Ortado\u011fu’daki sava\u015f ve El Ni\u00f1o’nun d\u00fcnya g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011fini tehdit etmesiyle k\u00fcresel pirin\u00e7 k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kap\u0131da. \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden temel yak\u0131t ve g\u00fcbre ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 sekteye u\u011fratt\u0131.<\/p>\n
Asyal\u0131 \u00e7ift\u00e7ilerin g\u00fcbre k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 artan yak\u0131t maliyetleri nedeniyle ekim alanlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmas\u0131yla k\u00fcresel pirin\u00e7 arz\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Yakla\u015fan El Ni\u00f1o hava durumu modelinin de d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en \u00e7ok t\u00fcketilen temel g\u0131da maddesinin \u00fcretimini daha da k\u0131s\u0131tlamas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n
Pirin\u00e7, k\u00fcresel g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011fi i\u00e7in temel bir g\u0131dad\u0131r ve k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck aksakl\u0131klar bile fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131na neden olarak hanehalk\u0131 b\u00fct\u00e7eleri \u00fczerinde, \u00f6zellikle Asya ve Afrika’daki fiyat duyarl\u0131 t\u00fcketiciler i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli bir bask\u0131 olu\u015fturabilir. Bu acil endi\u015fe, BM G\u0131da ve Tar\u0131m \u00d6rg\u00fct\u00fc’n\u00fcn (FAO) Nisan ay\u0131ndaki, 2025\/26’ya kadar pirin\u00e7 \u00fcretiminde %2’lik bir art\u0131\u015fla rekor seviyeye ula\u015faca\u011f\u0131 tahmininin aksine bir durum te\u015fkil ediyor.<\/p>\n
\u00dcreticiler ve t\u00fcccarlara g\u00f6re, \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n yans\u0131malar\u0131 Tayland ve Vietnam gibi b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat\u00e7\u0131 \u00fclkelerin yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Filipinler ve Endonezya gibi ithalata ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 \u00fclkelerdeki \u00e7ift\u00e7ileri \u015fimdiden etkiliyor. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma, K\u00f6rfez’i uluslararas\u0131 pazarlara ba\u011flayan kritik bir deniz ge\u00e7idi olan H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden temel yak\u0131t ve g\u00fcbre ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 bozdu.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya’n\u0131n \u00e7o\u011funlukla k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7ift\u00e7ileri de, El Ni\u00f1o hava olay\u0131n\u0131n y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00f6lgeye daha s\u0131cak ve kurak ko\u015fullar getirmesiyle artan bir stresle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. BM FAO ba\u015f ekonomisti Maximo Torero, “Baz\u0131 \u00fclkelerdeki \u00e7ift\u00e7iler pirin\u00e7 ekimine \u015fimdiden ba\u015flad\u0131 ve fiyatlar y\u00fckseldi\u011fi i\u00e7in daha az girdi kullan\u0131yorlar,” dedi. “Y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda ve gelecek y\u0131l\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda daha s\u0131k\u0131 bir k\u00fcresel arz durumu g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.”<\/p>\n
2008’de, kilit tedarik\u00e7ilerin ihracat k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 fiyatlar\u0131 ton ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 1.000 dolara \u00e7\u0131kararak iki kat\u0131ndan fazla art\u0131rm\u0131\u015f ve bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede huzursuzlu\u011fa yol a\u00e7m\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Daha yak\u0131n zamanda, 2022-2023’teki arz s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131, Hindistan’\u0131n ihracat k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131yla daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015ferek fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fckseltmi\u015f ve panik al\u0131mlar\u0131na neden olmu\u015ftu.<\/p>\n
Tedarik zinciri aksakl\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/p>\n
Medya ile konu\u015fma yetkisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in isminin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131n\u0131 istemeyen Singapur merkezli \u00f6nde gelen k\u00fcresel bir pirin\u00e7 t\u00fcccar\u0131, “Lojistik bir kabusa d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc, \u00f6zellikle Asya’da polipropilen torba s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131s\u0131, pirinci limanlara ta\u015f\u0131mak i\u00e7in s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kamyon bulunabilirli\u011fi ve nakliyat\u0131n kendisi aksad\u0131,” dedi. G\u00fcbre k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve kurakl\u0131k G\u00fcneydo\u011fu Asya’da hasat edilen k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck mahsullerin verimini \u015fimdiden d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken, bir sonraki mahsul muhtemelen daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir azalmayla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya kalacak.<\/p>\n
Hindistan, Tayland ve Filipinler ana \u00fcr\u00fcnlerini Haziran ve Temmuz aylar\u0131nda ekerken, Vietnam ve Endonezya \u015fu anda ikinci sezon \u00fcr\u00fcnlerini ekiyor. \u00c7o\u011fu Asyal\u0131 \u00fcretici y\u0131lda iki veya \u00fc\u00e7 pirin\u00e7 \u00fcr\u00fcn\u00fc yeti\u015ftiriyor.<\/p>\n
\u00c7ift\u00e7iler ekimi azaltt\u0131<\/p>\n
