{"id":28705,"date":"2026-05-27T22:50:17","date_gmt":"2026-05-27T19:20:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=28705"},"modified":"2026-05-27T22:50:17","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T19:20:17","slug":"iran-abd-ile-anlasmayi-degerlendirirken-derin-suphelerini-koruyor-savasin-sonu-yakin-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=28705&lang=tr","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran, ABD ile Anla\u015fmay\u0131 De\u011ferlendirirken Derin \u015e\u00fcphelerini Koruyor: Sava\u015f\u0131n Sonu Yak\u0131n m\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\u0130ran, ABD ile Anla\u015fmay\u0131 De\u011ferlendirirken Derin \u015e\u00fcphelerini Koruyor: Sava\u015f\u0131n Sonu Yak\u0131n m\u0131?<\/h1>\n

Tahran, \u0130ran<\/strong> \u2013 K\u0131demli milletvekili Abbas Moghtadaei’nin Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc devlet televizyonuna yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, “Temel ilke Amerika’ya kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcvensizliktir” ifadeleri, \u00fclkenin mevcut durumunu net bir \u015fekilde ortaya koydu.<\/p>\n

Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, Parlamento Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Muhammed Bak\u0131r Galibaf liderli\u011findeki \u0130ran heyetinin, ABD ile \u00fclkedeki yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 ayd\u0131r s\u00fcren sava\u015f\u0131 sona erdirme konusunda bir anlay\u0131\u015fa varmak amac\u0131yla Katar’dan Tahran’a d\u00f6nmesinin ard\u0131ndan geldi.<\/p>\n

Saatler \u00f6nce, D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Pazartesi gecesi g\u00fcneydeki H\u00fcrm\u00fczgan eyaletine d\u00fczenlenen sald\u0131r\u0131yla Washington’\u0131 8 Nisan’da var\u0131lan k\u0131r\u0131lgan ate\u015fkesi “a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ihlal etmekle” su\u00e7lad\u0131. Bakanl\u0131k, bu sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n \u0130ran’\u0131n ABD’ye kar\u015f\u0131 besledi\u011fi “derin \u015f\u00fcpheyi” do\u011frulad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekledi.<\/p>\n

\u0130slam Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu (IRGC), \u0130ran silahl\u0131 kuvvetlerinin misilleme yaparak ABD yap\u0131m\u0131 bir MQ-9 Reaper insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131n\u0131, Pers mitolojisindeki bir kahraman\u0131n ad\u0131n\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131yan yerli \u00fcretim “Arash-e Kamangir” hava savunma sistemiyle d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc bildirdi. Devlet televizyonu, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclen insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131na ait g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcleri yay\u0131nlad\u0131.<\/p>\n

ABD ordusu, f\u00fcze f\u0131rlatma sahalar\u0131n\u0131 ve deniz may\u0131nlar\u0131 d\u00f6\u015femeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan \u0130ran teknelerini “savunma” ama\u00e7l\u0131 vurdu\u011funu iddia etse de, IRGC komutanlar\u0131 misilleme haklar\u0131n\u0131n sakl\u0131 oldu\u011funu vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Sal\u0131 \u00f6\u011fleden sonra, \u0130ngiliz denizcilik istihbarat\u0131na g\u00f6re, Umman’\u0131n ba\u015fkenti Maskat’\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 111 kilometre do\u011fusunda bir tankerde d\u0131\u015f patlama ve yak\u0131t s\u0131z\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131 meydana geldi\u011fi bildirildi. \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer olay hakk\u0131nda yorum yapmad\u0131.<\/p>\n

