Washington’\u0131n Tahran’a kesin bir darbe indirememesi veya m\u00fcttefiklerini koruyamamas\u0131 sonras\u0131 azalan ABD g\u00fcc\u00fcne uyum sa\u011flayan b\u00f6lge, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u015foku ve sonu\u00e7lar\u0131yla birlikte Ortado\u011fu’daki rakipleri bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda birle\u015fmeye itti. Bu durum, Trump y\u00f6netimini, \u0130srail ile Washington’daki destek\u00e7ilerinin \u015fiddetli muhalefetine ra\u011fmen ge\u00e7ici bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 kabul etmeye zorlad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Bu diplomatik \u00e7abalar, Washington’\u0131n \u0130ran’a kesin bir darbe vuramamas\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 a\u00e7maya zorlayamamas\u0131 veya K\u00f6rfez m\u00fcttefiklerini koruyamamas\u0131 sonras\u0131 azalan ABD g\u00fcc\u00fcne uyum sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in b\u00f6lgenin yeniden \u015fekillendi\u011fi bir d\u00f6nemde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fiyor. Tahran’\u0131n b\u00f6lgede az say\u0131da dostu olsa da, rejimin hayatta kalmas\u0131 kom\u015fular\u0131n\u0131n bir uzla\u015fma yolu bulmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirdi.<\/p>\n
King’s College London’dan do\u00e7ent Andreas Krieg, K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerinin ABD’ye milyarlarca dolar yat\u0131r\u0131m yapmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen Washington’\u0131n \u0130ran insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131 ve f\u00fczelerine kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6ncelikle \u0130srail’i koruma derecesine \u015fa\u015f\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran, baz\u0131 ilerlemelere ra\u011fmen ABD ile anla\u015fman\u0131n yak\u0131n oldu\u011funu reddediyor. Krieg, “Muhtemelen Amerikan imparatorlu\u011funun Ortado\u011fu’daki son g\u00fcnlerini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz,” dedi ve ekledi: “K\u00f6rfez genelinde Amerikan etkisi ve Amerika’n\u0131n liderlik etme yetene\u011fi konusunda tam bir hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 var.”<\/p>\n
Ge\u00e7ici anla\u015fma, Pakistanl\u0131 ve Katarl\u0131 yetkililerin Tahran ile Washington aras\u0131nda bir taslak anla\u015fma i\u00e7in son bir \u00e7aba olarak \u0130ran’a seyahat etmelerinin ard\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en hafta sonunda kararla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. Cumartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Trump ile yap\u0131lan bir g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmede, sekiz M\u00fcsl\u00fcman \u00e7o\u011funluklu \u00fclkenin liderleri, sava\u015f\u0131 sona erdirecek, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7acak ve \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131 \u00fczerindeki m\u00fczakereleri yeniden ba\u015flatacak bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 kabul etmesi i\u00e7in ona \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131da bulundu.<\/p>\n
Ayn\u0131 \u00fclkeler sava\u015ftan \u00f6nce Washington’da Benjamin Netanyahu’ya kar\u015f\u0131 arg\u00fcmanlar\u0131n\u0131 kaybetmi\u015fti, ancak \u015fimdi \u0130srail ba\u015fbakan\u0131n\u0131 (ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn Trump ile konu\u015fan) geride b\u0131rakmay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131lar; ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131 anla\u015fman\u0131n “b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde m\u00fczakere edildi\u011fini” a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Trump ge\u00e7en hafta Netanyahu’nun \u0130ran konusunda “ona ne s\u00f6ylersem onu yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131” s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc Times of Israel’de yay\u0131nlanan bir analiz yaz\u0131s\u0131 ise “\u0130srail, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131 ABD’nin orta\u011f\u0131 olarak ba\u015flatt\u0131 ve kenarda bitiriyor” ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n
