{"id":26545,"date":"2026-05-20T18:49:48","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T15:19:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=26545"},"modified":"2026-05-20T18:49:48","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T15:19:48","slug":"baenin-orta-dogudaki-guvenli-liman-imaji-iran-savasiyla-sinaniyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=26545&lang=tr","title":{"rendered":"BAE&#8217;nin Orta Do\u011fu&#8217;daki G\u00fcvenli Liman \u0130maj\u0131 \u0130ran Sava\u015f\u0131yla S\u0131nan\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>DUBA\u0130, Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri (AP) \u2014 Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri (BAE) onlarca y\u0131ld\u0131r kendisini \u015fiddetli \u00e7alkant\u0131larla dolu Orta Do\u011fu&#8217;da uluslararas\u0131 ticaret i\u00e7in bir s\u0131\u011f\u0131nak olarak tan\u0131tt\u0131. Ancak bu dalgalar \u015fimdi bu ulusu vurdu ve ekonomik modelini daha \u00f6nce hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar test ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>ABD ve \u0130srail&#8217;in yak\u0131n m\u00fcttefiki olan BAE, sava\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u0130ran&#8217;dan di\u011fer t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerden daha fazla f\u00fcze ve insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na maruz kald\u0131. Sald\u0131r\u0131lar ve \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki kontrol\u00fc, Emirlikler&#8217;in ham petrol ve do\u011fal gaz ihracat\u0131n\u0131 yar\u0131dan fazla azaltt\u0131. Turizm ve konferans sekt\u00f6rleri de zarar g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n hemen kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, Basra K\u00f6rfezi&#8217;nde yer alan \u00fclke, \u00f6nemli de\u011fi\u015fiklikler yapmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen etkilenmemi\u015f gibi bir g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fc sergiledi. Yak\u0131n zamanda bo\u011faza olan ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltmak i\u00e7in ba\u015fka bir boru hatt\u0131 in\u015fa etme planlar\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu ve enerji \u00fcretimini uzun vadede art\u0131rabilmek i\u00e7in OPEC petrol kartelinden ayr\u0131ld\u0131; bu, sava\u015f \u00f6ncesinden beri de\u011ferlendirilen bir konuydu.<\/p>\n<p>ABD ve \u0130srail sava\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flatm\u0131\u015f olsa da, BAE bu duruma s\u0131k\u0131ca kar\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc Barakah n\u00fckleer santraline yap\u0131lan insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131, k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir ate\u015fkes s\u00fcrse bile devam eden risklerin alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyor.<\/p>\n<p>Emirlikler b\u00fcy\u00fck bir nakit fazlas\u0131na sahip oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in, sava\u015f\u0131n ekonomik aksakl\u0131klar\u0131 \u015fu ana kadar b\u00fcy\u00fck i\u015f kay\u0131plar\u0131na veya yabanc\u0131 i\u015fletmelerin g\u00f6\u00e7\u00fcne neden olmu\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Ancak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma uzad\u0131k\u00e7a ve Emirlikler&#8217;de i\u015flerin normal seyrine d\u00f6nmesini engelledik\u00e7e, uluslararas\u0131 i\u015f ve yat\u0131r\u0131m \u00e7ekmek i\u00e7in anahtar olan imaj\u0131na y\u00f6nelik risk de art\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Emirlik yetkilileri, \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131 giderek daha fazla korsanl\u0131k ve hatta ter\u00f6rizmle su\u00e7larken, askeri eylem tehdidinde bulunuyorlar.<\/p>\n<p>BAE D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 Pazar gecesi yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, BAE&#8217;nin \u201chi\u00e7bir ko\u015fulda g\u00fcvenli\u011fine ve egemenli\u011fine y\u00f6nelik hi\u00e7bir tehdide tolerans g\u00f6stermeyece\u011fini\u201d belirtti. \u201cHer t\u00fcrl\u00fc tehdide, iddiaya veya d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131\u011fa yan\u0131t vermek i\u00e7in tam, egemen, me\u015fru, diplomatik ve askeri haklar\u0131n\u0131 sakl\u0131 tutar.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>BAE&#8217;nin y\u00f6netici ailesi daha agresif bir d\u0131\u015f politika izliyor<\/p>\n<p>Abu Dabi&#8217;nin uzak bat\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6l\u00fcndeki n\u00fckleer santralin \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 durdurmayan ve radyolojik s\u0131z\u0131nt\u0131ya neden olmayan Barakah sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131na BAE&#8217;nin nas\u0131l yan\u0131t verece\u011fini bilmek zor.