Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki bar\u0131\u015f m\u00fczakerelerinin sona ermesi \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil; zira iki taraf uzun s\u00fcredir birbirini dinlemiyordu. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri \u0130ranl\u0131lar\u0131n sonland\u0131rmas\u0131 da beklenmedik bir durum de\u011fil; zira \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ve taraflar aras\u0131ndaki t\u00fcm ili\u015fkinin kontrol\u00fc bu a\u015famada \u0130ran’\u0131n elinde<\/strong>.<\/p>\n Ba\u015fkan Donald Trump, \u015eubat ay\u0131nda ba\u015flayan 38 g\u00fcnl\u00fck bombard\u0131manla ABD ve \u0130srail hava ve deniz g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn \u0130ran ordusunun b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 yok etti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnerek, Tahran’\u0131n taleplerine boyun e\u011fene kadar g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri uzatabilece\u011fini san\u0131yordu. Ancak bu, Washington’\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir yan\u0131lg\u0131s\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n \u0130ranl\u0131lar, oyunun kontrol\u00fcn\u00fcn kendilerinde oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlad\u0131. 13.000’den fazla hedefi vuran ve \u0130ran’\u0131n siyasi liderli\u011finin \u00fcst kademesini hedef alan yo\u011fun sald\u0131r\u0131lara ra\u011fmen, \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti ayakta kald\u0131<\/strong>, ordusunun se\u00e7kin kollar\u0131 g\u00f6rev ba\u015f\u0131nda kald\u0131 ve b\u00f6lgesel d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131 tehdit edecek kadar f\u00fcze g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc korudu. Dahas\u0131, asimetrik sava\u015f\u0131n ustaca bir stratejisiyle \u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131<\/em>‘n\u0131 kontrol etmeye ve bloke etmeye devam ederek k\u00fcresel ekonominin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 etkilemeyi s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc.<\/p>\n Bu sava\u015f\u0131n asla ba\u015flamas\u0131 gerekmiyordu ve Trump’\u0131n neden bu sava\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flatma ihtiyac\u0131 hissetti\u011fi hala belirsizli\u011fini koruyor. Ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7taki gerek\u00e7esi \u2013 ‘zalim rejimi devirip \u0130ran halk\u0131n\u0131n y\u00f6netimi ele ge\u00e7irmesini sa\u011flamak’ \u2013 her zaman bir hayalden ibaretti. Hatta \u00f6zel toplant\u0131larda Trump’\u0131n dan\u0131\u015fmanlar\u0131, \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu taraf\u0131ndan sunulan ‘rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi’ senaryosunu ‘sa\u00e7mal\u0131k’ olarak nitelendirmi\u015fti. Trump’\u0131n kendisi bile bu iddiay\u0131 ciddiye almam\u0131\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; zira daha sonra ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fczere, o ve Netanyahu, son y\u0131llar\u0131n en bask\u0131c\u0131 liderlerinden biri olan eski Ba\u015fkan Mahmud Ahmedinejad’\u0131 Ayetullah’\u0131n halefi olarak atamay\u0131 planl\u0131yordu. Bu durum, Washington’\u0131n \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik politikalar\u0131n\u0131n ne kadar tutars\u0131z ve ger\u00e7eklikten uzak oldu\u011funu bir kez daha g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serdi.<\/p>\n Son haftalarda Trump, sava\u015f\u0131n amac\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer silah yapma kabiliyetini ‘sonsuza dek’ ortadan kald\u0131rmak oldu\u011funu iddia etti, ancak bu da pek mant\u0131kl\u0131 de\u011fildi. Trump, ge\u00e7en Haziran ay\u0131ndaki ‘Gece Yar\u0131s\u0131 \u00c7ekici<\/em>‘ olarak bilinen bombard\u0131man sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran’\u0131n y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyde zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f uranyum stokunu ‘yok etti\u011fini’ s\u0131k\u00e7a dile getirmi\u015fti. Daha sonra bu iddias\u0131n\u0131 yumu\u015fatarak, sald\u0131r\u0131 sonucunda bir da\u011f\u0131n i\u00e7ine gizlenmi\u015f uranyumun, \u0130ranl\u0131lar\u0131n ula\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131 kadar kal\u0131n