{"id":15531,"date":"2026-05-02T19:40:38","date_gmt":"2026-05-02T16:10:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=15531"},"modified":"2026-05-02T19:40:38","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T16:10:38","slug":"iran-abd-ablukasina-karsi-stratejik-direnisini-surduruyor-petrol-stoklari-ve-alternatif-yollarla-baskiya-meydan-okuyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=15531&lang=tr","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran, ABD Ablukas\u0131na Kar\u015f\u0131 Stratejik Direni\u015fini S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor: Petrol Stoklar\u0131 ve Alternatif Yollarla Bask\u0131ya Meydan Okuyor"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\u0130ran, ABD Ablukas\u0131na Kar\u015f\u0131 Stratejik Direni\u015fini S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor: Petrol Stoklar\u0131 ve Alternatif Yollarla Bask\u0131ya Meydan Okuyor<\/h1>\n

Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri’nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’ndaki ablukas\u0131yla<\/strong> \u0130ran limanlar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, Tahran ihra\u00e7 etmesi gereken petrol\u00fc \u00fclke i\u00e7inde depolamak zorunda kald\u0131. Ancak baz\u0131 yorumcular \u0130ran’\u0131n depolama alan\u0131n\u0131n iki haftadan k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede t\u00fckenece\u011fine inan\u0131rken, rejimi yak\u0131ndan takip edenler Tahran’\u0131n bu an i\u00e7in uzun s\u00fcredir haz\u0131rland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtiyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran, zengin petrol sahalar\u0131ndan pompalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 miktar\u0131 azaltmaktan ka\u00e7\u0131nmak amac\u0131yla birincil ihracat emtias\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131y\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131ndaki depolama tanklar\u0131nda ve gemilerde sakl\u0131yor. Baz\u0131 analistler ve ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump y\u00f6netimine g\u00f6re, musluklar\u0131 kapatmak veya \u00fcretimi daha da azaltmak rejimin altyap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 riske atabilir. Ancak \u0130ran’\u0131n i\u00e7 t\u00fcketimi, tedarikin her zaman gerekli olaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. Ayr\u0131ca, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce rejimin sava\u015f b\u00f6lgesi d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda stoklad\u0131\u011f\u0131 petrol sayesinde, ablukan\u0131n \u00f6tesinde ticarete yetecek kadar kaynak bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

“Tavuk Oyunu” ve \u0130ran’\u0131n Dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/h2>\n

Uluslararas\u0131 Kriz Grubu’nda k\u0131demli analist ve \u0130ran program direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Ali Vaez’e g\u00f6re bu durum, bir “tavuk oyunu”<\/strong>nu ortaya koyuyor. Vaez, “\u0130ranl\u0131lar, kar\u015f\u0131 taraftan daha fazla dayanma g\u00fcc\u00fcne sahip olduklar\u0131na inan\u0131yorlar ve tabii ki Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri tam tersi bir inanca sahip,” dedi. “Bu y\u00fczden diplomatik yol \u00e7\u0131kmaza girmi\u015f durumda.”<\/p>\n

\u0130ran’\u0131n ne kadar petrol \u00fcretti\u011fi ve tankerleri seyredemezken ne kadar depolad\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z analizler, hem rejimin ne kadar stok yapabilece\u011fi hem de zaten harap olmu\u015f ekonomisinin ne kadar ac\u0131ya dayanabilece\u011fi a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan bask\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak diplomasi sekteye u\u011frarken ve her iki taraf da sald\u0131r\u0131lara geri d\u00f6nmeyi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcrken, \u0130ran ablukay\u0131 a\u015fmak, petrol\u00fcn\u00fc ta\u015f\u0131mak ve ekonomik can damar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden ba\u011flamak i\u00e7in karasal se\u00e7eneklere y\u00f6neliyor.<\/p>\n

ABD Ablukas\u0131n\u0131n Ger\u00e7ek Y\u00fcz\u00fc ve \u0130ran’\u0131n Kar\u015f\u0131 Hamleleri<\/h2>\n