Bu gerilim, iki taraf\u0131n, ABD ve \u0130srail’in 28 \u015eubat’ta \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131 dalgas\u0131ndan bu yana b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde donmu\u015f olan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden transit ge\u00e7i\u015fi potansiyel olarak kolayla\u015ft\u0131rabilecek bir Mutabakat Zapt\u0131’n\u0131n (MoM) son ayr\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 netle\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde ya\u015fan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Anla\u015fma, \u0130ran’a ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 nedeniyle dondurulan baz\u0131 deniza\u015f\u0131r\u0131 fonlar\u0131na eri\u015fim sa\u011flayacak ve \u00fclkenin n\u00fckleer program\u0131 \u00fczerinde gelecekteki bir anla\u015fma i\u00e7in bir yol sunacak.<\/p>\n

Sciences Po Uluslararas\u0131 Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezi’nden yard\u0131mc\u0131 do\u00e7ent Nicole Grajewski, \u0130ran liderli\u011findeki bir\u00e7ok ki\u015finin, bir anla\u015fman\u0131n ABD ve \u0130srail’in \u00fclkeye y\u00f6nelik bir ba\u015fka b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131 turu ba\u015flatmadan \u00f6nce sadece operasyonel bir ara, istihbarat eri\u015fimi veya siyasi bir \u00f6rt\u00fc sa\u011flayabilece\u011finden endi\u015fe duydu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

Al Jazeera’ye konu\u015fan Grajewski, “Anla\u015fman\u0131n \u00fclke i\u00e7inde siyasi olarak sat\u0131labilir olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Tahran’\u0131n bunu askeri bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda bir teslimiyet olarak de\u011fil, temel egemen k\u0131rm\u0131z\u0131 \u00e7izgileri koruyan y\u00f6netilmi\u015f bir istikrar olarak \u00e7er\u00e7evelemesi gerekiyor” dedi.<\/p>\n

Grajewski, “Bu muhtemelen \u015fimdilik bir t\u00fcr zenginle\u015ftirme kapasitesini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmek, stoktan derhal vazge\u00e7mekten ka\u00e7\u0131nmak, anlaml\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131m veya varl\u0131k yard\u0131m\u0131 sa\u011flamak ve b\u00f6lgesel cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k yap\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131, en az\u0131ndan resmi olarak anla\u015fma d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda korumak anlam\u0131na geliyor” diye ekledi.<\/p>\n

‘D\u00fc\u015fmanla M\u00fczakere Tamamen Kay\u0131pt\u0131r’<\/h2>\n

H\u00fck\u00fcmetteki nispeten \u0131l\u0131ml\u0131 \u0130ranl\u0131 politikac\u0131lardan en \u015fahin askeri-g\u00fcvenlik gruplar\u0131na kadar herkes, \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti’nin “teslimiyet” anlam\u0131na gelen bir anla\u015fmaya raz\u0131 olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 taahh\u00fct etti.<\/p>\n

Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Mesud Peze\u015fkiyan bu hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda devlet televizyonuna yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, uluslararas\u0131 topluma “n\u00fckleer silah pe\u015finde olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131, b\u00f6lgede g\u00fcvensizlik pe\u015finde olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131” temin etmek istedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Ancak IRGC’nin etkili havac\u0131l\u0131k komutan\u0131 Mecid Musavi, X’teki bir payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda, eski Y\u00fcce Lider Ayetullah Ali Hamaney’e at\u0131fta bulunarak \u015funlar\u0131 yazd\u0131: “\u015eehit imam\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n dedi\u011fi gibi, d\u00fc\u015fmanla m\u00fczakere tamamen kay\u0131pt\u0131r.”<\/p>\n

Musavi, \u00fclkenin yeni y\u00fcce lideri Hamaney’in o\u011flu M\u00fccteba’n\u0131n emirlerini takip edece\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. M\u00fccteba, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc Kurban Bayram\u0131’n\u0131 kutlamak i\u00e7in yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 mesajda, “b\u00f6lgenin uluslar\u0131 ve topraklar\u0131 art\u0131k Amerikan \u00fcslerinin kalkan\u0131 olmayacak” dedi. Ayr\u0131ca, merhum babas\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6ng\u00f6rd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc gibi \u0130srail’in 15 y\u0131l i\u00e7inde art\u0131k var olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etti.<\/p>\n

