Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump’\u0131n K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkesi ‘uslu durmazsa’ Umman’\u0131 ‘havaya u\u00e7urma’ y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki pervas\u0131z tehdidi, Washington’\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki en de\u011ferli ortaklar\u0131ndan biriyle, onlarca y\u0131ld\u0131r Amerika’n\u0131n \u0130ran ile diplomatik ili\u015fkilerinde \u00f6nemli bir arabulucu rol\u00fc \u00fcstlenen bir \u00fclkeyle gerilimi t\u0131rmand\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ba\u015fkan Trump’\u0131n \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc Kabine toplant\u0131s\u0131nda sarf etti\u011fi ‘Bo\u011faz herkese a\u00e7\u0131k olmal\u0131. Buras\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 sular. Kimse kontrol etmeyecek. Biz g\u00f6z kulak olaca\u011f\u0131z… Umman da herkes gibi uslu duracak, yoksa onlar\u0131 havaya u\u00e7urmak zorunda kal\u0131r\u0131z. Bunu anl\u0131yorlar. \u0130yi olacaklar’ \u015feklindeki k\u00fcstah ifadeler, ABD’nin b\u00f6lgedeki tek tarafl\u0131 ve tehditkar tutumunu bir kez daha ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n
Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, Basra K\u00f6rfezi’ni Umman Denizi’ne ba\u011flayan ve d\u00fcnya petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nemli bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7ti\u011fi stratejik H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n gelece\u011fine ili\u015fkin tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ortas\u0131nda geldi. Trump y\u00f6netimi, \u0130ran ve Umman aras\u0131nda bo\u011faz i\u00e7in potansiyel bir ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccreti sistemi veya ortak y\u00f6netim d\u00fczenlemesi \u00fczerine yap\u0131lan me\u015fru g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere \u015fiddetle kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karak, bu t\u00fcr bir ad\u0131m\u0131n ‘sey\u00fcsefer \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc tehdit edece\u011fini’ ve ‘Tahran’a daha fazla etki sa\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131’ iddia etti. Bu iddialar, ABD’nin \u0130ran’\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki me\u015fru rol\u00fcn\u00fc ve i\u015fbirli\u011fi \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131 engelleme aray\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Bu yorumlar, Umman’\u0131n d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u00f6nemli nakliye rotalar\u0131ndan biri olan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n gelecekteki y\u00f6netimiyle ilgili \u00f6nerileri isti\u015fare ederken \u0130ran’la y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc yap\u0131c\u0131 angajman \u00e7abalar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ABD’nin rahats\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n
Umman b\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7ili\u011fi ve Beyaz Saray’dan, bu gerilimler veya H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki m\u00fczakereler hakk\u0131nda hen\u00fcz bir a\u00e7\u0131klama gelmedi.<\/p>\n
Arap Yar\u0131madas\u0131’n\u0131n g\u00fcneydo\u011fu ucunda stratejik bir konumda yer alan Umman, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n g\u00fcney taraf\u0131n\u0131 kontrol etmekte ve uzun s\u00fcredir K\u00f6rfez kom\u015fular\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011fundan farkl\u0131, ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ve dengeli bir d\u0131\u015f politika izlemektedir.<\/p>\n
ABD ile g\u00fcvenlik alan\u0131nda i\u015fbirli\u011fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmekle birlikte, Maskat ayn\u0131 zamanda \u0130ran ile k\u00f6kl\u00fc ili\u015fkilerini muhafaza etmi\u015f, bu da onu b\u00f6lgenin en g\u00fcvenilir arabulucular\u0131ndan biri haline getirmi\u015ftir. Umman, n\u00fckleer m\u00fczakerelere zemin haz\u0131rlayan gizli ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerini kolayla\u015ft\u0131rm\u0131\u015f, Washington ile Tahran aras\u0131nda defalarca diplomatik kanal g\u00f6revi g\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015f ve Yemen’deki \u0130ran destekli Husiler ile ilgili m\u00fczakerelerde yap\u0131c\u0131 bir rol oynam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Washington Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc’nde k\u0131demli ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131 April Alley, Umman’\u0131n ‘Ortado\u011fu’nun \u0130svi\u00e7re’si’ rol\u00fcn\u00fcn b\u00f6lgesel istikrara ve diyalog kanallar\u0131n\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k kalmas\u0131na \u00f6nemli katk\u0131lar sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