ABD ablukas\u0131 13 Nisan \u00f6\u011flen saatlerinde y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girdi. O zamandan beri, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n bat\u0131s\u0131ndaki sular\u0131 devriye gezen Amerikan sava\u015f gemilerini sadece az say\u0131da \u0130ran gemisi ge\u00e7ebildi. Ancak bu gemiler kargo gemileriydi ve petrol ta\u015f\u0131m\u0131yordu. Emtia veri \u015firketi Kpler’in ham petrol analizi ba\u015fkan\u0131 Homayoun Falakshahi, “Hi\u00e7bir onaylanm\u0131\u015f tanker ABD abluka b\u00f6lgesinden \u00e7\u0131kmad\u0131,” dedi. Falakshahi, birka\u00e7 \u0130ran tankerinin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131 ge\u00e7ti\u011fini ancak ablukay\u0131 a\u015famad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve “\u00e7o\u011fu geminin bunun yerine g\u00fcney \u0130ran’daki \u00c7abahar b\u00f6lgesine y\u00f6neldi\u011fini” belirtti.<\/p>\n

Denizcilik analiz firmas\u0131 Windward’da k\u0131demli denizcilik istihbarat analisti olan Michelle Bockmann, ablukan\u0131n y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesinden bu yana b\u00f6lgedeki deniz verilerini yak\u0131ndan inceliyor. Bockmann, “Ge\u00e7enlere veya daha \u00f6nemlisi ge\u00e7emeyenlere bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, ABD ablukas\u0131n\u0131n \u0130ran’dan yap\u0131lan ham petrol sevkiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funu, hatta tamam\u0131n\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k,” dedi.<\/p>\n

Ancak \u0130ran, bu bask\u0131ya kar\u015f\u0131 haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131yd\u0131. Sava\u015f \u015eubat ay\u0131 sonlar\u0131nda patlak verdi\u011finde ve \u0130ran H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n kontrol\u00fcn\u00fc ele ge\u00e7irdi\u011finde, \u0130slam Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Ordusu (IRGC) hayati nakliye suyolunu d\u00fcnyan\u0131n tanker trafi\u011finin \u00e7o\u011funa etkili bir \u015fekilde kapatm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. \u0130ran, Avustralya da dahil olmak \u00fczere ithalat\u00e7\u0131 \u00fclkeleri Basra K\u00f6rfezi’ndeki di\u011fer tedarik\u00e7ilerden ay\u0131rm\u0131\u015f ve b\u00f6lgedeki petrol\u00fcn \u00e7o\u011funu bo\u011faz\u0131n do\u011fu taraf\u0131nda hapsetmi\u015fti. Ancak \u0130ran filosu seyretmeye devam etti ve ABD ablukas\u0131 ba\u015flamadan \u00f6nce rejim, sava\u015ftan \u00f6nceki d\u00f6neme g\u00f6re daha fazla ihracat yap\u0131yordu.<\/p>\n

Bockmann, “\u015eubat ay\u0131nda \u0130ran bunun gelece\u011fini biliyordu ve t\u00fcm petrol\u00fc tankerlere y\u00fckleyerek d\u0131\u015far\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131,” dedi. “Mart ay\u0131nda \u0130ran’\u0131n ablukas\u0131 vard\u0131 ama bu tankerler i\u00e7in i\u015fler her zamanki gibiydi. Sonra 13 Nisan’dan sonra ani bir azalma oldu ve \u015fimdi, iki hafta sonra, petrol y\u00fckl\u00fc hi\u00e7bir \u0130ran gemisi Asya’ya ula\u015fmad\u0131.”<\/p>\n

Falakshahi de benzer bir analiz yaparak \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: “\u0130ran’\u0131n ihracat\u0131 abluka \u00f6ncesi diren\u00e7li kald\u0131 ve Mart ay\u0131nda g\u00fcnl\u00fck ortalama 1.85 milyon varil (mbd) ile \u00f6nceki \u00fc\u00e7 ayda g\u00f6r\u00fclen 1.7 mbd’lik trendin \u00fczerindeydi.” Ancak ihracat y\u00fcklemeleri “abluka sonras\u0131 keskin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fle g\u00fcnl\u00fck 567.000 varile geriledi.”<\/p>\n

