u00fccteba Hamenei’ye g\u00f6nderdikleri bir mektupla k\u0131talararas\u0131 balistik f\u00fcze (ICBM) yeteneklerinin geli\u015ftirilmesi \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu.[36] Parlamenterler, \u0130ran f\u00fczeleri ABD’ye ula\u015fana kadar Parlamento’nun \u0130ran askeri g\u00fc\u00e7lerini ve savunma sanayisini destekleyece\u011fini belirtti.[37] \u0130ran’\u0131n bilinen en uzun menzilli f\u00fczeleri, 2.000 kilometre menzile sahip oldu\u011fu bildirilen Emad, Seccil ve \u015eahab-3’t\u00fcr.[38] \u0130ran, Mart 2026’da \u0130ran’\u0131n g\u00fcney s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131ndan yakla\u015f\u0131k 3.700 kilometre uzakl\u0131ktaki Diego Garcia’y\u0131 hedef alan iki balistik f\u00fcze f\u0131rlatmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131, bu \u0130ran’\u0131n \u015fimdiye kadarki en uzak f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 giri\u015fimiydi.[39] F\u00fczelerden biri u\u00e7u\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z olurken, di\u011feri ABD g\u00fc\u00e7leri taraf\u0131ndan engellendi.[40]
\nABD-\u0130ran M\u00fczakereleri
\nBa\u015fl\u0131klar b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne bak\u0131n\u0131z.
\nH\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 ve Basra K\u00f6rfezi’ndeki Deniz Faaliyetleri
\nBa\u015fl\u0131klar b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcne bak\u0131n\u0131z.
\nABD ve \u0130srail Hava Harekat\u0131
\nBildirilecek \u00f6nemli bir \u015fey yok.
\n\u0130ran \u0130\u00e7 \u0130\u015fleri
\nABD, rejimi uluslararas\u0131 piyasalardan izole ederek \u0130ran rejimine ekonomik bask\u0131 uygulamaya devam ediyor. ABD Hazine Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, 2 Haziran’da \u0130ran yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 ihlal etmeyi kolayla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 gerek\u00e7esiyle d\u00f6rt b\u00fcy\u00fck \u0130ran kripto para borsas\u0131n\u0131 ve liderlerini yapt\u0131r\u0131m listesine ald\u0131.[41] ABD Adalet Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ise 3 Haziran’da, ABD kolluk kuvvetlerinin, on y\u0131l\u0131 a\u015fk\u0131n s\u00fcredir ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 gizlice ihlal ederek ABD men\u015feli a\u011f ve \u015fifreleme ekipmanlar\u0131n\u0131 \u0130ran n\u00fckleer ve askeri kurulu\u015flar\u0131na sat\u0131n al\u0131p ihra\u00e7 eden \u0130ran merkezli bir teknoloji firmas\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ifte ABD-\u0130ran vatanda\u015f\u0131 CEO’sunu tutuklad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu.[42] CEO’nun uluslararas\u0131 arac\u0131lar arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla 15 milyon dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde para aklad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi.[43]
\n\u0130ran Direni\u015f Ekseni
\nL\u00fcbnan Hizbullah\u0131 ve \u0130srail’in L\u00fcbnan’daki Harekat\u0131
\nHizbullah, \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin kendi taktik ayarlamalar\u0131na yan\u0131t olarak, Hizbullah’\u0131n FPV drone ke\u015fif ve sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131ndan ka\u00e7\u0131nmak i\u00e7in gece operasyonlar\u0131 yapmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’daki \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerini hedef alan gece sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fczenlemek i\u00e7in termal kameralarla donat\u0131lm\u0131\u015f birinci \u015fah\u0131s g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f (FPV) dronlar\u0131n\u0131 kullanmaya devam etti. Hizbullah, 1 ve 2 Haziran’da termal kameralar kullanan birka\u00e7 FPV dronunun gece \u0130srail mevzilerini tespit edip vurdu\u011fu g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcleri yay\u0131nlad\u0131.[44] Hizbullah, en az 23 May\u0131s’tan bu yana \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerine y\u00f6nelik gece sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 i\u00e7in FPV dronlar\u0131n\u0131 termal kameralarla donatmaya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015f olabilir.[45] Hizbullah, son g\u00fcnlerde a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olarak Litani Nehri’nin kuzeyine ilerleyen \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerine gece FPV drone sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 d\u00fczenledi.[46] Hizbullah ayr\u0131ca, bu yeteneklerin daha s\u0131k ve \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclemeyen sald\u0131r\u0131 riskini art\u0131rmas\u0131 nedeniyle, \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerinin moralini bozmak ve psikolojik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131y\u0131 en \u00fcst d\u00fczeye \u00e7\u0131karmak i\u00e7in de geceleri FPV dronlar\u0131n\u0131 kullan\u0131yor olabilir.[47] Hizbullah, \u0130srail halk\u0131 aras\u0131nda korkuyu art\u0131rmak ve \u0130srailli siyasi liderler \u00fczerinde IDF’nin L\u00fcbnan’daki harekat\u0131n\u0131 sona erdirmeleri i\u00e7in pop\u00fcler i\u00e7 bask\u0131 olu\u015fturmak amac\u0131yla da gece FPV sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fclerini yay\u0131nlam\u0131\u015f olabilir.[48]
\nDi\u011fer Direni\u015f Ekseni Faaliyetleri
\nBildirilecek \u00f6nemli bir \u015fey yok.
\n#\u0130ran #Hizbullah #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #L\u00fcbnanSava\u015f\u0131 #ABD\u0130ranGerilimi #\u0130srailSald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 #F\u00fczeProgram\u0131 #K\u0131talararas\u0131F\u00fcze #EkonomikYapt\u0131r\u0131mlar #Ortado\u011fu<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sava\u015f Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (ISW) ve Amerikan Giri\u015fim Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc’ndeki Kritik Tehditler Projesi (CTP), \u0130ran ile sava\u015fa ili\u015fkin analizler sunmak \u00fczere g\u00fcnl\u00fck g\u00fcncellemeler yay\u0131nlamaktad\u0131r. G\u00fcncellemeler, ABD ve \u0130srail’in \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na ve \u0130ran ile Direni\u015f Ekseni’nin bu sald\u0131r\u0131lara verdi\u011fi yan\u0131tlara odaklanmaktad\u0131r. G\u00fcncellemeler, son 24 saatlik d\u00f6neme ait olaylar\u0131 kapsamaktad\u0131r. \u0130ran ve Hizbullah, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki sava\u015f\u0131 sona […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":31494,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31493","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31493","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31493"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31493\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/31494"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31493"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31493"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31493"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}