\u0130ran’a kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015fa di\u011fer K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkelerini de kat\u0131lmaya te\u015fvik etti\u011fi ve kendi hava sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 d\u00fczenledi\u011fi bildirilen Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri, Suudi Arabistan, Katar, \u00dcrd\u00fcn, Bahreyn, Pakistan, T\u00fcrkiye ve M\u0131s\u0131r ile birlikte bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda yer ald\u0131. B\u00f6lgesel uzla\u015fma s\u00fcreci, BAE ile Suudi Arabistan aras\u0131ndaki n\u00fcfuz m\u00fccadelesindeki baz\u0131 ac\u0131 rekabeti onarm\u0131\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor; y\u00f6neticileri aras\u0131nda son haftalarda bir\u00e7ok telefon g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesi ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/p>\n
Sava\u015f\u0131n sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, Trump’\u0131n Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc bar\u0131\u015f m\u00fczakerelerine kat\u0131lan t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerin bunu yapmas\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcndeki talebine ra\u011fmen, daha fazla \u00fclkenin \u0130srail ile baz\u0131 Arap devletleri aras\u0131nda daha iyi ili\u015fkiler kurmay\u0131 ama\u00e7layan \u0130brahim Anla\u015fmalar\u0131’na kat\u0131lma ihtimalini azalt\u0131yor. Trump, Cumartesi g\u00fcnk\u00fc konferans g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmesini daha fazla \u00fclkeyi anla\u015fmaya davet etmek i\u00e7in kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, sessizlikle kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bildirildi. Arabuluculuk \u00e7abalar\u0131na \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fck eden \u0130slamabad, M\u00fcsl\u00fcman d\u00fcnyas\u0131ndaki b\u00f6l\u00fcnm\u00fc\u015fl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn yaln\u0131zca \u0130srail’in i\u015fine yarad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
Pakistan’\u0131n eski ABD B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7isi Masood Khan, \u0130slamabad’\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n di\u011fer \u00fclkeleri bar\u0131\u015f s\u00fcrecine dahil etmek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. T\u00fcrkiye, M\u0131s\u0131r, Suudi Arabistan ve Katar da bu \u00e7abay\u0131 desteklemek i\u00e7in kendi kanallar\u0131n\u0131 kulland\u0131. Khan, “Pakistan tek ba\u015f\u0131na hareket edemezdi,” dedi ve ekledi: “Arabuluculu\u011funu \u00e7ok daha g\u00fcvenilir k\u0131lmak i\u00e7in yanlar\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fcvence alt\u0131na almas\u0131 gerekiyordu.”<\/p>\n
Ortado\u011fu’da bir d\u00fczineden fazla \u00fcsse yay\u0131lm\u0131\u015f ABD varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n devam etmesi bekleniyor. Ancak \u00fclkeler, b\u00f6lgede ve \u00f6tesinde ek g\u00fcvenlik ortaklar\u0131na y\u00f6neliyor; Avrupa’n\u0131n daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir rol \u00fcstlenmesi bekleniyor. Sava\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda Pakistan, Suudi Arabistan’\u0131 savunmak i\u00e7in asker ve sava\u015f u\u00e7aklar\u0131 g\u00f6nderirken, M\u0131s\u0131rl\u0131 askerler ve u\u00e7aklar Kahire’nin en b\u00fcy\u00fck finansal destek\u00e7isi olan BAE’de konu\u015fland\u0131r\u0131ld\u0131. \u0130ran ile sald\u0131rmazl\u0131k anla\u015fmalar\u0131 yap\u0131lmas\u0131 da konu\u015fuluyor.<\/p>\n
Trump k\u00f6t\u00fc anla\u015fmalar yapmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyor, ancak Cumhuriyet\u00e7i \u015fahinler bile \u015fimdi bundan \u015f\u00fcphe duyuyor.<\/p>\n
