{"id":13750,"date":"2026-04-30T23:00:17","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T19:30:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=13750"},"modified":"2026-04-30T23:00:17","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T19:30:17","slug":"ortadogudaki-catisma-golgesinde-fransanin-gsyih-buyumesi-ilk-ceyrekte-duraksadi-euro-bolgesi-stagflasyon-cikmazinda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=13750&lang=tr","title":{"rendered":"Ortado\u011fu’daki \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma G\u00f6lgesinde Fransa’n\u0131n GSY\u0130H B\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u0130lk \u00c7eyrekte Duraksad\u0131, Euro B\u00f6lgesi ‘Stagflasyon’ \u00c7\u0131kmaz\u0131nda"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ortado\u011fu’daki \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma G\u00f6lgesinde Fransa’n\u0131n GSY\u0130H B\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u0130lk \u00c7eyrekte Duraksad\u0131, Euro B\u00f6lgesi ‘Stagflasyon’ \u00c7\u0131kmaz\u0131nda<\/Strong><\/h1>\n

Fransa Ulusal \u0130statistik ve Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (INSEE) verilerine g\u00f6re, durgun ticaret ve zay\u0131f i\u00e7 talebin etkisiyle \u00fclkenin Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131las\u0131 (GSY\u0130H), 2026’n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe k\u0131yasla sabit kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Zhitong Finance APP’nin aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, Fransa ekonomisi ilk \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcme kaydedemeyerek, \u0130ran’daki sava\u015f\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi stagflasyon tehditleri kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131lganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koydu. Fransa Ulusal \u0130statistik Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc’nden al\u0131nan veriler, zay\u0131f ticaret ve yetersiz i\u00e7 talep nedeniyle 2026’n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011findeki GSY\u0130H’nin bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe g\u00f6re de\u011fi\u015fmedi\u011fini g\u00f6steriyor. Bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyrekteki b\u00fcy\u00fcme oran\u0131 %0,2 iken, bu sonu\u00e7 anket yap\u0131lan ekonomistlerin bekledi\u011fi %0,2’lik medyan tahminin de alt\u0131nda kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

2026 Ba\u015f\u0131nda Fransa’da Ekonomik B\u00fcy\u00fcme Yok<\/Strong><\/h2>\n

Per\u015fembe g\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131klanan veriler, Euro B\u00f6lgesi’ndeki b\u00fcy\u00fck ekonomiler i\u00e7in yo\u011fun bir veri ak\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 oldu ve 21 \u00fcyeli Euro B\u00f6lgesi’nin genel verileriyle sonu\u00e7land\u0131. Bu verilerin %0,2’lik istikrarl\u0131 bir b\u00fcy\u00fcme g\u00f6stermesi bekleniyor. Bu verilerin ard\u0131ndan euro, \u00f6nceki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fc s\u00fcrd\u00fcrerek dolar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda %0,1 de\u011fer kaybederek 1,1661 seviyesinden i\u015flem g\u00f6rd\u00fc.<\/p>\n

Ancak, bu raporlar Ortado\u011fu’daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n patlak vermesinden sonraki ilk ay\u0131 kapsad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in, Avrupa’da \u015fu anda ya\u015fanan ekonomik yava\u015flaman\u0131n tam boyutunu yans\u0131tm\u0131yor. Y\u00fckselen enerji maliyetleri ekonominin t\u00fcm sekt\u00f6rlerine yay\u0131l\u0131rken, \u00fcretim faaliyetlerini sekteye u\u011frat\u0131yor ve enflasyonu 2022’den bu yana en b\u00fcy\u00fck art\u0131\u015f\u0131na ta\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131 (ECB) bug\u00fcn ilerleyen saatlerde faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 %2 seviyesinde tutmas\u0131 beklenirken, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ekonomik sonu\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011ferlendirmeye ve yan\u0131t \u00f6nlemlerini ayarlamaya devam edecek. Ancak piyasalar, ECB’nin Haziran ay\u0131nda faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve y\u0131l sonuna kadar iki kez daha zam yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yayg\u0131n olarak tahmin ediyor.<\/p>\n