bir granit y\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n alt\u0131na g\u00f6m\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve e\u011fer deneselerdi casus uydular\u0131n onlar\u0131 g\u00f6rece\u011fini ve b\u00f6lgeyi tekrar bombalayacaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Trump ge\u00e7en ay bir Fox News r\u00f6portaj\u0131nda bunlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi\u011finde, spiker neden bu kadarla yetinip sava\u015f\u0131 durduramad\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 sordu. Trump, bir bak\u0131ma yeterli oldu\u011funu ancak ‘halkla ili\u015fkiler’ i\u00e7in olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Bu ifadeler, Washington’\u0131n sava\u015f gerek\u00e7elerinin ne kadar y\u00fczeysel ve manip\u00fclatif oldu\u011funu ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n Krizin diplomatik \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm unsurlar\u0131, ABD-\u0130ran ili\u015fkilerini takip eden herkes i\u00e7in a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. \u0130ran’\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7mas\u0131 (sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi duruma d\u00f6n\u00fclmesi), zenginle\u015ftirmeye s\u0131k\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rlar getirmesi ve uluslararas\u0131 denet\u00e7ilerin uyumu do\u011frulamas\u0131na izin vermesi gerekiyordu (ki bunu Ba\u015fkan Barack Obama ve di\u011fer be\u015f d\u00fcnya lideri taraf\u0131ndan imzalanan 2015 \u0130ran n\u00fckleer anla\u015fmas\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda yapm\u0131\u015ft\u0131; Trump bu anla\u015fmay\u0131 2018’de bozmu\u015ftu). ABD’nin ise deniz ablukas\u0131n\u0131 sona erdirmesi, bir t\u00fcr sald\u0131rmazl\u0131k taahh\u00fcd\u00fc imzalamas\u0131 ve Trump’\u0131n n\u00fckleer anla\u015fmay\u0131 iptal edip ekonomik yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 yeniden uygulamaya koydu\u011funda dondurulan \u0130ran varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 serbest b\u0131rakmas\u0131 gerekiyordu.<\/p>\n Trump’\u0131n el\u00e7ileri \u2013 damad\u0131 Jared Kushner ve emlak\u00e7\u0131 arkada\u015f\u0131 Steve Witkoff \u2013 Pakistanl\u0131 arabulucular arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla b\u00f6yle bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 neredeyse tamamlamak \u00fczereydi. Hatta bir noktada \u0130ran, y\u00fcksek d\u00fczeyde zenginle\u015ftirilmi\u015f uranyumunu ihra\u00e7 etmeyi ve t\u00fcm zenginle\u015ftirmeyi be\u015f y\u0131l s\u00fcreyle ask\u0131ya almay\u0131 kabul etmi\u015fti. Trump, b\u00f6yle bir anla\u015fman\u0131n Obama’n\u0131n anla\u015fmas\u0131ndan daha ileri gitti\u011fiyle \u00f6v\u00fcnebilirdi. Ancak o, \u0130ran’\u0131n 20 y\u0131l boyunca zenginle\u015ftirmeyi durdurmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc. \u0130ran bu fikri de\u011ferlendirirken, Trump kamuoyuna b\u00f6lgedeki t\u00fcm Arap ve M\u00fcsl\u00fcman liderlerin \u0130brahim Anla\u015fmalar\u0131<\/em>n\u0131 imzalamas\u0131 ve \u0130srail’i resmen tan\u0131mas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi \u2013 \u0130ran’\u0131n da bunu yapmas\u0131n\u0131 umdu\u011funu ekleyerek. Bu durum, Washington’\u0131n m\u00fczakere masas\u0131nda ne kadar ciddiyetsiz ve tutars\u0131z davrand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi.<\/p>\n Bu ani talep, kendilerini ABD ile m\u00fcttefik g\u00f6ren ve sava\u015f\u0131n sona ermesini uman Suudileri ve di\u011fer y\u00f6neticileri \u015fa\u015f\u0131rtt\u0131. Bu durum muhtemelen \u0130ranl\u0131lar\u0131n da Trump’\u0131n ger\u00e7ekten bir anla\u015fma yapmak isteyip istemedi\u011fini sorgulamas\u0131na neden oldu. Trump’\u0131n tutars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u2013 \u0130ran medeniyetini yok etme tehditleri, asl\u0131nda hi\u00e7bir \u015fey \u00fczerinde anla\u015f\u0131lmam\u0131\u015fken saatler veya g\u00fcnler i\u00e7inde bir anla\u015fman\u0131n beklendi\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 \u2013 zaten onun ciddiye al\u0131n\u0131p al\u0131nmamas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc. Sonunda, \u0130ranl\u0131lar t\u00fcm g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri iptal etti<\/strong>. Son damla ise \u0130srail’in L\u00fcbnan’\u0131 yo\u011fun bombard\u0131man\u0131 oldu. Bu sava\u015f\u0131n yeniden canlanmas\u0131, Trump-Netanyahu’nun \u0130ran’a kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fc\u011f\u00fc sava\u015f\u0131n bir ba\u015fka sonucuydu. