{"id":12817,"date":"2026-04-29T20:09:39","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T16:39:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=12817"},"modified":"2026-04-29T20:09:39","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T16:39:39","slug":"ortadogu-enerji-krizi-ingiltere-ekonomisine-35-milyar-sterlinlik-darbe-vurabilir-uzmanlar-uyariyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/?p=12817&lang=tr","title":{"rendered":"Ortado\u011fu Enerji Krizi, \u0130ngiltere Ekonomisine 35 Milyar Sterlinlik Darbe Vurabilir: Uzmanlar Uyar\u0131yor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n \u0130ran&#8217;a kar\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi Ortado\u011fu enerji krizi, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi i\u00e7in ciddi sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furuyor.<\/strong> \u00d6nde gelen bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, en iyi senaryoda bile bu krizin \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinden 35 milyar sterlin silebilece\u011fi konusunda uyar\u0131da bulundu.<\/p>\n<p>Ulusal Ekonomik ve Sosyal Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Niesr) taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan karamsar yeni projeksiyonlara g\u00f6re, b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n uzun s\u00fcrmesi durumunda \u0130ngiltere, bu y\u0131l\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda bir resesyona s\u00fcr\u00fcklenebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Niesr direkt\u00f6r\u00fc David Aikman, bu tahminlerin, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin \u0130ngiltere ekonomisini yeniden b\u00fcy\u00fctme misyonuna <strong>\u201cciddi bir darbe\u201d<\/strong> vurdu\u011funu belirtti. Aikman, Ortado\u011fu&#8217;daki krizin <strong>\u201c\u0130ngiltere&#8217;nin k\u00fcresel enerji \u015foklar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 hala y\u00fcksek derecede savunmas\u0131z oldu\u011funu a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a ortaya koydu\u011funu\u201d<\/strong> ifade etti. Aikman, d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131klar h\u0131zla sona erse bile, artan enerji fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n hane halk\u0131n\u0131 yoksulla\u015ft\u0131raca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, i\u015fletmeleri daha y\u00fcksek maliyetlerle kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya b\u0131rakaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ve ekonominin birka\u00e7 ay \u00f6ncesine g\u00f6re <strong>\u201cmaddi olarak daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck\u201d<\/strong> kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 vurgulad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>ABD-\u0130srail&#8217;in \u0130ran&#8217;a y\u00f6nelik \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmas\u0131, \u0130ngiltere i\u00e7in zaten daha yava\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve daha y\u00fcksek enflasyon uyar\u0131lar\u0131na yol a\u00e7t\u0131. \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n bu yaz mevcut %3,75 olan faiz oranlar\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rmas\u0131 bekleniyor. Niesr, Temmuz ay\u0131nda %4&#8217;e y\u00fckseli\u015f \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor, ancak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmadan kaynaklanan kal\u0131c\u0131 enflasyonist bask\u0131lar olursa, oranlar\u0131n %5,25&#8217;e kadar \u00e7\u0131kabilece\u011fi konusunda uyar\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>En iyimser senaryosunda bile, yani sava\u015f\u0131n bu y\u0131l i\u00e7inde \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme kavu\u015ftu\u011fu varsay\u0131m\u0131nda, kurulu\u015f bu y\u0131l ekonomik b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin %0,9&#8217;a, gelecek y\u0131l ise %1&#8217;e d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini tahmin ediyor. Bu rakamlar, ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki %1,4&#8217;l\u00fck b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda kal\u0131yor. Daha \u00f6nce Niesr, bu y\u0131l %1,4 ve 2027&#8217;de %1,3 b\u00fcy\u00fcme \u00f6ng\u00f6rm\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Niesr, \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n h\u0131zl\u0131 bir \u015fekilde sona ermesi durumunda bile, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinin 2026 ve 2027 y\u0131llar\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k 35 milyar sterlin daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;nin \u0130ngiltere ekonomisini b\u00fcy\u00fctme hedefleri \u00fczerinde belirsizlik yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti.<\/p>\n<p>Tahminler ayr\u0131ca, ge\u00e7en ay %3,3&#8217;e y\u00fckselen enflasyonun %2,5&#8217;e d\u00fc\u015fece\u011fini ve ard\u0131ndan artan enerji fiyatlar\u0131yla birlikte Ocak ay\u0131nda %4,1 ile zirve yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. Niesr&#8217;e g\u00f6re, enflasyon \u0130ngiltere Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n %2&#8217;lik hedef oran\u0131na 2028&#8217;e kadar geri d\u00f6nmeyecek.