Merhaba, ben ABC Ortado\u011fu muhabiri Matthew Doran ve Kud\u00fcs’ten bildiriyorum. Bug\u00fcnden itibaren, Ortado\u011fu sava\u015f\u0131nda ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeleri ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde nelere dikkat edilmesi gerekti\u011fini i\u00e7eren haftal\u0131k bir g\u00fcncelleme sunaca\u011f\u0131m.<\/p>\n
Sava\u015f\u0131n 58. g\u00fcn\u00fc, ABD, \u0130srail ve \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki s\u00fcresiz uzat\u0131lan ate\u015fkesin 19. g\u00fcn\u00fc, L\u00fcbnan’daki ate\u015fkesin 10. g\u00fcn\u00fc ve ABD’nin \u0130ran’a uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ablukan\u0131n 14. g\u00fcn\u00fc geride kald\u0131.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015fte bilmeniz gerekenler:<\/p>\n
Pazar g\u00fcn\u00fc \u0130srail sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’\u0131n baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgelerini hedef ald\u0131. Litani Nehri’nin kuzeyindeki k\u00f6yler i\u00e7in tahliye uyar\u0131lar\u0131 yap\u0131ld\u0131; bu, \u0130srail’in ge\u00e7en ayki i\u015fgali s\u0131ras\u0131nda ele ge\u00e7irdi\u011fi ve i\u015fgal etti\u011fi b\u00f6lgeden L\u00fcbnan topraklar\u0131n\u0131n daha derinlerine inildi\u011fi anlam\u0131na geliyor. Sosyal medyada payla\u015f\u0131lan g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcler, b\u00fcy\u00fck patlamalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan ya\u015fananlar\u0131 ve insanlar\u0131n b\u00f6lgeden ayr\u0131lmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131rken olu\u015fan yo\u011fun trafi\u011fi g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serdi.<\/p>\n
L\u00fcbnan’da teknik olarak bir ate\u015fkes y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fckte ve ge\u00e7en hafta Donald Trump bunun \u00fc\u00e7 hafta uzat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 duyurdu. Buna ra\u011fmen, \u0130srail Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Binyamin Netanyahu, Hizbullah’\u0131 \u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7lerine sald\u0131rarak ate\u015fkese uymamakla su\u00e7lad\u0131. Hizbullah ise \u0130srail’in sald\u0131rgan oldu\u011funu iddia etti ve \u0130srail ile L\u00fcbnan devleti aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fczakereleri ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z diplomasi olarak ele\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n
ABD ve \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki ikinci tur m\u00fczakerelerde ilerleme oldu\u011funa dair \u00e7ok az i\u015faret var. Donald Trump, \u00fcst d\u00fczey dan\u0131\u015fmanlar\u0131 Steve Witkoff ve Jared Kushner’in arabuluculuk yapan Pakistan’a yapaca\u011f\u0131 geziyi iptal etti. Trump, \u0130ran’\u0131 par\u00e7alanm\u0131\u015f bir liderli\u011fe sahip, da\u011f\u0131n\u0131k bir durumda olmakla su\u00e7lad\u0131. Y\u00fcksek g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir heyeti g\u00fcvenli bir \u015fekilde \u015fehre getirmek i\u00e7in gerekli t\u00fcm ekipman\u0131 ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131 muhtemel ABD askeri kargo u\u00e7aklar\u0131 ayr\u0131l\u0131rken g\u00f6r\u00fcld\u00fc.<\/p>\n
Ancak \u0130ran devlet medyas\u0131, \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 Abbas Aragchi’nin \u015fimdi \u0130slamabad’a d\u00f6nd\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc bildirdi. Hafta sonu oradayd\u0131, ard\u0131ndan daha fazla g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme i\u00e7in Umman’a gitti. Moskova’ya ge\u00e7mesi bekleniyordu. Ne ABD ne de \u0130ran, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131’n\u0131n kontrol\u00fc veya \u0130ran’\u0131n n\u00fckleer emellerinin gelece\u011fi gibi kilit konularda ilerleme belirtisi g\u00f6stermedi.<\/p>\n
\u0130\u015fte \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde nelere dikkat etmeli:<\/p>\n