Hatam el-Enbiya Merkez Karargah\u0131 komutan\u0131 ve sava\u015f\u0131n \u00f6nde gelen isimlerinden Ali Abdollahi, Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc ilk kez kamuoyu \u00f6n\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131karak \u0130ran silahl\u0131 kuvvetlerini d\u00fc\u015fman\u0131 “yenilgiye u\u011fratmay\u0131” \u00f6ncelik haline getirmeye \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n

Tahran’da sava\u015fta \u015fehit d\u00fc\u015fen \u0130ranl\u0131 liderleri anma t\u00f6reni s\u0131ras\u0131nda devlet televizyonuna konu\u015fan Abdollahi, “Amerikal\u0131lar \u00e7ok konu\u015fuyor ve hikayelerini bir anda de\u011fi\u015ftiriyorlar. Sahada neler yapabilece\u011fimizi defalarca g\u00f6sterece\u011fimizi s\u00f6yledik” dedi.<\/p>\n

Y\u00fcksek Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Konseyi sekreteri olarak ilk kamuoyu mesaj\u0131n\u0131 Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlayan ve ayn\u0131 zamanda \u00fcst d\u00fczey bir IRGC generali olan Muhammed Bak\u0131r Z\u00fclkadir, “geri \u00e7ekilme olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131” taahh\u00fct etti.<\/p>\n

IRGC komutan\u0131 Ahmed Vahidi de gerekirse ABD ile askeri \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara yeniden ba\u015flamaya haz\u0131r oldu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n

Middle East Institute k\u0131demli ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131s\u0131 Alex Vatanka, Tahran’daki karar vericilerin sadece ‘k\u00f6t\u00fc bir anla\u015fma’dan de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda gelecekteki anla\u015fmazl\u0131klarda \u0130ran’\u0131 kilit kozlar\u0131ndan vazge\u00e7meye zorlayabilecek bir anla\u015fmadan da endi\u015fe duydu\u011funu belirtti.<\/p>\n

Al Jazeera’ye konu\u015fan Vatanka, “\u015eahinler \u00f6zellikle H\u00fcrm\u00fcz, yapt\u0131r\u0131m s\u0131ralamas\u0131 veya n\u00fckleer tavizlerle ilgili herhangi bir tart\u0131\u015fmadan alarma ge\u00e7mi\u015f durumdalar \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc zorlay\u0131c\u0131 kald\u0131ra\u00e7lar\u0131, \u00f6zellikle denizcilik bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131, \u0130ran’\u0131n sava\u015f sonras\u0131 ana pazarl\u0131k kozu olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyorlar” dedi. Bu nedenle Tahran i\u00e7indeki tart\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ‘m\u00fczakere etmeli miyiz?’den ‘tam olarak neyden vazge\u00e7iyoruz?’a kayd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekledi.<\/p>\n

Bir anla\u015fman\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u0130ran liderli\u011finin, baz\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131m hafifletmelerinin somut ve h\u0131zl\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131na inanmas\u0131 gerekti\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine ekledi.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran ayr\u0131ca, yenilmi\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcnmekten ka\u00e7\u0131nmak i\u00e7in yeterli bir cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k mekanizmas\u0131n\u0131 ve sembolik onuru korumaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak ve anla\u015fman\u0131n gelecekte ba\u015fka bir sava\u015f\u0131n \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemesini sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Ancak mevcut haliyle \u2013 ve bu konuda \u00e7ok az bilgi var \u2013 Vatanka, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan mutabakat\u0131n “tarihi bir bar\u0131\u015f anla\u015fmas\u0131ndan \u00e7ok, zaman kazanmak, acil sava\u015f risklerini azaltmak, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’\u00fcn baz\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7mak ve en zor n\u00fckleer sorular\u0131 daha sonraki turlara ertelemek i\u00e7in tasarlanm\u0131\u015f bir ate\u015fkes y\u00f6netimi mekanizmas\u0131na benzedi\u011fini” s\u00f6yledi. Bu da s\u00fcregelen \u015f\u00fcphe ve belirsizli\u011fin devam edece\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

