ABD ve \u0130srail’in 28 \u015eubat’ta \u0130ran’a kar\u015f\u0131 askeri operasyonlara ba\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte, Rusya h\u0131zla ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan kaosun ba\u015fl\u0131ca faydalan\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mland\u0131. Bunun nedenini g\u00f6rmek kolayd\u0131: Trump y\u00f6netiminin Rus petrol\u00fcne uygulanan ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 kald\u0131rmas\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, Moskova’n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu ve savunma harcamalar\u0131na ivme kazand\u0131rd\u0131. Washington’\u0131n Basra K\u00f6rfezi’ne y\u00f6nelmesiyle birlikte, ABD ile NATO ortaklar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki u\u00e7urum geni\u015fliyor. Kremlin’in k\u00fcresel bilgi a\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, ABD ordusunun Orta Do\u011fu’daki operasyonlar\u0131, Washington’\u0131n militarizmi hakk\u0131nda bol miktarda i\u00e7erik sa\u011flad\u0131. Ancak t\u00fcm bu faydalara ra\u011fmen, hi\u00e7biri Rusya i\u00e7in stratejik bir kazan\u00e7 sa\u011flamayacak. Asl\u0131nda, Kiev ve m\u00fcttefikleri bu andan faydalanabilirse, uzun vadede daha b\u00fcy\u00fck faydalan\u0131c\u0131 muhtemelen Ukrayna olacakt\u0131r. Enerji fiyatlar\u0131 k\u0131sa vadede y\u00fcksek kalabilir ve Rusya’ya fayda sa\u011flayabilir, ancak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n sona ermesi, Moskova’n\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitlendirilmemi\u015f ekonomisi i\u00e7in elveri\u015fsiz varil ba\u015f\u0131na maliyetleri yeniden g\u00fcndeme getirecektir. ABD’nin Rusya’n\u0131n enerji sekt\u00f6r\u00fcne y\u00f6nelik baz\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 kald\u0131rmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, AB yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme taahh\u00fcd\u00fcnde bulundu ve Rus tankerleri Ukrayna sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ve Avrupa’n\u0131n el koyma tehdidinin alt\u0131nda kalmaya devam ediyor. Ukrayna’n\u0131n Rus rafinerilerine ve enerjiyle ilgili di\u011fer tesislere y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 da Moskova’n\u0131n petrol ve gaz satma kapasitesine zarar vermeye devam edecek. Jeopolitik olarak, Rusya’n\u0131n \u0130ran’a verdi\u011fi destek, \u00fclkenin K\u00f6rfez \u00fclkeleriyle ili\u015fkilerine zarar vermi\u015f olabilir. \u0130ran’a hedefleme verileri ve insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131 sa\u011flamaktan, Tahran ile dayan\u0131\u015fma a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131 yapmaya kadar, Kremlin, her iki taraf farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 kamuoyundan uzak tutsa bile, y\u0131llarca s\u00fcrecek \u015fikayetler i\u00e7in bolca malzeme yaratt\u0131. Dahas\u0131, Esad rejimini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrememesi veya Nicolas Maduro’nun yakalanmas\u0131n\u0131 engelleyememesi K\u00f6rfez monar\u015fileri taraf\u0131ndan Moskova’n\u0131n s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 etkisinin bir i\u015fareti olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrken, Tahran’a yard\u0131m etmek Kremlin’in “Karga\u015fa Ekseni”ne olan ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor ki bu da K\u00f6rfez monar\u015filerinin geli\u015ftirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgesel istikrar ve refah i\u00e7in do\u011frudan bir tehdittir. Buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Ukrayna bir zorlu\u011fu zafere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcrd\u00fc. Ba\u015fkan Volodimir Zelenskiy’nin Mart ay\u0131ndaki Orta Do\u011fu turu, BAE, Suudi Arabistan ve Katar ile savunma anla\u015fmalar\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Anla\u015fmalar\u0131n kamuoyuna a\u00e7\u0131klanan k\u0131sm\u0131 bile etkileyici: Ukrayna, Kiev’in sava\u015f deneyimini enerji sevkiyatlar\u0131, mali yard\u0131m ve f\u00fcze \u00f6nleyicilerle takas etmesini i\u00e7eren on y\u0131ll\u0131k anla\u015fmalar imzalad\u0131. Ukrayna ayr\u0131ca Bahreyn, Umman ve Kuveyt ile de benzer \u00fc\u00e7 anla\u015fma pe\u015finde. \u0130ran \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n Amerikan \u00f6nleyicilerinin Ukrayna’ya transferini engellemesi endi\u015feleri, Ukrayna’n\u0131n bug\u00fcnk\u00fc g\u00fcvenli\u011fi i\u00e7in bir risk olu\u015fturuyor, ancak yerli firmalar \u015fimdiden Patriot sistemine bir alternatif de dahil olmak \u00fczere sa\u011flam hava savunma sistemleri geli\u015ftiriyor. Flamingo seyir f\u00fczesinden sorumlu Ukraynal\u0131 \u015firket Fire Point, 2027 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli bir hava savunma sistemi olu\u015fturmak i\u00e7in Avrupal\u0131 \u015firketlerle \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor. Bu geli\u015fme, Ukrayna’n\u0131n Rus sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 savu\u015fturmas\u0131na ve aranan bir ortak haline gelmesine yard\u0131mc\u0131 olan daha geni\u015f bir inovasyon ekosisteminin par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r. Nihayetinde Kiev, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131ndan, Ukrayna’n\u0131n mevcut m\u00fccadelesini ve \u00fclkenin sava\u015f sonras\u0131 yeniden in\u015fas\u0131n\u0131 destekleyecek kaynaklara sahip bir grup ulusla daha yak\u0131n siyasi, askeri ve ekonomik ba\u011flar\u0131 geli\u015ftirecek dayan\u0131kl\u0131, uzun \u00f6m\u00fcrl\u00fc anla\u015fmalarla \u00e7\u0131kacak. B\u00f6lgedeki Amerikan askeri \u00fcslerinin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n Avrupa’n\u0131n enerji g\u00fcvenli\u011fi ile k\u00fcresel ekonomi i\u00e7in \u00f6nemi g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7leri Ukrayna ile i\u015f birli\u011fi yapmaya te\u015fvik etmek hem Washington hem de Avrupa’n\u0131n ulusal g\u00fcvenlik \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131na hizmet etmektedir. Kiev’in geleneksel destek\u00e7ileri, K\u00f6rfez monar\u015filerini Ukrayna’y\u0131 g\u00fcvenilir ve yetenekli bir ortak olarak g\u00f6rmeye te\u015fvik etmek i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli diplomatik a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 kullanabilirler. Bu, Ukrayna’dan g\u00fcvenlik yard\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 stratejik yat\u0131r\u0131mlara ve \u0130ran’\u0131n sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131ndan etkilenen \u00fclkelerin Moskova \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131na ba\u011flayan potansiyel \u00e7ok tarafl\u0131 d\u00fczenlemeleri i\u00e7erebilir. ABD ve bir\u00e7ok Avrupa devleti de Orta Do\u011fu’nun karma\u015f\u0131k siyasi sistemlerinde ve te\u015fvik yap\u0131lar\u0131nda gezinme konusunda Ukrayna’dan daha fazla deneyime sahiptir. Onlar\u0131n aktif rehberli\u011fi, Ukrayna’n\u0131n dengeli anla\u015fmalar\u0131 daha h\u0131zl\u0131 g\u00fcvence alt\u0131na almas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olabilir. Zamanla, Kiev ile K\u00f6rfez monar\u015fileri aras\u0131ndaki daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc savunma ve ekonomik ba\u011flar, Avrupa’n\u0131n Ukrayna’ya yard\u0131m sa\u011flama ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 azaltacakt\u0131r; bu da \u015fimdi anla\u015fmalar\u0131n yap\u0131lmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 olan t\u00fcm Avrupa \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in bir yat\u0131r\u0131m getirisi olacakt\u0131r. Moskova’n\u0131n Tahran ile ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Kremlin’in uzun vadeli jeopolitik hesaplamas\u0131 \u2013 yani k\u00fcresel b\u00f6l\u00fcnmelerin ve istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131n ekonomik ve siyasi hedeflerini destekledi\u011fi inanc\u0131 \u2013 Rusya’n\u0131n nihayetinde \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n kaybedeni olmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r. D\u00fcnya, merkezi olmayan, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck maliyetli hava tehditleriyle tan\u0131mlanan bir \u0130HA \u00c7a\u011f\u0131’na girerken, Kiev silahl\u0131 direni\u015fin \u00f6nc\u00fcs\u00fc rol\u00fcn\u00fc peki\u015ftirecektir. Ukrayna an\u0131 yakalam\u0131\u015f ve sava\u015f zaman\u0131 deneyimini simbiyotik ortakl\u0131k a\u011f\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletmeye ba\u015flamak i\u00e7in kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Kendi g\u00fcvenlikleri ve refahlar\u0131 i\u00e7in Avrupa ve ABD bu \u00e7abay\u0131 desteklemelidir. Artur Kalandarov, Stanford \u00dcniversitesi’nden Rus, Do\u011fu Avrupa ve Avrasya \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 alan\u0131nda y\u00fcksek lisans derecesine sahiptir. Washington DC merkezli bir i\u015f dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k firmas\u0131 olan The Cohen Group’ta k\u0131demli ortak olarak g\u00f6rev yapmakta ve m\u00fc\u015fterilerine Do\u011fu Avrupa’daki i\u015f operasyonlar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k yapmaktad\u0131r. Daha \u00f6nce Modern War Institute, Defense One, Newsweek, The National Interest ve The Hill’de yaz\u0131lar\u0131 yay\u0131mlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fleri firmas\u0131n\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini yans\u0131tmayabilir. #\u0130ranSava\u015f\u0131 #RusyaUkrayna #Jeopolitik #EnerjiG\u00fcvenli\u011fi #K\u00f6rfez\u00dclkeleri #SavunmaAnla\u015fmalar\u0131 #\u0130HA\u00c7a\u011f\u0131 #UkraynaDirenci #K\u00fcresel\u0130li\u015fkiler #Diplomasi<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
ABD ve \u0130srail’in 28 \u015eubat’ta \u0130ran’a kar\u015f\u0131 askeri operasyonlara ba\u015flamas\u0131yla birlikte, Rusya h\u0131zla ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan kaosun ba\u015fl\u0131ca faydalan\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 olarak tan\u0131mland\u0131. Bunun nedenini g\u00f6rmek kolayd\u0131: Trump y\u00f6netiminin Rus petrol\u00fcne uygulanan ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 kald\u0131rmas\u0131 ve k\u00fcresel enerji fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f, Moskova’n\u0131n b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kapatmas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu ve savunma harcamalar\u0131na ivme kazand\u0131rd\u0131. Washington’\u0131n Basra K\u00f6rfezi’ne y\u00f6nelmesiyle birlikte, ABD ile […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15278,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15277","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15277","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15277"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15277\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/15278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15277"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15277"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15277"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}