BAE’de siyaset bilimi profes\u00f6r\u00fc Abdul Khaleq Abdullah, \u00fclkesinin \u0130ran’\u0131 f\u00fczesiz, insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7s\u0131z, vekil g\u00fc\u00e7s\u00fcz ve n\u00fckleer faaliyetsiz g\u00f6rmek istedi\u011fini, ancak bunun nihayetinde ula\u015f\u0131lamaz oldu\u011funu kan\u0131tlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Abdullah, “BAE \u00e7ok pragmatik bir \u00fclke,” dedi. “\u0130ran b\u00fcy\u00fck bir tehdit olmaya devam ediyor, ancak son 20 y\u0131ld\u0131r g\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcm\u00fcz emperyal \u0130ran de\u011fil.” Zay\u0131flayan Tahran’\u0131n b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bo\u015flu\u011fu doldurmak i\u00e7in T\u00fcrkiye, \u0130srail ve K\u00f6rfez devletlerinin rekabet etti\u011fi yeni bir Ortado\u011fu’nun ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n
Ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan eksenlerden biri, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 savunma anla\u015fmas\u0131 imzalayan Suudi Arabistan ve Pakistan \u00fczerinde yo\u011funla\u015f\u0131yor. T\u00fcrkiye, Katar ve M\u0131s\u0131r’\u0131 “M\u00fcsl\u00fcman NATO” olarak adland\u0131r\u0131lan bu d\u00fczenlemeye dahil etme g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri yap\u0131ld\u0131. Di\u011fer tarafta ise BAE, Hindistan, \u0130srail ve ABD aras\u0131ndaki I2U2 grubu olarak bilinen bir ittifak bulunuyor.<\/p>\n
Londra’daki Royal United Services Institute d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fundan k\u0131demli ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131 HA Hellyer, b\u00f6lgenin Tahran’da rejim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011finin devletin \u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne ve kaosa yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi i\u00e7in \u00e7ok riskli oldu\u011funu, bunun sadece \u0130srail’in istedi\u011fi bir \u015fey oldu\u011funu hesaplad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. Ayr\u0131ca Trump’a sava\u015f\u0131n istedi\u011fini vermeyece\u011fi de a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a belli olmu\u015ftu, bu y\u00fczden b\u00f6lge onu bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 kabul etmeye ikna etmekten \u00e7ok, ezici b\u00f6lgesel deste\u011fe sahip oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemesine izin verdi\u011fini belirtti. Hellyer, “Bu art\u0131k yaln\u0131zca Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri etraf\u0131nda in\u015fa edilmi\u015f bir savunma mimarisi de\u011fil. K\u00f6rfez devletleri, Washington’\u0131n en \u00e7ok ihtiya\u00e7 duyduklar\u0131 anda orada olmayabilece\u011fi ihtimaline kar\u015f\u0131 giderek daha fazla haz\u0131rlan\u0131yor,” dedi.<\/p>\n
#Ortado\u011fuBar\u0131\u015f\u0131 #\u0130ranSava\u015f\u0131 #ABDPolitikas\u0131 #TrumpY\u00f6netimi #K\u00f6rfez\u00dclkeleri #Diplomasi #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #\u0130srail #B\u00f6lgesel\u0130ttifaklar #PakistanArabuluculu\u011fu<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Washington’\u0131n Tahran’a kesin bir darbe indirememesi veya m\u00fcttefiklerini koruyamamas\u0131 sonras\u0131 azalan ABD g\u00fcc\u00fcne uyum sa\u011flayan b\u00f6lge, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n \u015foku ve sonu\u00e7lar\u0131yla birlikte Ortado\u011fu’daki rakipleri bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda birle\u015fmeye itti. Bu durum, Trump y\u00f6netimini, \u0130srail ile Washington’daki destek\u00e7ilerinin \u015fiddetli muhalefetine ra\u011fmen ge\u00e7ici bir anla\u015fmay\u0131 kabul etmeye zorlad\u0131. Bu diplomatik \u00e7abalar, Washington’\u0131n \u0130ran’a kesin bir darbe […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":30451,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30450","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30450","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=30450"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30450\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/30451"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=30450"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=30450"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=30450"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}