Suikast Endi\u015fesi<\/h2>\n

\u0130ran devlet medyas\u0131 yorumcular\u0131, askeri operasyonlar\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131 halinde \u00fcst d\u00fczey \u0130ranl\u0131 fig\u00fcrlerin suikasta a\u00e7\u0131k hale gelece\u011fini de iddia etti.<\/p>\n

IRGC ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 yorumcu Nima Akbarkhani, Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc devlet televizyonunda, “ABD, mevcut anla\u015fma g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri s\u0131ras\u0131nda herhangi bir noktada y\u00fcce liderimize eri\u015fim sa\u011flarsa, di\u011fer \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131 veya Pakistan ve Katar gibi arac\u0131lar\u0131 dikkate almadan sald\u0131racakt\u0131r” dedi.<\/p>\n

Devletle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 bir ba\u015fka analist Ali Samadzadeh, ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan ABD-\u0130ran anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n liderleri tuza\u011fa d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in bir “bal k\u00fcp\u00fc” plan\u0131 bile olabilece\u011fini iddia etti.<\/p>\n

ABD medya kurulu\u015flar\u0131na g\u00f6re, sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131ndan bu yana kamuoyunda g\u00f6r\u00fclmeyen veya duyulmayan, sadece kendisine atfedilen yaz\u0131l\u0131 mesajlar d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, Hamaney’in bir\u00e7ok h\u00fck\u00fcmet yetkilisinin bile eri\u015femedi\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131klanmayan g\u00fcvenli bir yerde sakland\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtiliyor. ABD’li yetkililer bunun g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme s\u00fcrecini yava\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Sciences Po’dan Grajewski, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn i\u00e7inde \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti i\u00e7in kilit konunun i\u00e7 onay\u0131 sa\u011flamak olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u015eahin gruplar, daha zor konular\u0131 daha sonraki bir tarihe b\u0131rakan bir kriz y\u00f6netimi mutabakat\u0131n\u0131n par\u00e7as\u0131 olarak yap\u0131lan tavizleri bile dikkatle inceleyeceklerdir.<\/p>\n

Grajewski, “Bu nedenle, yak\u0131n vadede ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i sonu\u00e7 muhtemelen kapsaml\u0131 bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcmden ziyade istikrars\u0131z bir ge\u00e7ici d\u00fczenlemedir” dedi.<\/p>\n

“Daha kal\u0131c\u0131 bir \u015feye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcp d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmeyece\u011fi, neredeyse tamamen takip eden n\u00fckleer m\u00fczakerelerin her iki taraf\u0131n da ya\u015fayabilece\u011fi somut mekanizmalar \u00fcretip \u00fcretmeyece\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

#\u0130ran #ABD #Ortado\u011fu #N\u00fckleerProgram #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #\u0130ranDevrimMuhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 #Diplomasi #Gerilim #K\u00fcreselG\u00fcvenlik #ArashEKamangir<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130ran, ABD ile Anla\u015fmay\u0131 De\u011ferlendirirken Derin \u015e\u00fcphelerini Koruyor: Sava\u015f\u0131n Sonu Yak\u0131n m\u0131? Tahran, \u0130ran \u2013 K\u0131demli milletvekili Abbas Moghtadaei’nin Sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc devlet televizyonuna yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, “Temel ilke Amerika’ya kar\u015f\u0131 g\u00fcvensizliktir” ifadeleri, \u00fclkenin mevcut durumunu net bir \u015fekilde ortaya koydu. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, Parlamento Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Muhammed Bak\u0131r Galibaf liderli\u011findeki \u0130ran heyetinin, ABD ile \u00fclkedeki yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 ayd\u0131r […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":28706,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28705","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28705","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=28705"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28705\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/28706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=28705"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=28705"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=28705"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}