\u00c7e\u015fitli anketler, i\u015fletmeler ve hane halk\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki fiyat beklentilerinin artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi\u011finden, bir miktar s\u0131k\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma politikas\u0131n\u0131n gerekli olabilece\u011fi belirtiliyor. GSY\u0130H rakamlar\u0131yla birlikte a\u00e7\u0131klanan Euro B\u00f6lgesi enflasyon verileri, enflasyonun Mart ay\u0131ndaki %2,6’dan %3’e h\u0131zland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterebilir.<\/p>\n

Fiyatlardaki keskin art\u0131\u015f, \u00fcretimi azaltma risklerini daha da art\u0131r\u0131yor. Hem Fransa hem de \u0130talya b\u00fcy\u00fcme tahminlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken, Almanya 2026 i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fcme projeksiyonunu %0,5’e indirdi. Avrupa Komisyonu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 von der Leyen daha \u00f6nce, hasar\u0131n y\u0131llarca s\u00fcrece\u011fi konusunda uyarm\u0131\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

Mevcut durumda, Frans\u0131z verileri ekonominin ilk \u00e7eyrekte t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131ndaki %0,1’lik d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ve hane halk\u0131 yat\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki %0,7’lik gerileme ile zaten k\u0131s\u0131tland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. 2025 sonunda duraksayan kurumsal yat\u0131r\u0131mlar da bu \u00e7eyrekte %0,2 azald\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130hracat\u0131n %3,8 d\u00fc\u015fmesiyle net ticaret, GSY\u0130H’ye %0,7 oran\u0131nda olumsuz katk\u0131da bulundu. Envanter birikimi bu s\u00fcr\u00fcklenmeyi dengeleyerek b\u00fcy\u00fcmeye %0,8’lik bir destek sa\u011flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran’daki Sava\u015f G\u00fcven Endekslerini D\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrd\u00fc<\/Strong><\/h2>\n

Yay\u0131nlanan ba\u015fka bir rapor, t\u00fcketici harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n Mart ay\u0131nda %0,7 artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6sterdi, ancak bu \u015eubat ay\u0131ndaki %1,4’l\u00fck d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn ard\u0131ndan geldi ve analistler %0,8’lik biraz daha g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir toparlanma bekliyordu.<\/p>\n

Bu arada, Frans\u0131z h\u00fck\u00fcmeti \u0130ran’daki sava\u015f\u0131n bu y\u0131l ulusal b\u00fct\u00e7eye 6 milyar avroya (yakla\u015f\u0131k 7 milyar ABD dolar\u0131) kadar mal olaca\u011f\u0131 konusunda uyard\u0131. H\u00fck\u00fcmet, bu etkinin harcamalar\u0131n dondurulmas\u0131yla dengelenece\u011fini belirtti.<\/p>\n

#FransaEkonomisi #GSY\u0130H #EuroB\u00f6lgesi #Stagflasyon #Ortado\u011fu\u00c7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 #Enflasyon #ECB #EkonomikB\u00fcy\u00fcme #\u0130ranSava\u015f\u0131 #T\u00fcketiciHarcamalar\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ortado\u011fu’daki \u00c7at\u0131\u015fma G\u00f6lgesinde Fransa’n\u0131n GSY\u0130H B\u00fcy\u00fcmesi \u0130lk \u00c7eyrekte Duraksad\u0131, Euro B\u00f6lgesi ‘Stagflasyon’ \u00c7\u0131kmaz\u0131nda Fransa Ulusal \u0130statistik ve Ekonomik Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (INSEE) verilerine g\u00f6re, durgun ticaret ve zay\u0131f i\u00e7 talebin etkisiyle \u00fclkenin Gayri Safi Yurti\u00e7i Has\u0131las\u0131 (GSY\u0130H), 2026’n\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde bir \u00f6nceki \u00e7eyre\u011fe k\u0131yasla sabit kald\u0131. Zhitong Finance APP’nin aktard\u0131\u011f\u0131na g\u00f6re, Fransa ekonomisi ilk \u00e7eyrekte b\u00fcy\u00fcme […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":13751,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13750","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13750","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13750"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13750\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13751"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13750"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13750"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13750"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}