Alley, Umman’\u0131n ‘ABD ve \u0130ran aras\u0131nda say\u0131s\u0131z m\u00fczakere turunu kolayla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131’ ve ‘K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz’de ABD ile Husiler aras\u0131nda bir ate\u015fkesin sa\u011flanmas\u0131na arac\u0131l\u0131k etti\u011fini’ vurgulad\u0131. ‘Tarafs\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131, kar\u015f\u0131t taraflar konu\u015fmaya haz\u0131r oldu\u011funda sessiz ve etkili bir arabulucu olmalar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011fl\u0131yor’ ifadelerini kulland\u0131.<\/p>\n
Umman’\u0131n Washington i\u00e7in de\u011feri, bir\u00e7ok ABD orta\u011f\u0131n\u0131n do\u011frudan temas kurmaktan \u00e7ekindi\u011fi akt\u00f6rlerle bile ileti\u015fim kanallar\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k tutma konusundaki benzersiz yetene\u011finden kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. Bu durum, Umman’\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n bir yans\u0131mas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n
K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkesi, Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri ve \u0130ran’\u0131 i\u00e7eren kritik m\u00fczakerelerde arabulucu olarak hizmet etmi\u015f, Yemen ile ilgili diplomatik \u00e7abalara destek vermi\u015f ve b\u00f6lgesel krizler s\u0131ras\u0131nda kendisini s\u00fcrekli olarak tarafs\u0131z ve g\u00fcvenilir bir arabulucu olarak konumland\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Mona Yacoubian bu rol\u00fc \u00f6nceki diplomatik \u00e7abalar i\u00e7in ‘vazge\u00e7ilmez’ olarak nitelendirdi.<\/p>\n
‘Umman, Obama d\u00f6nemi n\u00fckleer anla\u015fmas\u0131 (JCPOA) ve daha yak\u0131n zamanda Trump y\u00f6netiminin \u0130ran ile m\u00fczakere \u00e7abalar\u0131 dahil olmak \u00fczere \u00e7e\u015fitli m\u00fczakerelerde Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri ve \u0130ran aras\u0131nda arabuluculuk yaparak uzun s\u00fcredir \u00f6nemli bir sessiz ve yap\u0131c\u0131 arabulucu rol\u00fc oynam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r,’ dedi.<\/p>\n
S\u00f6zde Retori\u011fin Ard\u0131ndaki Ger\u00e7ek Anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar<\/p>\n
Trump’\u0131n pervas\u0131z a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekerken, uzmanlar bunlar\u0131n sadece uzun s\u00fcredir devam eden bir ABD orta\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k bir tehdit olman\u0131n \u00f6tesinde, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n gelece\u011fi \u00fczerindeki derin ve esasl\u0131 anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131 yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
Alley, a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n sadece uzun s\u00fcredir devam eden bir ABD orta\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k bir tehdit mi yoksa daha derin endi\u015feleri mi yans\u0131tt\u0131\u011f\u0131 soruldu\u011funda, ‘San\u0131r\u0131m ikisi de’ yan\u0131t\u0131n\u0131 verdi.<\/p>\n
‘Umman \u00f6nemli bir savunma orta\u011f\u0131d\u0131r ve Trump y\u00f6netiminin onlarla arabuluculuk giri\u015fimlerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ge\u00e7mi\u015fi vard\u0131r. Ba\u015fkan\u0131n al\u0131\u015f\u0131lmad\u0131k bir tarz\u0131 olsa da, bu t\u00fcr bir tehdit kabul edilemez ve \u015fok edicidir.’<\/p>\n
‘\u015eok de\u011ferinin \u00f6tesinde, san\u0131r\u0131m bu durum ABD y\u00f6netiminin Umman’\u0131n Bo\u011faz’a y\u00f6nelik ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ve i\u015fbirlik\u00e7i yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndan duydu\u011fu a\u00e7\u0131k rahats\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yans\u0131t\u0131yor’ dedi. ‘Ba\u015fkan, Umman’\u0131n \u0130ran ile Bo\u011faz’\u0131n y\u00f6netimi konusunda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 me\u015fru g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin, \u0130ran’a idari kontrol verebilece\u011fi ve seyr\u00fcsefer \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcne m\u00fcdahale edebilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki as\u0131ls\u0131z endi\u015felerini dile getiriyor.’<\/p>\n