Stratejik Planlama ve Alternatif \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcmler<\/h2>\n

Vaez, “Rejim, ABD’nin \u0130ran ile sava\u015f \u00f6ncesinde Venezuela’da ne yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 izledi\u011fi i\u00e7in bir ABD deniz ablukas\u0131 olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etmi\u015fti,” dedi. “Acil durum planlar\u0131 yapm\u0131\u015flard\u0131… \u00c7in’e petrollerinin bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nceden satm\u0131\u015f, Malezya gibi yerlere g\u00f6ndermi\u015flerdi. Asl\u0131nda bir tampon olu\u015fturmu\u015flard\u0131.”<\/p>\n

Ancak \u0130ran topraklar\u0131ndan \u00e7ok daha az petrol ayr\u0131l\u0131rken, iki ba\u015fka metrik devreye giriyor: \u0130ran’\u0131n ne kadar petrol \u00fcretti\u011fi ve ne kadar depolayabilece\u011fi. Falakshahi’nin analizi, \u0130ran’\u0131n petrol end\u00fcstrisinde zaten devam eden \u00fcretim kesintilerinin May\u0131s ortas\u0131na kadar 1.5 mbd daha azalabilece\u011fini tahmin ediyor. Falakshahi, “E\u011fer abluka May\u0131s sonunda kald\u0131r\u0131l\u0131rsa, \u00fcretim h\u0131zla toparlanacakt\u0131r,” dedi. Ancak kald\u0131r\u0131lmazsa, \u0130ran’\u0131n depolama alan\u0131 t\u00fckenebilir ve \u00fcretimi daha da k\u0131smak zorunda kalabilir.<\/p>\n

ABD Hazine Bakan\u0131 Scott Bessent k\u0131sa s\u00fcre \u00f6nce X’te yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir payla\u015f\u0131mda, \u0130ran’\u0131n Basra K\u00f6rfezi’ndeki Harg Adas\u0131’ndaki birincil ihracat terminalinin “yak\u0131nda kapasiteye ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131” belirtti. \u0130ran k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131ndan 24 kilometre a\u00e7\u0131kta bulunan ada, \u00fclkenin ekonomik can damar\u0131 i\u00e7in merkezi bir \u00f6neme sahip; \u0130ran’\u0131n ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fcn y\u00fczde 90’\u0131 bu terminalden ge\u00e7iyor. Bessent, Harg’\u0131n kapasiteye ula\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n rejimi \u00fcretimi daha da azaltmaya zorlayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve bunun “g\u00fcnl\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131k 170 milyon ABD dolar\u0131 (236 milyon dolar) ek gelir kayb\u0131na” ve “\u0130ran’\u0131n petrol altyap\u0131s\u0131na kal\u0131c\u0131 zarara” yol a\u00e7aca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin etti.<\/p>\n

Vaez, ABD anlat\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 tamamen kabul etmeye kar\u015f\u0131 uyard\u0131. “\u015e\u00fcphesiz abluka \u0130ranl\u0131lara zarar veriyor, ancak bunun y\u0131llard\u0131r yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar alt\u0131nda ya\u015fayan \u00e7ok diren\u00e7li bir ekonomi oldu\u011fu da unutulmamal\u0131d\u0131r. \u00c7ok y\u00fcksek bir ac\u0131 e\u015fi\u011fi var ve bu ac\u0131y\u0131 n\u00fcfusa aktarmaktan \u00e7ekinmiyor.” Kpler analizi, rejim gelirlerinin sonunda g\u00fcnde 250 milyon ABD dolar\u0131na kadar etkilenece\u011fini tahmin etti, ancak bunun \u0130ran taraf\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekten hissedilmesinin biraz zaman alaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, muhtemelen “\u00fc\u00e7 ila d\u00f6rt ay sonra” olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti.<\/p>\n

Yarat\u0131c\u0131 Depolama \u00c7\u00f6z\u00fcmleri ve Gelecek Senaryolar\u0131<\/h2>\n

