{"id":24566,"date":"2026-05-13T15:51:46","date_gmt":"2026-05-13T12:21:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=24566"},"modified":"2026-05-13T15:51:46","modified_gmt":"2026-05-13T12:21:46","slug":"neocon-robert-kagan-abd-iran-savasinda-sah-mat-ve-tam-yenilgiye-dogru-ilerliyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=24566&lang=tr","title":{"rendered":"Neocon Robert Kagan: ABD, \u0130ran Sava\u015f\u0131&#8217;nda &#8216;\u015eah Mat&#8217; ve &#8216;Tam Yenilgiye&#8217; Do\u011fru \u0130lerliyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Etkili ABD&#8217;li \u015fahin, Washington&#8217;\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 dengesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir de\u011fi\u015fime ve \u0130srail i\u00e7in &#8216;felaketle sonu\u00e7lanacak&#8217; bir duruma yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi konusunda uyar\u0131yor.<br \/>\nAmerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri&#8217;nin en \u00f6nde gelen neokonservatif seslerinden ve uzun s\u00fcredir \u0130srail yanl\u0131s\u0131 bir \u015fahin olan Robert Kagan, Washington&#8217;\u0131n \u0130ran&#8217;a kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131nda &#8216;tam bir yenilgiye&#8217; do\u011fru ilerledi\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131; bu yenilginin &#8216;ne telafi edilebilece\u011fini ne de g\u00f6z ard\u0131 edilebilece\u011fini&#8217; belirtti.<br \/>\nThe Atlantic&#8217;te yazd\u0131\u011f\u0131 makalede Kagan, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n neden oldu\u011fu zarar\u0131n geri d\u00f6nd\u00fcr\u00fclemez oldu\u011funu ifade etti. Karanl\u0131k bir \u015fekilde, &#8216;Eski duruma d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f olmayacak, yap\u0131lan zarar\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131racak veya a\u015facak nihai bir Amerikan zaferi olmayacak&#8217; diye s\u00f6zlerini tamamlad\u0131.<br \/>\n1997&#8217;de neokonservatif d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu Yeni Amerikan Y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131 Projesi&#8217;nin kurucular\u0131ndan olan Kagan, ABD&#8217;yi k\u00fcresel \u00e7apta askeri g\u00fc\u00e7 kullanmaya iten siyasi bir ak\u0131m\u0131n \u015fekillenmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Bu doktrin, 2003 Irak i\u015fgaliyle doruk noktas\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131 ve George W. Bush y\u00f6netimini derinden etkiledi.<br \/>\nYeni MEE b\u00fclteni: Kud\u00fcs B\u00fclteni<br \/>\n\u0130srail-Filistin hakk\u0131nda en son analiz ve i\u00e7g\u00f6r\u00fcleri, T\u00fcrkiye Unpacked ve di\u011fer MEE b\u00fcltenleriyle birlikte almak i\u00e7in kaydolun.<br \/>\nE\u015fi Victoria Nuland&#8217;\u0131n a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 neokonservatif Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Dick Cheney&#8217;e dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k yapmas\u0131 da dahil olmak \u00fczere, bu politika ekosistemiyle yak\u0131n ba\u011flar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc. Y\u0131llarca ABD m\u00fcdahalecili\u011fini savunan Kagan&#8217;\u0131n mevcut sava\u015f hakk\u0131ndaki keskin uyar\u0131s\u0131 bu nedenle daha da dikkat \u00e7ekici hale geliyor.<br \/>\n&#8216;Bu nedenle, Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri i\u00e7in yenilgi sadece m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda olas\u0131d\u0131r&#8217; &#8211; Robert Kagan<br \/>\nKagan analizinde, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki kontrol\u00fcn g\u00fc\u00e7 dengesini temelden de\u011fi\u015ftirdi\u011fini savundu. Kagan, &#8216;Bo\u011faz\u0131n kontrol\u00fcyle \u0130ran, b\u00f6lgede kilit bir oyuncu ve d\u00fcnyadaki kilit oyunculardan biri haline geliyor&#8217; diye belirtti. Sava\u015f\u0131n sadece \u00c7in ve Rusya gibi rakipleri g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmekle kalmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, ayn\u0131 zamanda Washington&#8217;\u0131n k\u00fcresel konumunu da a\u015f\u0131nd\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekledi. &#8216;Sava\u015f\u0131n destek\u00e7ilerinin defalarca iddia etti\u011fi gibi Amerikan g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc g\u00f6stermekten \u00e7ok uzak olan bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma, g\u00fcvenilmez ve ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u015fi bitiremeyen bir Amerika&#8217;y\u0131 ortaya \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. Bu durum, dostlar\u0131n ve d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131n Amerika&#8217;n\u0131n ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na uyum sa\u011flamas\u0131yla d\u00fcnya \u00e7ap\u0131nda bir zincirleme reaksiyonu tetikleyecek&#8217; dedi.