<\/p>\n<p>BAE, Dubai ve Abu Dabi dahil yedi otokratik olarak y\u00f6netilen \u015feyhlikten olu\u015fan bir federasyondur. En \u00fcst y\u00f6netim organ\u0131, yedi emirli\u011fin kal\u0131tsal y\u00f6neticilerinden olu\u015fan Federal Y\u00fcksek Konsey&#8217;dir. Ancak karar alma s\u00fcre\u00e7lerine Abu Dabi \u015eeyhi Muhammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ve ailesi hakimdir.<\/p>\n<p>Analistlere g\u00f6re, y\u00f6netici aile son on y\u0131llarda \u0130ran destekli Husi isyanc\u0131lara kar\u015f\u0131 Yemen&#8217;deki sava\u015fa girmek de dahil olmak \u00fczere daha agresif bir d\u0131\u015f politika izledi. BAE, 2013&#8217;te M\u0131s\u0131r Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Abd\u00fclfettah el-Sisi&#8217;nin iktidara gelmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu ve Sudan ile Libya&#8217;daki i\u00e7 sava\u015flarda taraflara silah g\u00f6nderdi\u011fi iddia ediliyor, ancak bunu reddediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Nadiren halka a\u00e7\u0131k konu\u015fan \u015eeyh Muhammed, sava\u015fa ili\u015fkin tek k\u0131sa a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131 Mart ay\u0131nda \u0130ran sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131nda yaralananlar\u0131 bir hastanede ziyaret ederken devlet medyas\u0131na yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eeyh o zamanlar, \u201cBAE \u00e7ekici, BAE g\u00fczel, BAE bir model. Ama onlara \u015funu s\u00f6yl\u00fcyorum: BAE&#8217;nin g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc\u015f\u00fcne aldanmay\u0131n\u201d diye uyard\u0131. \u201cBAE&#8217;nin kal\u0131n derisi ve ac\u0131 eti var; kolay av de\u011filiz.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Ancak bu, hi\u00e7 ac\u0131 \u00e7ekilmedi\u011fi anlam\u0131na gelmiyor.<\/p>\n<p>Ekonomik uyar\u0131 i\u015faretleri<\/p>\n<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n kapanmas\u0131, BAE&#8217;nin ham petrol ve do\u011fal gaz satma kabiliyetini engelledi, ancak birka\u00e7 tankeri \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f yapabildi. Bo\u011faz d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki Umman K\u00f6rfezi&#8217;nde bir petrol terminali bulunan F\u00fcceyre \u015fehrine bir boru hatt\u0131 arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla g\u00fcnde yakla\u015f\u0131k 1,8 milyon varil ham petrol ihra\u00e7 edebiliyor. Emirlikler, bu kapasiteyi iki kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131karmak i\u00e7in ikinci bir boru hatt\u0131n\u0131n in\u015fas\u0131n\u0131 h\u0131zland\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>BAE&#8217;nin ekonomik \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n %12&#8217;sinden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturdu\u011fu tahmin edilen turizm ve konferans pazar\u0131 da a\u011f\u0131r darbe ald\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Katar merkezli bir ileti\u015fim firmas\u0131 olan Northbourne Advisory&#8217;nin sava\u015f\u0131n etkilerini takip eden verilerine g\u00f6re, sava\u015f\u0131n 28 \u015eubat&#8217;ta ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan bu yana BAE&#8217;de planlanan 70&#8217;ten fazla etkinlik ertelendi, iptal edildi veya ba\u015fka \u015fekilde etkilendi. Emirlik h\u00fck\u00fcmeti etkinlikler i\u00e7in genel bir yasak yay\u0131nlamad\u0131, ancak firma, organizat\u00f6rlerin \u201csigorta \u00e7ekilmesi ve sorumluluk riski\u201d nedeniyle planlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>4 May\u0131s&#8217;ta \u00fclkenin havayolu Emirates, Dubai Uluslararas\u0131 Havaliman\u0131&#8217;ndan (y\u0131llard\u0131r uluslararas\u0131 seyahat i\u00e7in d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en i\u015flek havaliman\u0131) neredeyse t\u00fcm u\u00e7u\u015f program\u0131na yeniden ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu. Ancak ayn\u0131 g\u00fcn \u0130ran, mobil telefonlarda uyar\u0131lar\u0131 ve Emirlikler&#8217;in i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131nda homurdanmalar\u0131 tetikleyen \u00e7ok say\u0131da insans\u0131z hava arac\u0131 ve f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131; i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 normalle\u015fmeye hevesli.<\/p>\n<p>Havaliman\u0131, yetkililerin tart\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 reddetti\u011fi jet yak\u0131t\u0131 tanklar\u0131n\u0131n etraf\u0131na koruyucu bir kafes in\u015fa ediyor gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Dubai&#8217;nin ikonik, yelken \u015feklindeki Burj Al Arab da dahil olmak \u00fczere oteller, doluluk oranlar\u0131n\u0131n %20 civar\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle yenileme i\u00e7in kapand\u0131. Moody&#8217;s Analytics, bu oran\u0131n Haziran \u00e7eyre\u011finde %10&#8217;a d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini tahmin ediyor; sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi bu oran %80 idi.