L\u00fcbnan’daki durumu tan\u0131mlarken, \u00f6zellikle devam eden \u0130srail ve Hizbullah sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, neden s\u00fcrekli “ate\u015fkes” terimini kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 merak ediyor olabilirsiniz. Bu \u00f6nemli bir soru. “Ate\u015fkes”i tan\u0131mlamak gerekirse, kelimenin kendisi olduk\u00e7a a\u00e7\u0131klay\u0131c\u0131d\u0131r: ate\u015f etmeyi b\u0131rak\u0131rs\u0131n\u0131z. Ancak son geli\u015fmeler, g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’daki durumun ne kadar gergin oldu\u011funu ve ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump’\u0131n her \u015feyi kimsenin yapamayaca\u011f\u0131 bir \u015fekilde d\u00fczeltti\u011fini iddia etmek istemesine ra\u011fmen, b\u00f6lgede bir t\u00fcr g\u00f6receli bar\u0131\u015fa ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in asl\u0131nda uzun bir yol oldu\u011funu g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n
L\u00fcbnan’daki ilk 10 g\u00fcnl\u00fck ate\u015fkes, ABD’nin arabuluculu\u011funda \u0130srail ile L\u00fcbnan aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler sonucunda, ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki ate\u015fkesin y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmesinin ard\u0131ndan ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti \u2013 ki bir\u00e7ok ki\u015fi \u0130srail’in bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere Beyaz Saray taraf\u0131ndan kat\u0131lmaya zorland\u0131\u011f\u0131na inan\u0131yor. Bay Trump, ikinci tur g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeler ba\u015flarken ge\u00e7en hafta \u00fc\u00e7 haftal\u0131k bir uzatma duyurdu.<\/p>\n
Ate\u015fkes, derinden travmatize olmu\u015f bir n\u00fcfus taraf\u0131ndan sahada memnuniyetle kar\u015f\u0131lan\u0131rken, hemen sorunlar ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131:
\n\u0130srail g\u00fc\u00e7leri g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’\u0131 i\u015fgali s\u0131ras\u0131nda toprak ele ge\u00e7irmi\u015fti ve b\u00f6lgeyi i\u015fgal etmeye devam etmeyi ama\u00e7l\u0131yordu.
\nHizbullah, \u0130srail ile L\u00fcbnan aras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerin bir par\u00e7as\u0131 de\u011fildi ve \u0130srail’in eylemleri g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda L\u00fcbnan devletini bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri s\u00fcrd\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc i\u00e7in ele\u015ftirdi.
\n\u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalar \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yat\u0131\u015fsa da tamamen durmad\u0131. \u0130srail, g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’daki iddia edilen Hizbullah hedeflerine ate\u015f etmeye devam etti ve Hizbullah da misilleme yapmaya devam etti \u2013 veya tam tersi.<\/p>\n
\u0130srail ve L\u00fcbnan devleti, Hizbullah’\u0131 ortadan kald\u0131rma konusunda ortak bir \u00e7\u0131kara sahip. Ancak ABD ile birlikte, bunu Hizbullah’\u0131 i\u015fin i\u00e7ine katmadan yapmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yorlar. Hizbullah da g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelere ilgi g\u00f6stermiyor ve \u0130srail’e kar\u015f\u0131 direni\u015f olarak tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015feyi b\u0131rakmayacak.<\/p>\n
G\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’daki ate\u015fkeslerin nas\u0131l sonu\u00e7land\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6rmek i\u00e7in yak\u0131n tarihin sayfalar\u0131na \u00e7ok fazla gitmenize gerek yok. 2024’\u00fcn sonlar\u0131nda, \u0130srail ve Hizbullah, Hizbullah’\u0131n g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’dan \u00e7ekilmesi gerekti\u011fi konusunda anla\u015ft\u0131lar. \u00c7ekilmedi. L\u00fcbnan Ordusu’nun eski Hizbullah b\u00f6lgelerine girip grubu silahs\u0131zland\u0131rmas\u0131 gerekiyordu. Yapmad\u0131. \u0130srail’in L\u00fcbnan topraklar\u0131ndan tamamen \u00e7ekilmesi gerekiyordu. \u00c7ekilmedi. \u0130srail’in g\u00fcney L\u00fcbnan’daki hedeflere sald\u0131rmay\u0131 durdurmas\u0131 gerekiyordu. Durmad\u0131, alg\u0131lanan tehditlere kar\u015f\u0131 hareket etme hakk\u0131n\u0131 sakl\u0131 tuttu\u011funu savundu. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, mevcut durum sadece isimde bir ate\u015fkes olabilir.<\/p>\n