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l \u0130srail, L\u00fcbnan’\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 uzun s\u00fcredir kontrol eden \u0130ran destekli Hizbullah milislerini a\u011f\u0131r bir \u015fekilde vurmu\u015ftu; Trump y\u00f6netimi, Beyrut h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin uygulamay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ate\u015fkesin m\u00fczakere edilmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olmu\u015ftu. Ancak Trump ve Netanyahu \u015eubat ay\u0131nda \u0130ran’a kar\u015f\u0131 hava sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, Hizbullah kuzey \u0130srail’e tekrar f\u00fcze atmaya ba\u015flad\u0131. (Bu bir s\u00fcrpriz olarak geldi; \u0130srailliler de dahil olmak \u00fczere \u00e7o\u011fu g\u00f6zlemci, Hizbullah’\u0131n neredeyse tamamen yok edildi\u011fini ve f\u00fcze g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn ortadan kald\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 varsaym\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ancak Hizbullah’\u0131n direni\u015fi<\/strong>, bu iddialar\u0131n bo\u015f oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlad\u0131.)<\/p>\n ABD-\u0130ran g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri boyunca Tahran delegeleri, \u0130srail’in dahil oldu\u011fu iki sava\u015f\u0131n \u2013 \u0130ran’da ve L\u00fcbnan’da \u2013 esasen ayn\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma oldu\u011funu ve bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n L\u00fcbnan’da ate\u015fkesi i\u00e7ermesi gerekti\u011fini vurgulad\u0131. Son g\u00fcnlerde Netanyahu’nun Hizbullah kal\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcrece L\u00fcbnan’\u0131 bombalamay\u0131 durdurmayaca\u011f\u0131 ve Trump’\u0131n \u0130srailli dostunun rotas\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmesi i\u00e7in hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yapmayaca\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Bu durum, Washington’\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki krizlere tek tarafl\u0131 ve \u0130srail yanl\u0131s\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 bir kez daha g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serdi.<\/p>\n Trump’\u0131n \u015fimdi ne yapaca\u011f\u0131 belirsizli\u011fini koruyor. \u0130ran’\u0131 yeniden bombalamak istemedi\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor. \u015e\u00fcphesiz, onu defalarca tehdit edip sonra hi\u00e7bir belirgin sebep olmaks\u0131z\u0131n geri ad\u0131m att\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 izleyen \u0130ranl\u0131lar bu sonuca varm\u0131\u015f durumda. Trump, sava\u015f\u0131n Venezuela’daki bask\u0131n gibi g\u00fcnler, belki de saatler i\u00e7inde bitece\u011fini san\u0131yordu. Ancak \u0130ranl\u0131lar sald\u0131r\u0131dan sa\u011f \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131ktan sonra k\u00f6\u015feye s\u0131k\u0131\u015ft\u0131 ve bu durumdan \u00e7\u0131kmak i\u00e7in hi\u00e7bir \u015fey yapmad\u0131; belki de herhangi bir diplomatik anla\u015fman\u0131n, defalarca tarihin en k\u00f6t\u00fc anla\u015fmas\u0131 olarak nitelendirdi\u011fi Obama’n\u0131n anla\u015fmas\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131ndan korkuyordu. Bu durum, Washington’\u0131n hesap hatalar\u0131n\u0131 ve stratejik ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne seriyor.