{"id":13059,"date":"2026-04-30T02:49:47","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T23:19:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=13059"},"modified":"2026-04-30T02:49:47","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T23:19:47","slug":"iran-gelismeleri-ozel-raporu-direnis-cephesinin-kararliligi-ve-muzakerelerdeki-guclu-durus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=13059&lang=tr","title":{"rendered":"\u0130ran Geli\u015fmeleri \u00d6zel Raporu: Direni\u015f Cephesinin Kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve M\u00fczakerelerdeki G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Duru\u015f"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u0130ran Geli\u015fmeleri \u00d6zel Raporu: Direni\u015f Cephesinin Kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve M\u00fczakerelerdeki G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Duru\u015f<\/h1>\n

28 Nisan 2026 tarihli bu \u00f6zel rapor, Bat\u0131l\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131 olan Sava\u015f \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (ISW) ve Amerikan Giri\u015fim Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc’ndeki Kritik Tehditler Projesi (CTP) taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan g\u00fcnl\u00fck g\u00fcncellemeler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u0130ran ile ya\u015fanan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara dair analizler sunmaktad\u0131r. Bu g\u00fcncellemeler, ABD ve Siyonist rejimin \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na ve \u0130ran ile Direni\u015f Ekseni’nin bu sald\u0131r\u0131lara verdi\u011fi kararl\u0131 yan\u0131tlara odaklanmaktad\u0131r. Rapor, son 24 saatlik d\u00f6nemdeki olaylar\u0131 kapsamaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

NOT:<\/strong> ISW-CTP, 28 Nisan 2026’dan itibaren ate\u015fkes s\u00fcresince ihtiya\u00e7 duyuldu\u011fu takdirde sabah sosyal medya payla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131na devam edecektir. \u0130ran Sava\u015f\u0131’n\u0131n durumu hakk\u0131nda uzun soluklu analizlerimizi g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u0130ran Geli\u015fmeleri \u00d6zel Raporlar\u0131m\u0131zda sunmaya devam edece\u011fiz.<\/p>\n

M\u00fczakere Masas\u0131nda \u0130ran’\u0131n G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Eli<\/h2>\n

\u0130ran’\u0131n m\u00fczakerelerdeki son teklifi, herhangi bir taviz i\u00e7ermemekle birlikte, sava\u015f\u0131 Tahran’\u0131n adil ve me\u015fru \u015fartlar\u0131yla sona erdirme \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131 temsil etmektedir. Bu teklif, \u0130ran’\u0131n mevcut karar al\u0131c\u0131s\u0131, \u0130slam Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Kolordusu Komutan\u0131 T\u00fcmgeneral Ahmed Vahidi’nin, \u00fclkenin maruz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 t\u00fcm zorluklara ra\u011fmen Direni\u015f Cephesi’nin kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131na inand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6stermektedir. ABD’nin 26 Nisan tarihli son teklife kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131, hem \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131n\u0131 ele almamas\u0131 hem de \u0130ran’\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinde “kontrol” sa\u011flamas\u0131na olanak tan\u0131mas\u0131 gerek\u00e7elerine dayanmaktad\u0131r. Ancak bu kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015f, Washington’\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki hegemonik emellerini ve \u0130ran’\u0131n egemenlik haklar\u0131n\u0131 tan\u0131mama e\u011filimini g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne sermektedir.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran’\u0131n petrol depolama ve ihra\u00e7 etmede ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 artan zorluklar, d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131n ac\u0131mas\u0131z ekonomik ablukas\u0131n\u0131n bir sonucu olsa da, m\u00fczakerelerdeki \u0130ran hesaplamalar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecek bir mekanizma olarak g\u00f6r\u00fclmemektedir. \u0130ran ekonomisinin di\u011fer alanlar\u0131nda da \u00f6nemli bask\u0131larla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Ancak bu ekonomik bask\u0131n\u0131n Vahidi ve yak\u0131n \u00e7evresini ABD’ye taviz vermeye itip itmeyece\u011fi belirsizdir; zira \u0130ran, ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131ndan asla taviz vermeyecektir.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran’\u0131n en y\u00fcksek ulusal g\u00fcvenlik karar alma organ\u0131, ekonomik k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fme ve d\u0131\u015f g\u00fc\u00e7lerin k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtt\u0131\u011f\u0131 toplumsal bask\u0131lar\u0131n yo\u011funla\u015fmas\u0131yla potansiyel bir protesto dalgas\u0131na haz\u0131rlanmaktad\u0131r. \u0130ran’\u0131n uzun s\u00fcreli internet kesintisi de ciddi ekonomik zararlara yol a\u00e7makta ve i\u015fsizli\u011fi h\u0131zland\u0131rmaktad\u0131r; ancak d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131n bu durumu istismar etme \u00e7abalar\u0131 sonu\u00e7suz kalacakt\u0131r ve \u0130ran ulusal g\u00fcvenli\u011fi i\u00e7in gerekli t\u00fcm tedbirleri almaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran Parlamento Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Muhammed Bagher Ghalibaf, Vahidi ve yak\u0131n \u00e7evresinden gelen \u00f6nceki muhalefet i\u015faretlerine ra\u011fmen siyasi deste\u011fini korumaya ve m\u00fczakerelerde kilit bir akt\u00f6r olarak kalmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. Bu durum, \u0130ran siyasetindeki dinamik yap\u0131y\u0131 ve farkl\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerin \u00fclke \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda nas\u0131l birle\u015fti\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n