\u0130ran petrol\u00fc boru hatt\u0131 a\u011f\u0131 \u00fczerinden akmaya devam ederken, ancak ger\u00e7ekten gidecek daha az yer varken, baz\u0131 analistler \u0130ran’\u0131n ne kadar depolama kapasitesi kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, hem fiziksel alan hem de dolana kadar ge\u00e7en g\u00fcn say\u0131s\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan tahmin ettiler. Kpler’in bu haftan\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndaki analizi, \u0130ran’\u0131n karadaki depolama tesislerinde normal ihracat hacimlerinin yakla\u015f\u0131k 12 g\u00fcnl\u00fck kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar ham petrol kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyordu. Ancak ablukadan petrol ge\u00e7emedi\u011fi i\u00e7in, b\u00f6lgede y\u00fczen depolama tesisleri haline gelen gemiler de bulunuyor.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran’\u0131n petrol\u00fc sevk edememesi, ABD sava\u015f gemilerinin k\u0131y\u0131 \u015feridinden ge\u00e7i\u015fine izin veren bir anla\u015fma yap\u0131lana kadar petrol\u00fc park edebilece\u011fi yerler konusunda yarat\u0131c\u0131 olmaya zorlad\u0131. Bockmann, “H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’\u00fcn bat\u0131s\u0131nda o kadar \u00e7ok gemi s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda ki… bu gemiler hi\u00e7bir yere gitmedi,” dedi. Ve sevk edilemeyen her varil depolanmak zorunda.<\/p>\n

Windward taraf\u0131ndan analiz edilen ve ABC taraf\u0131ndan g\u00f6r\u00fclen veriler, Basra K\u00f6rfezi i\u00e7inde “hayalet gemiler” ve “aldatma teknikleri” kullanan gemiler g\u00f6steriyor. \u0130ran’\u0131n bu gemileri, \u00fcretimi yava\u015flatmay\u0131 veya durdurmay\u0131 geciktirmek i\u00e7in petrol depolamak amac\u0131yla kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 muhtemel. \u0130ran’\u0131n petrol \u00fcretimini durdurmak zorunda kalmas\u0131 halinde, ya\u015flanan makinelerinin yeniden \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmama veya mevcut \u00fcretim seviyelerine ula\u015famama riski oldu\u011fu y\u00f6n\u00fcnde baz\u0131 spek\u00fclasyonlar vard\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran’\u0131n depolama kapasitesi analizi, karadaki tesislerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra K\u00f6rfez’deki y\u00fczen stoklar haline gelen yak\u0131ndaki gemileri de inceliyor. Kpler analizi \u015fimdi, Basra K\u00f6rfezi, Umman K\u00f6rfezi ve Pakistan yak\u0131nlar\u0131nda, \u0130ran ham petrol\u00fcn\u00fc ta\u015f\u0131ma ge\u00e7mi\u015fi olan 18 tankerin depolama filosunun bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olabilece\u011fini tahmin ediyor. Kpler taraf\u0131ndan tan\u0131mlanan baz\u0131 gemiler, takip transponderlerini a\u00e7madan uzun s\u00fcreler ge\u00e7irmi\u015f, bu da onlar\u0131n ya k\u00fcresel nakliye rotalar\u0131nda hareket eden g\u00f6lge filolar\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131 ya da \u015fimdi depolama olarak kullan\u0131lmak \u00fczere \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lan ya\u015flanan gemiler oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6rne\u011fin, \u0130ran bayrakl\u0131 Navarz, \u015fimdi Basra K\u00f6rfezi’nde s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f oldu\u011funa inan\u0131lan bir ham petrol tankeri. Ancak bu geminin sefer ge\u00e7mi\u015fi d\u00fczensiz ve Kpler deniz takip verilerine g\u00f6re, birka\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r bir konum bildirmemi\u015f. Kpler \u015fimdi, rejimin depolama i\u00e7in en az\u0131ndan k\u0131smen kullanabilece\u011fine inan\u0131yor. Benzer \u015fekilde, ya\u015flanan Nasha gemisinin son 12 ay i\u00e7inde kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131na dair hi\u00e7bir kan\u0131t yok, ancak uydu g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fclerinin analizi \u015fimdi onu Harg Adas\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klar\u0131nda g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n

