Haftalar s\u00fcren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar, \u0130ran’\u0131n ekonomik bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak finansal sistemi \u00fczerindeki y\u00fck\u00fc derinle\u015ftirdi. Ate\u015fkes ve devam eden deniz k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti K\u00f6rfez’deki gerilime ra\u011fmen i\u015fleyi\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu durum, \u0130ran’\u0131 ABD ve \u0130srail ile bir \u00e7\u0131kmaza s\u00fcr\u00fcklerken, ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri durmu\u015f ve \u00f6nemli K\u00f6rfez rotalar\u0131 kesintiye u\u011fram\u0131\u015f durumda. Reuters’\u0131n aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 analistlere g\u00f6re, altyap\u0131, sanayi ve petrol ihracat\u0131ndaki hasara ra\u011fmen \u0130ran, i\u00e7 tedariki ve s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 d\u0131\u015f ticareti y\u00f6netmeye devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
Chatham House Ortado\u011fu program\u0131 ba\u015fkan\u0131 Sanam Vakil, “San\u0131r\u0131m ekonomistlerin veya Bat\u0131l\u0131 politika yap\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n bekledi\u011finden daha uzun bir s\u00fcre hesaplad\u0131lar” dedi. Vakil, \u0130ran’\u0131n i\u00e7 kontrol mekanizmalar\u0131na ve “direni\u015f ekonomisi” olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015feye g\u00fcvendi\u011fini ekledi. “Bask\u0131c\u0131 kapasite kullanmalar\u0131 olduk\u00e7a bilinen bir durum. Halk\u0131n tasarruflar\u0131n\u0131 kullanmas\u0131na g\u00fcveniyorlar” diyerek Tahran’\u0131n yerel kaynaklara ve kara yoluyla s\u0131n\u0131r \u00f6tesi ticarete \u00f6ncelik veren yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Resmi verilerin s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 olmas\u0131 ve ileti\u015fim k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 nedeniyle ekonomik etkinin tam olarak de\u011ferlendirilmesi zor olsa da, raporlar i\u015fletmeler, enflasyon ve istihdam ko\u015fullar\u0131 \u00fczerinde \u00f6nemli bir bask\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor. Ancak, temel g\u00f6stergeler k\u0131smi bir diren\u00e7 oldu\u011funu ortaya koyuyor. Yetkililer, para \u00e7ekme, yak\u0131t karnesi veya gecikmeli maa\u015f \u00f6demeleri konusunda geni\u015f k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar getirmezken, \u015fehir pazarlar\u0131nda g\u0131da bulunabilirli\u011fi istikrarl\u0131 kalmaya devam ediyor.<\/p>\n
Nakliye verileri, K\u00f6rfez terminallerinden ham petrol hareketlili\u011finin azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi; analistler, k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n ne kadar s\u00fcrece\u011fine ba\u011fl\u0131 olarak ihracat k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131n\u0131n zamanla daha da \u015fiddetlenebilece\u011fini tahmin ediyor. \u0130ran Merkez Bankas\u0131’ndan \u00fcst d\u00fczey bir yetkili Reuters’a yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u00fclkenin gerekti\u011finde kullan\u0131labilecek \u00f6nemli alt\u0131n rezervlerine sahip oldu\u011funu belirtirken, \u0130ran’\u0131n yapt\u0131r\u0131m ko\u015fullar\u0131 alt\u0131nda ithalat\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrme konusunda uzun bir deneyime sahip oldu\u011funu da iddia etti.<\/p>\n
Tar\u0131m sekt\u00f6r\u00fcnde ise analistler, \u00e7e\u015fitlendirilmi\u015f tedarik rotalar\u0131 ve artan yerel \u00fcretim sayesinde \u0130ran’\u0131n nispeten diren\u00e7li kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, bunun da k\u0131sa vadeli ithalat ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltabilece\u011fini belirtiyor. Kpler’in tar\u0131m emtialar\u0131 ba\u015f analisti Ishan Bahnu, “\u0130ran b\u00f6lgedeki en b\u00fcy\u00fck g\u0131da ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131d\u0131r. Ancak ayn\u0131 zamanda b\u00f6lgedeki g\u0131da g\u00fcvensizli\u011fi en az olan \u00fclke oldu\u011funu da belirtmek \u00f6nemlidir” dedi. T\u00fcrkiye, Irak ve Pakistan gibi kom\u015fu \u00fclkelerle ticaret devam ederken, Rusya da Hazar Denizi \u00fczerinden sevkiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak K\u00f6rfez nakliye rotalar\u0131n\u0131 bypass etti.<\/p>\n
Ancak i\u00e7 cephede ekonomik stres belirgin. \u0130\u015fletmeler artan maliyetler, tedarik kesintileri ve zay\u0131flayan talep bildirdi. Bir pirin\u00e7 ve tah\u0131l sat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 olan Abbas Smaeelzade, “Temel mallar\u0131n, \u00f6zellikle de do\u011frudan insanlar\u0131n sofralar\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 \u00fcr\u00fcnlerimizin fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 kesinlikle insanlar \u00fczerinde bask\u0131 olu\u015fturuyor” dedi ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n t\u0131rmanmas\u0131ndan bu yana sat\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n keskin bir \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ekledi. Bu arada, tamirci Hossein Amiri, m\u00fc\u015fteri faaliyetlerinin \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde azald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. “\u0130\u015fimiz temelde durma noktas\u0131na geldi” diyerek, ko\u015fullar\u0131n devam etmesi halinde daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fece\u011fi uyar\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Analistler, uzun s\u00fcreli ekonomik bask\u0131n\u0131n istikrars\u0131zl\u0131k risklerini art\u0131rabilece\u011fini belirterek potansiyel sosyal huzursuzluk endi\u015felerinin de devam etti\u011fini kaydediyor. Vakil’in belirtti\u011fi gibi, bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm, \u0130ran’\u0131n yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131 fonlara ve uluslararas\u0131 ticarete eri\u015fimini iyile\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n hafifletilmesini gerektirecektir. Tahran’\u0131n yurt d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki d\u00f6viz varl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 kullanma, petrol ihracat\u0131n\u0131 geni\u015fletme ve normal ticaret kanallar\u0131n\u0131 yeniden tesis etme konusunda daha fazla yetene\u011fe ihtiyac\u0131 oldu\u011funu da s\u00f6zlerine ekledi.<\/p>\n
#\u0130ranEkonomisi #Ortado\u011fu\u00c7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 #Yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar #Direni\u015fEkonomisi #\u0130ranTicaret #Petrol\u0130hracat\u0131 #G\u0131daG\u00fcvenli\u011fi #SosyalHuzursuzluk #K\u00f6rfezGerilimi #EkonomikBask\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Haftalar s\u00fcren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar, \u0130ran’\u0131n ekonomik bask\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rarak finansal sistemi \u00fczerindeki y\u00fck\u00fc derinle\u015ftirdi. Ate\u015fkes ve devam eden deniz k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131na ra\u011fmen \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti K\u00f6rfez’deki gerilime ra\u011fmen i\u015fleyi\u015fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Bu durum, \u0130ran’\u0131 ABD ve \u0130srail ile bir \u00e7\u0131kmaza s\u00fcr\u00fcklerken, ate\u015fkes g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri durmu\u015f ve \u00f6nemli K\u00f6rfez rotalar\u0131 kesintiye u\u011fram\u0131\u015f durumda. Reuters’\u0131n aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131 analistlere g\u00f6re, altyap\u0131, sanayi ve petrol ihracat\u0131ndaki […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":15262,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15261","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-iran-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15261","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15261"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15261\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/15262"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15261"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15261"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15261"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}