<\/p>\n \u0130ran’\u0131n bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinden \u00e7ekilmesinden sonraki ilk saatlerde Trump iki farkl\u0131 \u015fekilde tepki verdi. \u0130lk olarak, CNBC’ye verdi\u011fi bir r\u00f6portajda, g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin sona ermesi durumunda ‘ger\u00e7ekten umursamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, daha az umursayamayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131’ s\u00f6yledi ve m\u00fczakerelerin ‘\u00e7ok s\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 hale gelmeye ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131’ ekledi. (159 sayfal\u0131k Obama d\u00f6nemi n\u00fckleer anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00fcreten \u00e7ok uluslu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler 20 ay s\u00fcrm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.) Ard\u0131ndan, bir sosyal medya g\u00f6nderisinde haberleri yalanlayarak \u0130ran ile g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin hala devam etti\u011fini ve Netanyahu’nun L\u00fcbnan’daki askeri eylemi durdurmay\u0131 kabul etti\u011fini iddia etti. Ne \u0130ranl\u0131lar ne de \u0130srailliler Trump’\u0131n bu iddialar\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frulamad\u0131. Bu \u00e7eli\u015fkili a\u00e7\u0131klamalar, Washington’\u0131n i\u00e7inde bulundu\u011fu kaosu ve ger\u00e7eklerden ne kadar uzakla\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n Trump’\u0131n \u0130ran’\u0131 tamamen unutmak ve sava\u015ftan geri \u00e7ekilmek istemesi olduk\u00e7a muhtemel. Ancak bu durum, \u0130ran’\u0131n herhangi bir anla\u015fma olmadan a\u00e7mayaca\u011f\u0131 H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n ak\u0131betini belirsiz b\u0131rak\u0131yor. Bombard\u0131man\u0131n yol a\u00e7t\u0131\u011f\u0131 y\u0131k\u0131m onar\u0131lmazsa, \u0130ran’\u0131 zorlu ko\u015fullara s\u00fcr\u00fckleyecek ve bu da bar\u0131\u015f\u00e7\u0131l bir davran\u0131\u015f\u0131n \u00f6nc\u00fcs\u00fc olmayacakt\u0131r. Trump sava\u015fa girerken net bir vizyona sahip de\u011fildi, dan\u0131\u015fmanlar\u0131n\u0131n risk uyar\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 (H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n olas\u0131 kapanmas\u0131 dahil) g\u00f6z ard\u0131 etti, ger\u00e7eklikle hi\u00e7bir ilgisi olmayan yeni sava\u015f gerek\u00e7eleri uydurdu ve \u015fimdi arkas\u0131nda b\u0131rakmak istedi\u011fi \u00e7ok boyutlu karma\u015fay\u0131 inkar ediyor. Washington’\u0131n bu sorumsuz politikalar\u0131, b\u00f6lgedeki istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 derinle\u015ftirmekten ba\u015fka bir i\u015fe yaram\u0131yor.<\/p>\n #\u0130ran #ABD\u0130ranGerilimi #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #N\u00fckleerAnla\u015fma #TrumpPolitikalar\u0131 #\u0130srailSald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 #Hizbullah #Diplomasi\u00c7\u0131kmaz\u0131 #B\u00f6lgeselG\u00fc\u00e7 #Direni\u015fEkseni<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \u0130ran Bar\u0131\u015f G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerini Sonland\u0131rd\u0131: Washington’\u0131n \u00c7\u0131kmaz\u0131 ve B\u00f6lgesel Direni\u015f Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki bar\u0131\u015f m\u00fczakerelerinin sona ermesi \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil; zira iki taraf uzun s\u00fcredir birbirini dinlemiyordu. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri \u0130ranl\u0131lar\u0131n sonland\u0131rmas\u0131 da beklenmedik bir durum de\u011fil; zira \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ve taraflar aras\u0131ndaki t\u00fcm ili\u015fkinin kontrol\u00fc bu a\u015famada \u0130ran’\u0131n elinde. Trump’\u0131n Yan\u0131lg\u0131lar\u0131 ve \u0130ran’\u0131n Direni\u015fi Ba\u015fkan Donald […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":30487,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30486","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30486","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30486"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30486\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/30487"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30486"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30486"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30486"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}Trump’\u0131n Yan\u0131lg\u0131lar\u0131 ve \u0130ran’\u0131n Direni\u015fi<\/h2>\n
Sava\u015f\u0131n Ger\u00e7ek D\u0131\u015f\u0131 Gerek\u00e7eleri<\/h2>\n
Diplomatik \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fcn Sabote Edilmesi<\/h2>\n
Trump’\u0131n Tutars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u0130ran’\u0131n Hakl\u0131 \u00c7ekilmesi<\/h2>\n
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