<br \/>\n&#8216;\u0130srail \u0130\u00e7in Felaket&#8217;<br \/>\nKagan, ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;n\u0131 yeniden a\u00e7mak i\u00e7in art\u0131k s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 se\u00e7eneklere sahip oldu\u011fu konusunda uyard\u0131 ve Washington&#8217;\u0131n elindeki kozlar\u0131 t\u00fcketmi\u015f olabilece\u011fini \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fc. Mevcut krizin boyutunu, 1941&#8217;deki Japon Pearl Harbor sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131 ve Vietnam Sava\u015f\u0131 da dahil olmak \u00fczere ABD askeri tarihindeki en y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 anlardan baz\u0131lar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rd\u0131. Bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalardan farkl\u0131 olarak, bu kez Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri&#8217;nin sonu\u00e7lardan kurtulamayabilece\u011fini savundu. &#8216;Bu nedenle, Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri i\u00e7in yenilgi sadece m\u00fcmk\u00fcn de\u011fil, ayn\u0131 zamanda olas\u0131d\u0131r&#8217; diye vurgulad\u0131.<br \/>\nKagan, \u0130ran&#8217;\u0131n ABD bask\u0131s\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 koyma yetene\u011finin, K\u00f6rfez ekonomilerine ve daha geni\u015f k\u00fcresel sisteme ciddi zararlar vermeden Washington&#8217;a ilerlemek i\u00e7in \u00e7ok az uygulanabilir yol b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. &#8216;Bu \u015fah mat de\u011filse bile, \u00e7ok yak\u0131n&#8217; diye ekledi. Ayr\u0131ca, Tahran&#8217;\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir stratejik kald\u0131ra\u00e7 olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerindeki kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc b\u0131rakmas\u0131n\u0131n pek olas\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131. &#8216;\u0130ran, ne kadar iyi bir anla\u015fma yapabilece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnse de bo\u011faz\u0131 b\u0131rakmay\u0131 g\u00f6ze alamaz. Birincisi, Trump ile yap\u0131lan herhangi bir anla\u015fma ne kadar g\u00fcvenilir olabilir ki?&#8217;<br \/>\nPBS ile yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ayr\u0131 bir r\u00f6portajda Kagan, uyar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 \u0130srail&#8217;e de geni\u015fleterek, sava\u015f\u0131n Washington&#8217;\u0131n en yak\u0131n m\u00fcttefiklerinden biri i\u00e7in ters tepebilece\u011fini savundu. &#8216;Bu sava\u015f, b\u00f6lgedeki n\u00fcfuzun ve etkinin Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri ve \u0130srail&#8217;den \u0130ran ve destek\u00e7ilerine do\u011fru kaymas\u0131 nedeniyle \u0130srail i\u00e7in \u00e7ok felaketle sonu\u00e7lanma potansiyeline sahip.&#8217;<br \/>\nMiddle East Eye, Orta Do\u011fu, Kuzey Afrika ve \u00f6tesi hakk\u0131nda ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z ve e\u015fsiz haber ve analizler sunar. Bu i\u00e7eri\u011fi yeniden yay\u0131nlama ve ilgili \u00fccretler hakk\u0131nda daha fazla bilgi edinmek i\u00e7in l\u00fctfen bu formu doldurun. MEE hakk\u0131nda daha fazla bilgiyi buradan bulabilirsiniz.<br \/>\n#\u0130ranSava\u015f\u0131 #ABD\u0130ran #RobertKagan #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #K\u00fcreselG\u00fc\u00e7 #Neokonservatif #ABDPolitikas\u0131 #\u0130srail #Ortado\u011fu #Jeopolitik<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Etkili ABD&#8217;li \u015fahin, Washington&#8217;\u0131n sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n k\u00fcresel g\u00fc\u00e7 dengesinde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir de\u011fi\u015fime ve \u0130srail i\u00e7in &#8216;felaketle sonu\u00e7lanacak&#8217; bir duruma yol a\u00e7abilece\u011fi konusunda uyar\u0131yor. Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri&#8217;nin en \u00f6nde gelen neokonservatif seslerinden ve uzun s\u00fcredir \u0130srail yanl\u0131s\u0131 bir \u015fahin olan Robert Kagan, Washington&#8217;\u0131n \u0130ran&#8217;a kar\u015f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131nda &#8216;tam bir yenilgiye&#8217; do\u011fru ilerledi\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131; bu yenilginin &#8216;ne telafi [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":24567,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24566","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24566","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=24566"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24566\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/24567"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=24566"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=24566"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=24566"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}