Trump destek\u00e7isi Adelson ailesi taraf\u0131ndan finanse edilen \u00fclkenin g\u00fcnl\u00fck \u00fccretsiz gazetesi Israel Hayom, \u00fcst d\u00fczey bir h\u00fck\u00fcmet kayna\u011f\u0131na at\u0131fta bulunarak, \u0130srail’in Hizbullah’\u0131 durdurman\u0131n askeri bir yolu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtti. Kaynak ayr\u0131ca, ate\u015fkesin Hizbullah’\u0131n \u0130srail’in kuzey s\u0131n\u0131r\u0131na roket at\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 durdurman\u0131n tek yolu oldu\u011funu ve bir dizi duyurunun aksine, g\u00fcvenlik kabinesinin IDF’ye Hizbullah’\u0131n askeri g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc ortadan kald\u0131rma talimat\u0131 vermedi\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bu, \u015fu anki y\u00fcksek sesli g\u00f6\u011f\u00fcs germe ortam\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fcleyici bir itiraf ve krizin kalbine iniyor.<\/p>\n
Ve i\u015fte takip edece\u011fim \u015feyler:<\/p>\n
Sava\u015f\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra, Binyamin Netanyahu’ya kar\u015f\u0131 uzun s\u00fcredir devam eden yolsuzluk davas\u0131nda bir geli\u015fme ya\u015fand\u0131. \u0130srail Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Isaac Herzog, ba\u015fbakana af \u00e7\u0131karmay\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnmeye haz\u0131r olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 do\u011frulad\u0131 ve mahkeme d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda taraflar aras\u0131nda bir anla\u015fmaya var\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in \u00e7abalar\u0131n \u00f6nce t\u00fcketilmesi gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6yledi. Bunu yorumlaman\u0131n bir yolu: Bay Netanyahu’nun, Bay Herzog m\u00fcdahale etmeden \u00f6nce su\u00e7unu kabul etmesi gerekiyor, ki bunu yapmay\u0131 reddediyor. Ba\u015fbakan\u0131n bu konumunda herhangi bir de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6rmesi pek olas\u0131 de\u011fil, ancak bu \u0130srail’de daha fazla siyasi tart\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 ve belki de ABD ba\u015fkan\u0131ndan iyi arkada\u015f\u0131 Bibi lehine daha fazla bask\u0131y\u0131 k\u00f6r\u00fckleyebilir.<\/p>\n
Bana kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131z i\u00e7in te\u015fekk\u00fcrler. Gelecek hafta ayn\u0131 saatte g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmek \u00fczere.<\/p>\n
#Ortado\u011fu #\u0130srail #L\u00fcbnan #Hizbullah #Ate\u015fkes #ABD\u0130ran\u0130li\u015fkileri #Netanyahu #Diplomasi #B\u00f6lgeselGerilim #Sava\u015f<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Merhaba, ben ABC Ortado\u011fu muhabiri Matthew Doran ve Kud\u00fcs’ten bildiriyorum. Bug\u00fcnden itibaren, Ortado\u011fu sava\u015f\u0131nda ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmeleri ve \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki g\u00fcnlerde nelere dikkat edilmesi gerekti\u011fini i\u00e7eren haftal\u0131k bir g\u00fcncelleme sunaca\u011f\u0131m. Sava\u015f\u0131n 58. g\u00fcn\u00fc, ABD, \u0130srail ve \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki s\u00fcresiz uzat\u0131lan ate\u015fkesin 19. g\u00fcn\u00fc, L\u00fcbnan’daki ate\u015fkesin 10. g\u00fcn\u00fc ve ABD’nin \u0130ran’a uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ablukan\u0131n 14. g\u00fcn\u00fc geride kald\u0131. \u0130\u015fte […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10258,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-10257","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-orta-dogu-haberleri"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10257","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=10257"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10257\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/10258"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=10257"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=10257"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/fajr.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=10257"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}