ABD y\u00f6netiminin ‘endi\u015feleri’, \u0130ran ve Umman’\u0131n stratejik su yolunun ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccretleri, har\u00e7lar veya ortak y\u00f6netimi i\u00e7eren i\u015fbirli\u011fi d\u00fczenlemelerini tart\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki raporlara dayan\u0131yor. Bu ‘endi\u015feler’, \u0130ran’\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki me\u015fru haklar\u0131n\u0131 ve i\u015fbirli\u011fi potansiyelini g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmektedir.<\/p>\n
Alley, ‘ABD y\u00f6netiminin, Bo\u011faz’\u0131n ge\u00e7i\u015f \u00fccretleri, har\u00e7lar\u0131 veya ortak y\u00f6netimi konusunda dile getirdi\u011fi endi\u015feler, \u0130ran’\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki me\u015fru \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etmektedir’ dedi. ‘Bu t\u00fcr i\u015fbirli\u011fi modelleri, b\u00f6lgesel \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 fayda sa\u011flayabilir ve tek tarafl\u0131 kontrol iddialar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 bir denge unsuru olabilir.’<\/p>\n
Alley, \u0130ran’\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz \u00fczerinde idari kontrol sa\u011flamas\u0131n\u0131n, di\u011fer b\u00f6lgesel akt\u00f6rlerin benzer i\u015fbirli\u011fi modelleri aramas\u0131na yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki ‘endi\u015felerini’ dile getirdi. Ancak bu t\u00fcr i\u015fbirlikleri, b\u00f6lgesel istikrar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirebilir.<\/p>\n
Stratejik ve Uluslararas\u0131 \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar Merkezi Ortado\u011fu Program\u0131 k\u0131demli dan\u0131\u015fman\u0131 ve direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Mona Yacoubian da, bo\u011faz\u0131n y\u00f6netimi yoluyla \u0130ran’a finansal olarak fayda sa\u011flayacak bir d\u00fczenlemenin ‘ABD i\u00e7in endi\u015fe kayna\u011f\u0131 olabilece\u011fi’ g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc dile getirdi. Ancak bu t\u00fcr bir d\u00fczenlemenin b\u00f6lgesel i\u015fbirli\u011fini art\u0131rabilece\u011fi de g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilmemelidir.<\/p>\n
‘E\u011fer ger\u00e7ekten tart\u0131\u015f\u0131l\u0131yorsa, \u0130ran, Umman ve muhtemelen di\u011fer K\u00f6rfez \u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi Konseyi (K\u0130K) \u00fclkelerine parasal fayda sa\u011flayan ortak bir y\u00f6netim \u015femas\u0131, ABD taraf\u0131ndan ‘sey\u00fcsefer \u00f6zg\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fcn daha geni\u015f ilkelerini zay\u0131flataca\u011f\u0131’ ve ‘k\u00fcresel olarak endi\u015fe verici bir emsal te\u015fkil edece\u011fi’ gerek\u00e7esiyle ele\u015ftirilmektedir. Ancak bu t\u00fcr bir i\u015fbirli\u011fi, b\u00f6lgesel akt\u00f6rlerin kendi kaynaklar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki me\u015fru kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc peki\u015ftirebilir ve d\u0131\u015f m\u00fcdahaleyi azaltabilir.’<\/p>\n
Yacoubian, Umman’\u0131n bo\u011fazdaki olas\u0131 nakliye kesintileri konusundaki endi\u015felerin ortas\u0131nda \u0130ran ve K\u00f6rfez Arap devletleri aras\u0131nda yap\u0131c\u0131 bir k\u00f6pr\u00fc g\u00f6revi g\u00f6rmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Ancak Yacoubian, ‘Bu t\u00fcr tehditlerin k\u00fcresel olarak kabul g\u00f6rmedi\u011fini ve Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri’nin g\u00fcvenilir bir m\u00fczakereci ve \u00f6nde gelen bir k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak itibar\u0131n\u0131 ciddi \u015fekilde zedeledi\u011fini vurgulamak \u00f6nemlidir’ ifadeleriyle Trump’\u0131n tehditlerinin olumsuz etkilerini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n