Aksi takdirde sevk edilecek olan petrol i\u00e7in depolama alan\u0131 s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131d\u0131r, ancak Vaez’e g\u00f6re i\u00e7 t\u00fcketim kuyular\u0131n kurumayaca\u011f\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor. \u0130ran’\u0131n \u00fcretti\u011fi petrol\u00fcn sadece yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ihra\u00e7 etti\u011fini ve rejim petrol \u00fcretimini azaltsa bile “t\u00fcm kuyular\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k tutabilece\u011fini ve bu malzemeyi yurt i\u00e7inde kullanabilece\u011fini” s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

Denizdeki Petrol Depolaman\u0131n Riskleri ve ABD’nin \u0130kiy\u00fczl\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc<\/h2>\n

Kpler analizine g\u00f6re, \u0130ran \u015fu anda 184 milyon varil petrol\u00fc “suda” tutuyor. Bunun 60 milyon varili, ABD ablukas\u0131n\u0131n arkas\u0131nda, Basra K\u00f6rfezi ve Umman K\u00f6rfezi’nde etkili bir \u015fekilde s\u0131k\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f durumda. Orta Do\u011fu’da deneyimli eski bir deniz subay\u0131 olan Jennifer Parker, \u0130ran’\u0131n eski gemileri petrol depolamak i\u00e7in kullanmas\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu, ancak “bunun zorluklar\u0131 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131” s\u00f6yledi. “Ka\u00e7 tane geminin mevcut oldu\u011funa ve s\u0131z\u0131nt\u0131 yapmama a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan ne kadar g\u00fcvenli olduklar\u0131na ba\u011fl\u0131,” dedi.<\/p>\n

Analistler taraf\u0131ndan \u0130ran petrol\u00fcn\u00fc depolamak i\u00e7in kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen gemiler 30 y\u0131la kadar \u00f6nce in\u015fa edilmi\u015fti. 2023’te BM, Yemen k\u0131y\u0131lar\u0131nda sekiz y\u0131ld\u0131r 1 milyar varilden fazla petrol depolayan bir petrol tankerini \u00e7\u0131karmak zorunda kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu hassas ve riskli bir operasyondu ve t\u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fcn ilk \u00f6rne\u011fiydi, ancak alternatif daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir zorluk te\u015fkil ediyordu. K\u0131z\u0131ldeniz’deki ya\u015flanan, \u00e7\u00fcr\u00fcyen gemi petrol\u00fc s\u0131zd\u0131rsayd\u0131, do\u011fal felaket d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck deniz ekosistemlerinden birini yok etme potansiyeline sahipti.<\/p>\n

Bu depolama takti\u011fi ayn\u0131 zamanda bir hedef haline de gelebilir. Parker, “E\u011fer ABD \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n s\u0131cak taraf\u0131n\u0131 yeniden ba\u015flat\u0131rsa, bu gemileri hedef alabilirler,” dedi. ABD-\u0130srail’in \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n iki a\u015famal\u0131 oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. \u0130lk a\u015fama askeri eylem, baz\u0131 altyap\u0131lara yap\u0131lan sald\u0131r\u0131lard\u0131. “Bu, orduyu ve tabii ki siyasi eliti zay\u0131flatmakla ilgiliydi,” diye ekledi. \u0130kinci ve mevcut a\u015fama ise ekonomik bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rmakla ilgili.<\/p>\n

Bockman da ayn\u0131 fikirdeydi: “Abluka her g\u00fcn devam ettik\u00e7e, \u0130ran bu \u00e7\u0131kmaz\u0131 sona erdirmek ve petrol \u00fcretiminin durmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek i\u00e7in daha \u00e7aresiz kalacakt\u0131r.”<\/p>\n

Her \u0130ki Taraf \u00dczerindeki Bask\u0131 ve \u0130ran’\u0131n Stratejik Derinli\u011fi<\/h2>\n