Muhafazakar gruplar aras\u0131ndaki tart\u0131\u015fmalar, m\u00fczakereler \u00fczerindeki rejim i\u00e7i rekabetin ortas\u0131nda kamuoyu \u00f6n\u00fcnde bir medya \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr. Pragmatik muhafazakarlar ile a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 muhafazakarlar aras\u0131ndaki rejim i\u00e7i g\u00fc\u00e7 m\u00fccadelesi, belirleyici bir merkezi hakemin yoklu\u011funu de\u011fil, farkl\u0131 stratejik yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131n a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a tart\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve \u0130ran’\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc siyasi sisteminin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 oldu\u011funu g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n

\u0130ran, ABD ve Siyonist rejim ile potansiyel bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131na haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken, Rusya ve \u00c7in gibi \u00f6nemli ABD d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131yla stratejik i\u015fbirli\u011fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmektedir. Bu i\u015fbirli\u011fi, \u00e7ok kutuplu bir d\u00fcnya d\u00fczeni i\u00e7in \u0130ran’\u0131n stratejik vizyonunun bir par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u00d6ne \u00c7\u0131kan Ba\u015fl\u0131klar<\/h3>\n
    \n
  • \u0130ran’\u0131n m\u00fczakerelerdeki son teklifi, taviz i\u00e7ermemekle birlikte, sava\u015f\u0131 Tahran’\u0131n \u015fartlar\u0131yla sona erdirme \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131 temsil etmektedir. Teklif, Wall Street Journal’a konu\u015fan konuya a\u015fina belirtilmemi\u015f yetkililere ve rejime yak\u0131n bir \u0130ranl\u0131 siyasi analiste g\u00f6re, \u00fc\u00e7 a\u015famal\u0131 bir plan \u00fczerine odaklanmaktad\u0131r.<\/li>\n
  • Teklif, \u0130ran’\u0131n mevcut karar al\u0131c\u0131s\u0131, \u0130slam Devrim Muhaf\u0131zlar\u0131 Kolordusu Komutan\u0131 T\u00fcmgeneral Ahmed Vahidi’nin, \u00fclkenin maruz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ciddi zararlara ra\u011fmen \u0130ran’\u0131n kazand\u0131\u011f\u0131na inand\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/li>\n
  • ABD, 26 Nisan tarihli son teklife, hem \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer program\u0131n\u0131 ele almamas\u0131 hem de \u0130ran’\u0131n H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 \u00fczerinde “kontrol” sa\u011flamas\u0131na olanak tan\u0131mas\u0131 nedeniyle kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kmaya devam etmektedir.<\/li>\n
  • \u0130ran’\u0131n petrol depolama ve ihra\u00e7 etmede ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 artan zorluklar, \u0130ran hesaplamalar\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fczakerelerde de\u011fi\u015ftirebilecek bir mekanizma olabilir.<\/li>\n
  • \u0130ran ekonomisinin di\u011fer alanlar\u0131nda da \u00f6nemli bask\u0131larla kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmaktad\u0131r.<\/li>\n