Bangkok’un yakla\u015f\u0131k 151 km (94 mil) kuzeyindeki Tayland’\u0131n Chai Nat eyaletinde 60 ya\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00e7ift\u00e7i Sripai Kaew-Eam, y\u00fcksek g\u00fcbre ve yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n \u00fcretim maliyetlerini rai ba\u015f\u0131na (0,4 d\u00f6n\u00fcm) yakla\u015f\u0131k 6.000 baht’a (183,99 $) \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, \u00f6nceki \u00fcr\u00fcn i\u00e7in bu rakam\u0131n 4.500 ila 5.000 baht aras\u0131nda oldu\u011funu, hasat etti\u011fi kabuklu pirin\u00e7 i\u00e7in ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 fiyat\u0131n ise metrik ton ba\u015f\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131k 6.200 baht oldu\u011funu s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcbre fiyatlar\u0131 torba ba\u015f\u0131na 850 baht’tan 1.000 ila 1.200 baht’a y\u00fckselerek kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 yar\u0131ya indirmesine neden oldu. “G\u00fcbre fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek, yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131 y\u00fcksek,” dedi.<\/p>\n
D\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck pirin\u00e7 ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 Filipinler de benzer bir durumla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya. Entegre K\u0131rsal Kalk\u0131nma Vakf\u0131 icra direkt\u00f6r\u00fc Arze Glipo, “Baz\u0131 \u00e7ift\u00e7iler \u015fimdi ekim yapmayabileceklerini veya g\u00fcbre kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 azaltacaklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyorlar, bu da ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz olarak \u00fcretimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecektir,” dedi.<\/p>\n
\u00dclkenin \u00fcretimi tipik 19 milyon ila 20 milyon tondan 6 milyon tona kadar d\u00fc\u015febilir. Glipo, “Bu durum Filipinler’i tehlikeli bir konuma sokar, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc ithalat da ihracat k\u0131s\u0131tlamalar\u0131 nedeniyle belirsizdir ve herhangi bir \u00fcretim a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kapatmay\u0131 son derece zorla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131r,” dedi.<\/p>\n
Endonezya’da ise g\u00fcbre arz\u0131 bir k\u0131s\u0131tlama de\u011fil ancak El Ni\u00f1o’nun \u00fcretimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesi bekleniyor. Endonezya istatistik b\u00fcrosu, Mart-May\u0131s d\u00f6neminde pirin\u00e7 hasat alan\u0131n\u0131n %10,6 azalarak 3,85 milyon hektara (9,5 milyon d\u00f6n\u00fcm) d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini, kabuklu pirin\u00e7 \u00fcretiminin ise %11,12 azalarak 20,68 milyon tona d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini tahmin ediyor.<\/p>\n
Arz endi\u015felerine ra\u011fmen, d\u00fcnya y\u0131llarca s\u00fcren rekor \u00fcretimlerin ard\u0131ndan bol miktarda pirin\u00e7 sto\u011funa sahip; d\u00fcnyan\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck ihracat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 Hindistan, ABD Tar\u0131m Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 verilerine g\u00f6re k\u00fcresel stoklar\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k be\u015fte birini olu\u015fturan rekor 42 milyon ton pirin\u00e7 tutuyor ve k\u00fcresel \u00fcretimdeki herhangi bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc tamponluyor. FAO’dan Torero, \u00e7o\u011fu pirin\u00e7 t\u00fcr\u00fc fiyat\u0131n\u0131n \u015fu anda sabit oldu\u011funu ancak H\u00fcrm\u00fcz’deki durum hemen \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fclse bile muhtemelen artaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi.<\/p>\n
Bo\u011faz\u0131n yak\u0131nda a\u00e7\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir arz sorununu \u00f6nleyece\u011fini ancak “e\u011fer bunu \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki iki ila \u00fc\u00e7 hafta i\u00e7inde yeniden a\u00e7mazsak, durum olduk\u00e7a ciddile\u015fecek,” dedi.
\n($1 = 32.61 baht)<\/p>\n
#Pirin\u00e7K\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131
\n#G\u0131daG\u00fcvenli\u011fi
\n#Ortado\u011fuSava\u015f\u0131
\n#ElNi\u00f1o
\n#K\u00fcreselArz
\n#Tar\u0131m
\n#G\u00fcbreFiyatlar\u0131
\n#Yak\u0131tMaliyetleri
\n#H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131
\n#AsyaTar\u0131m\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Ortado\u011fu’daki sava\u015f ve El Ni\u00f1o’nun d\u00fcnya g\u0131da g\u00fcvenli\u011fini tehdit etmesiyle k\u00fcresel pirin\u00e7 k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 kap\u0131da. \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinden temel yak\u0131t ve g\u00fcbre ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 sekteye u\u011fratt\u0131. Asyal\u0131 \u00e7ift\u00e7ilerin g\u00fcbre k\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 artan yak\u0131t maliyetleri nedeniyle ekim alanlar\u0131n\u0131 azaltmas\u0131yla k\u00fcresel pirin\u00e7 arz\u0131n\u0131n bu y\u0131l d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Yakla\u015fan El Ni\u00f1o hava durumu modelinin de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":13786,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13785","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13785","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13785"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13785\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13786"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13785"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13785"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13785"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}