<\/p>\n<p>Bu arada, kullan\u0131labilir gelirdeki b\u00fcy\u00fcmenin gelecek y\u0131l %1&#8217;e, bir sonraki y\u0131l ise %0,6&#8217;ya yava\u015flamas\u0131 bekleniyor.<\/p>\n<p>Bu hafta ba\u015f\u0131nda Ba\u015fbakan, \u0130ran&#8217;daki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ekonomik etkileri nedeniyle insanlar\u0131n al\u0131\u015fveri\u015f al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 ve tatil planlar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirmek zorunda kalabilece\u011fi konusunda uyard\u0131, ancak halk\u0131 pani\u011fe kap\u0131lmamaya \u00e7a\u011f\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Sir Keir Sky News&#8217;teki Cathy Newman Show&#8217;a verdi\u011fi deme\u00e7te \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201c\u0130ngiltere \u00fczerinde bir etkisi olacak. Zaten var. Ve H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131&#8217;n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131k tutmak i\u00e7in elimizden gelen her \u015feyi yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 halka a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a belirtmemin ger\u00e7ekten \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu, etkiyi en aza indirmek a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan hayati \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yor. Ancak kimsenin, bo\u011faz a\u00e7\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda hasar\u0131n sona erece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmesini istemiyorum. Bu, daha uzun s\u00fcrecek.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u015eu anda tedarik konusunda kendimize g\u00fcveniyoruz. Kuzey Do\u011fu&#8217;da bir CO2 tesisini yeniden a\u00e7t\u0131k. Havayollar\u0131 bize \u015fu anda yeterli jet yak\u0131t\u0131na sahip olduklar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yl\u00fcyorlar.\u201d Ancak ekledi: \u201c\u00c7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ne kadar s\u00fcrece\u011fini g\u00f6rece\u011fiz.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u015eunlar\u0131 s\u00f6yledi: \u201cDaha fazla etki olursa, insanlar\u0131n al\u0131\u015fkanl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 de\u011fi\u015ftirebilece\u011fini g\u00f6rebiliyorum\u2026 bu y\u0131l nereye tatile gidecekleri, s\u00fcpermarkette ne sat\u0131n ald\u0131klar\u0131 gibi \u015feyler.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Bu ay\u0131n ba\u015flar\u0131nda, ABD Ba\u015fkan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 JD Vance, \u0130\u015f\u00e7i Partisi&#8217;ni ele\u015ftirmi\u015f ve <strong>\u201corta s\u0131n\u0131f \u0130ngilizlerin\u201d<\/strong> artan enerji maliyetleri nedeniyle i\u015fe gidemedi\u011fini iddia etmi\u015fti. Ancak Vance, bu fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n <strong>Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n \u0130ran&#8217;daki sava\u015f\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 kabul etmeyi ihmal etmi\u015fti.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h2>\u0130lgili Etiketler:<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>#Ortado\u011fuKrizi<\/li>\n<li>#EnerjiKrizi<\/li>\n<li>#\u0130ngiltereEkonomisi<\/li>\n<li>#\u0130ranSava\u015f\u0131<\/li>\n<li>#EkonomikEtki<\/li>\n<li>#ResesyonRiski<\/li>\n<li>#Enflasyon<\/li>\n<li>#FaizArt\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/li>\n<li>#K\u00fcresel\u015eoklar<\/li>\n<li>#JeopolitikRiskler<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Trump&#8217;\u0131n \u0130ran&#8217;a kar\u015f\u0131 ba\u015flatt\u0131\u011f\u0131 sava\u015f\u0131n tetikledi\u011fi Ortado\u011fu enerji krizi, \u0130ngiltere ekonomisi i\u00e7in ciddi sonu\u00e7lar do\u011furuyor. \u00d6nde gelen bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnce kurulu\u015fu, en iyi senaryoda bile bu krizin \u0130ngiltere ekonomisinden 35 milyar sterlin silebilece\u011fi konusunda uyar\u0131da bulundu. Ulusal Ekonomik ve Sosyal Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (Niesr) taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan karamsar yeni projeksiyonlara g\u00f6re, b\u00f6lgedeki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n uzun s\u00fcrmesi durumunda \u0130ngiltere, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":12818,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12817","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12817","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=12817"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12817\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/12818"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=12817"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=12817"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=12817"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}