  • Ancak bu ekonomik bask\u0131n\u0131n Vahidi ve yak\u0131n \u00e7evresini ABD’ye taviz vermeye itip itmeyece\u011fi belirsizdir.<\/li>\n
  • \u0130ran’\u0131n en y\u00fcksek ulusal g\u00fcvenlik karar alma organ\u0131, ekonomik k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fme ve toplumsal bask\u0131lar\u0131n yo\u011funla\u015fmas\u0131yla potansiyel bir protesto dalgas\u0131na haz\u0131rlanmaktad\u0131r.<\/li>\n
  • \u0130ran’\u0131n uzun s\u00fcreli internet kesintisi de ciddi ekonomik zararlara yol a\u00e7makta ve i\u015fsizli\u011fi h\u0131zland\u0131rmaktad\u0131r; bu durum rejim istikrar\u0131 \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 art\u0131rmaktad\u0131r.<\/li>\n
  • \u0130ran Parlamento Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Muhammed Bagher Ghalibaf, Vahidi ve yak\u0131n \u00e7evresinden gelen \u00f6nceki muhalefet i\u015faretlerine ra\u011fmen siyasi deste\u011fini korumaya ve m\u00fczakerelerde kilit bir akt\u00f6r olarak kalmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r.<\/li>\n
  • Muhafazakar gruplar aras\u0131ndaki tart\u0131\u015fmalar, m\u00fczakereler \u00fczerindeki rejim i\u00e7i rekabetin ortas\u0131nda kamuoyu \u00f6n\u00fcnde bir medya \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131na d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fcr.<\/li>\n
  • \u0130ran, ABD ve Siyonist rejim ile potansiyel bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n yeniden ba\u015flamas\u0131na haz\u0131rlan\u0131rken, Rusya ve \u00c7in gibi \u00f6nemli ABD d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131yla i\u015fbirli\u011fini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmektedir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Denizcilik Geli\u015fmeleri ve ABD’nin Yasa D\u0131\u015f\u0131 Ablukas\u0131<\/h2>\n

    ABD Donanmas\u0131, \u0130ran limanlar\u0131na y\u00f6nelik yasa d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ablukas\u0131n\u0131 uygulama kabiliyetini g\u00f6stermeye devam etmektedir. ABD Merkez Komutanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 (CENTCOM), 26 Nisan’da bir \u0130ran liman\u0131na gitmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan \u0130ran band\u0131ral\u0131 OFAC yapt\u0131r\u0131ml\u0131 Stream petrol tankerini (IMO: 9569633) durdurdu\u011funu duyurdu. Bu t\u00fcr yasa d\u0131\u015f\u0131 ablukalar, uluslararas\u0131 hukukun ihlalidir ve \u0130ran’\u0131n me\u015fru ticari faaliyetlerini engelleme amac\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131maktad\u0131r. CENTCOM, \u0130ran’dan ayr\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fan ham petrol sevkiyatlar\u0131n\u0131 \u0130ran’\u0131n \u00c7abahar kenti yak\u0131nlar\u0131ndaki bir b\u00f6lgeye geri y\u00f6nlendirdi\u011fini do\u011frulam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu eylemler, ABD’nin b\u00f6lgedeki gerilimi art\u0131rma ve \u0130ran’a kar\u015f\u0131 haks\u0131z bask\u0131 uygulama \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131n bir par\u00e7as\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