Trump, ablukaya ili\u015fkin “dahiyane” fikriyle gurur duyuyor. Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc Oval Ofis’te gazetecilere, “Abluka y\u00fczde 100 kusursuzdu,” dedi. Trump, \u0130ran’\u0131n ablukay\u0131 sona erdirmek ve “\u00f6l\u00fc ekonomisini” kurtarmak istiyorsa, tek yapmas\u0131 gerekenin “Pes ediyoruz, pes ediyoruz” demek oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi. Ancak rejimi yak\u0131ndan takip eden Vaez, Tahran’da karar verenlerin yine acil durum planlar\u0131 geli\u015ftirdi\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

“Bu, kara ve deniz yoluyla 15 kom\u015fusu olan b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00fclke,” dedi. “Ayr\u0131ca kara yoluyla alternatif rotalar\u0131, Pakistan \u00fczerinden yollar\u0131, Afganistan ve Irak \u00fczerinden demiryollar\u0131n\u0131, T\u00fcrkiye’yi, Kafkaslar\u0131, Hazar Denizi’ni de var.” Pakistan bu sava\u015fta bar\u0131\u015f arac\u0131s\u0131 rol\u00fcn\u00fc oynuyor, ancak ayn\u0131 zamanda i\u00e7 de\u011fi\u015fiklikler yapt\u0131 ve \u0130ran ile yeni bir ticaret koridoru duyurdu.<\/p>\n

Sava\u015f \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc ay\u0131na girerken, ABD \u0130ran ekonomisi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 ger\u00e7ekten art\u0131rmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor ve bunu \u00e7ok a\u00e7\u0131k bir \u015fekilde dile getiriyor. Analistler, t\u00fcm taraflardan gelen “ekonomik zorlaman\u0131n”<\/strong> \u0130ran’\u0131 m\u00fczakere masas\u0131na geri getirmek i\u00e7in tasarland\u0131\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yor. Parker, gelir kay\u0131plar\u0131n\u0131n IRGC’nin “sava\u015fma yetene\u011fini, yeniden in\u015fa etme yetene\u011fini ve militan grup i\u00e7indeki morali” etkiledi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n

ABD’de ise Trump, artan yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131 ve sava\u015f\u0131n kamu b\u00fct\u00e7esine maliyeti nedeniyle bir miktar bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda. \u00c7o\u011fu analist, sava\u015f\u0131n muhtemelen m\u00fczakereler yoluyla sona erece\u011fi konusunda hemfikir, ancak bunun ne zaman olaca\u011f\u0131 her iki taraf\u0131n ne kadar bask\u0131 alt\u0131nda oldu\u011funa ba\u011fl\u0131. Vaez, rejim kararlar\u0131n\u0131 veren generallerin, ekonomik s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131y\u0131 hissetmelerine ra\u011fmen, ablukaya “iki ila \u00fc\u00e7 ay daha” dayanabileceklerine inand\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n<\/section>\n

#\u0130ranDireni\u015fi #ABDYapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131 #PetrolStoklar\u0131 #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #EkonomikSava\u015f #AlternatifTicaretYollar\u0131 #\u0130ranEkonomisi #StratejikHaz\u0131rl\u0131k #B\u00f6lgesel\u0130\u015fbirli\u011fi #\u0130ranG\u00fcc\u00fc<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u0130ran, ABD Ablukas\u0131na Kar\u015f\u0131 Stratejik Direni\u015fini S\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor: Petrol Stoklar\u0131 ve Alternatif Yollarla Bask\u0131ya Meydan Okuyor Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri’nin H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’ndaki ablukas\u0131yla \u0130ran limanlar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, Tahran ihra\u00e7 etmesi gereken petrol\u00fc \u00fclke i\u00e7inde depolamak zorunda kald\u0131. Ancak baz\u0131 yorumcular \u0130ran’\u0131n depolama alan\u0131n\u0131n iki haftadan k\u0131sa s\u00fcrede t\u00fckenece\u011fine inan\u0131rken, rejimi yak\u0131ndan takip edenler Tahran’\u0131n bu […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15532,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15531","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15531","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15531"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15531\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/15532"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15531"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15531"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15531"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}