<\/p>\n<p>Moody&#8217;s, doluluk oranlar\u0131n\u0131n 2026&#8217;n\u0131n geri kalan\u0131nda d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar azald\u0131ktan sonra bile gezginlerin teredd\u00fctl\u00fc kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 uyard\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Uluslararas\u0131 Finans Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc Pazartesi g\u00fcn\u00fc yay\u0131nlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir analizde \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cDubai&#8217;nin a\u00e7\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131 onu seyahat, lojistik ve g\u00fcven \u015foklar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 savunmas\u0131z hale getirirken, Abu Dabi&#8217;nin bilan\u00e7osu ve enerji varl\u0131klar\u0131 federasyona darbeyi absorbe etme kapasitesi veriyor.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Jetonlu sava\u015f u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131 sanat\u0131<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6zellikle Dubai, hala a\u00e7\u0131k oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz hafta sonu Dubai, y\u0131ll\u0131k Art Dubai fuar\u0131n\u0131n k\u0131salt\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir versiyonuna ev sahipli\u011fi yapt\u0131. Sava\u015f yak\u0131n hissediliyordu, sadece fuar\u0131n \u00f6n g\u00f6sterimi \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n F\u00fcceyre a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131nda demirli bir gemiye el koydu\u011fu g\u00fcn ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti\u011fi i\u00e7in de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Sanat eserlerinden biri, siyah Nike tenis ayakkab\u0131s\u0131 \u00e7iftleriyle kapl\u0131, jetonla \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan siyah bir sava\u015f u\u00e7a\u011f\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130spanyol sanat\u00e7\u0131 Solim\u00e1n L\u00f3pez, NASA misyonunun hedefi olan metal zengini bir asteroitin sahipli\u011fini iddia etme fikri \u00fczerine kurulu bir eserle geldi. Eser, \u00fclkelerin ve \u015firketlerin petrol ve di\u011fer emtialar\u0131 nas\u0131l \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tmay\u0131 ama\u00e7l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n eseriyle birlikte kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. \u201cAma elimden gelenin en iyisini yapmam gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledim, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu b\u00f6lgede bu konuyu konu\u015fmak i\u00e7in m\u00fckemmel bir ba\u011flam oldu\u011funa inan\u0131yorum\u201d dedi.<\/p>\n<p>Beyrutlu ba\u015fka bir sanat\u00e7\u0131 Alfred Tarazi, b\u00fcy\u00fckbabalar\u0131n\u0131n iki d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131 ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cBir d\u00fcnya sava\u015f\u0131nda hayat durmaz\u201d dedi. \u201c\u015eiddet anlat\u0131s\u0131na ancak k\u00fclt\u00fcrle kar\u015f\u0131 koyabiliriz.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>#BAE #Birle\u015fikArapEmirlikleri #\u0130ranSava\u015f\u0131 #OrtaDo\u011fu #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #Ekonomi #Turizm #Petrol #Do\u011falGaz #Jeopolitik<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DUBA\u0130, Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri (AP) \u2014 Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri (BAE) onlarca y\u0131ld\u0131r kendisini \u015fiddetli \u00e7alkant\u0131larla dolu Orta Do\u011fu&#8217;da uluslararas\u0131 ticaret i\u00e7in bir s\u0131\u011f\u0131nak olarak tan\u0131tt\u0131. Ancak bu dalgalar \u015fimdi bu ulusu vurdu ve ekonomik modelini daha \u00f6nce hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar test ediyor. ABD ve \u0130srail&#8217;in yak\u0131n m\u00fcttefiki olan BAE, sava\u015f s\u0131ras\u0131nda \u0130ran&#8217;dan di\u011fer t\u00fcm \u00fclkelerden [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":26546,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-26545","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26545","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=26545"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26545\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/26546"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=26545"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=26545"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=26545"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}