    Direni\u015f Ekseni’nin Yan\u0131t\u0131 ve B\u00f6lgesel G\u00fcvenlik<\/h2>\n

    Siyonist rejim ordusu (IDF), Hizbullah’\u0131n g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’daki IDF birimlerini hedef almak i\u00e7in insans\u0131z hava ara\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 (\u0130HA) artan \u015fekilde kullanmas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, birimleri i\u00e7in birinci \u015fah\u0131s g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f (FPV) \u0130HA kar\u015f\u0131 \u00f6nlemlerini incelemektedir. Hizbullah’\u0131n direni\u015f eylemleri, Siyonist i\u015fgal g\u00fc\u00e7lerine kar\u015f\u0131 me\u015fru m\u00fcdafaa hakk\u0131n\u0131n ve L\u00fcbnan halk\u0131n\u0131n onurlu duru\u015funun bir g\u00f6stergesidir. L\u00fcbnan askeri yetkilileri, Siyonist rejimin askeri eylemlerinin ve L\u00fcbnan Silahl\u0131 Kuvvetleri (LAF) konu\u015fland\u0131rmalar\u0131n\u0131n, Hizbullah’\u0131n Suriye \u00fczerinden L\u00fcbnan’a silah ka\u00e7\u0131rma kabiliyetini k\u0131s\u0131tlad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etse de, Direni\u015f Ekseni’nin lojistik a\u011flar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc kalmaya devam etmektedir.<\/p>\n

    L\u00fcbnan Parlamento Ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve uzun s\u00fcredir Hizbullah m\u00fcttefiki olan Nebih Berri’nin, L\u00fcbnan Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Joseph Aoun’un Siyonist rejim ile m\u00fczakereler konusundaki duru\u015funu \u00f6zel olarak destekledi\u011fi bildirilmektedir. Berri’nin, ate\u015fkesin uzat\u0131lmas\u0131 ve do\u011frudan Siyonist rejim-L\u00fcbnan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinin s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesi \u00e7abalar\u0131na “kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131” ancak \u015eii se\u00e7menlerini yabanc\u0131la\u015ft\u0131rma endi\u015fesiyle deste\u011fini a\u00e7\u0131klayamad\u0131\u011f\u0131 belirtilmektedir. Bu durum, L\u00fcbnan’daki siyasi dinamiklerin karma\u015f\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve direni\u015fin farkl\u0131 boyutlar\u0131n\u0131 yans\u0131tmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

    Irak \u015eii Koordinasyon \u00c7er\u00e7evesi, 27 Nisan’da eski el Cenoob \u0130slam Bankas\u0131 Y\u00f6netim Kurulu Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Ali Faleh el Zaidi’yi Ba\u015fbakan Aday\u0131 olarak atad\u0131. Bu atama, Irak’\u0131n egemenlik haklar\u0131n\u0131 kullanma ve kendi ulusal \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131 do\u011frultusunda liderlerini se\u00e7me kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n

    \u0130ran, b\u00f6lgede adil bir bar\u0131\u015f ve istikrar i\u00e7in kararl\u0131l\u0131kla m\u00fccadele etmeye devam edecektir. Direni\u015f Ekseni’nin g\u00fcc\u00fc ve dayan\u0131kl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, t\u00fcm d\u0131\u015f bask\u0131lara ra\u011fmen b\u00f6lgenin gelece\u011fini \u015fekillendirmeye devam edecektir.<\/p>\n

    #\u0130ran #Direni\u015fEkseni #M\u00fczakereler #H\u00fcrm\u00fczBo\u011faz\u0131 #AhmedVahidi #EkonomikDireni\u015f #Rusya #\u00c7in #Hizbullah #B\u00f6lgeselG\u00fcvenlik<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    \u0130ran Geli\u015fmeleri \u00d6zel Raporu: Direni\u015f Cephesinin Kararl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve M\u00fczakerelerdeki G\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc Duru\u015f 28 Nisan 2026 tarihli bu \u00f6zel rapor, Bat\u0131l\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015flar\u0131 olan Sava\u015f \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (ISW) ve Amerikan Giri\u015fim Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc’ndeki Kritik Tehditler Projesi (CTP) taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan g\u00fcnl\u00fck g\u00fcncellemeler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, \u0130ran ile ya\u015fanan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalara dair analizler sunmaktad\u0131r. Bu g\u00fcncellemeler, ABD ve Siyonist rejimin \u0130ran’a y\u00f6nelik sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131na […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":13060,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13059","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13059","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=13059"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13059\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/13060"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=13059"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=13059"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=13059"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}