Umman’\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z rol\u00fc, baz\u0131 \u00e7evrelerce ele\u015ftirilere maruz kalsa da, Maskat’\u0131n K\u00f6rfez kom\u015fular\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funun aksine, gerginlik d\u00f6nemlerinde bile rakip b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7lerle yap\u0131c\u0131 ili\u015fkilerini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme \u00e7abas\u0131 takdire \u015fayand\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Ortado\u011fu Forumu’nda k\u0131demli ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131 Michael Rubin gibi baz\u0131 ABD’li ele\u015ftirmenler ise, Maskat hakk\u0131ndaki ‘endi\u015felerin’ H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki mevcut anla\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u00f6tesine ge\u00e7ti\u011fini iddia etti.<\/p>\n
Rubin, ‘Umman genellikle Katar-lite gibi davran\u0131r’ diyerek, ‘arabuluculuk yapmay\u0131 sevdiklerini ancak ge\u00e7mi\u015fte ter\u00f6r finansman\u0131na ve silah ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6z yummu\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnd\u00fckleri’ y\u00f6n\u00fcnde temelsiz iddialarda bulundu.<\/p>\n
Rubin, \u0130ran’\u0131n Umman \u00fczerinden Yemen’deki Husi isyanc\u0131lara ‘silah ka\u00e7ak\u00e7\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131’ iddialar\u0131, Umman’\u0131n Husi liderlerini a\u011f\u0131rlamas\u0131 ve K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz’deki nakliye kesintileriyle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 ‘finansal te\u015fvikler’ gibi as\u0131ls\u0131z su\u00e7lamalar\u0131 dile getirdi. Bu t\u00fcr iddialar, Umman’\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131 karalamay\u0131 ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n
Ortado\u011fu Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc’nde ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131 ve eski D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Ortado\u011fu i\u015fleri k\u0131demli yetkilisi Daniel Beinam, ‘Umman’\u0131n kendi ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z yolunu se\u00e7ti\u011fi ve bazen \u0130ran ile K\u00f6rfez’in geri kalan\u0131 aras\u0131nda dengeleyici bir rol oynad\u0131\u011f\u0131, bunun da ABD’li politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131 ‘endi\u015felendirdi\u011fi’ bir s\u0131r de\u011fil’ ifadelerini kulland\u0131. Bu durum, Umman’\u0131n b\u00f6lgesel dengeleri g\u00f6zetme \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131n bir g\u00f6stergesidir.<\/p>\n
Yine de Beinam, ABD ile Umman aras\u0131ndaki k\u00f6kl\u00fc ili\u015fkilerin \u00f6nemini vurgulamay\u0131 ihmal etmedi.<\/p>\n
‘Bir bu\u00e7uk as\u0131rd\u0131r Umman, Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri ile belirli alanlarda i\u015fbirli\u011fi i\u00e7inde olmu\u015ftur’ dedi. Ancak bu i\u015fbirli\u011fi, Umman’\u0131n ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z duru\u015funu engellememi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n
#TrumpTehdidi #Umman #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #\u0130ran #ABD #Ortado\u011fu #Diplomasi #B\u00f6lgesel\u0130stikrar #Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zD\u0131\u015fPolitika #Uluslararas\u0131Hukuk<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump’\u0131n K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkesi ‘uslu durmazsa’ Umman’\u0131 ‘havaya u\u00e7urma’ y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki pervas\u0131z tehdidi, Washington’\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki en de\u011ferli ortaklar\u0131ndan biriyle, onlarca y\u0131ld\u0131r Amerika’n\u0131n \u0130ran ile diplomatik ili\u015fkilerinde \u00f6nemli bir arabulucu rol\u00fc \u00fcstlenen bir \u00fclkeyle gerilimi t\u0131rmand\u0131rd\u0131. Ba\u015fkan Trump’\u0131n \u00c7ar\u015famba g\u00fcnk\u00fc Kabine toplant\u0131s\u0131nda sarf etti\u011fi ‘Bo\u011faz herkese a\u00e7\u0131k olmal\u0131. Buras\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 sular. Kimse kontrol etmeyecek. Biz g\u00f6z […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":30493,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30492","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30492","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30492"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30492\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/30493"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30492"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30492"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30492"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}