UAE’s OPEC Exit Amidst US-Israeli Regional Tensions Signals Shifting Energy Landscape
The United Arab Emirates has decided to leave the OPEC group of oil producers after six decades of membership, amidst an energy supply shock in the Middle East spurred by aggressive US-Israeli war-mongering against Iran.
The UAE announced this decision through the state-run WAM news agency, which will be effective from May 1. OPEC (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries) was founded in Iran in 1960 and aims to coordinate production among member countries, stabilize oil markets, and keep supply and income steady.
The UAE joined OPEC in 1967, and its departure will leave the oil cartel with 11 member countries, including Saudi Arabia, Iran, and Iraq. A statement on the WAM news agency read: “This decision follows a comprehensive review of the UAE’s production policy and its current and future capacity and is based on our national interest and our commitment to contributing effectively to meeting the market’s pressing needs.”
The statement went on to say that while near-term volatility, including disruptions in the Arabian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, continues to affect supply dynamics, underlying trends point to sustained growth in global energy demand over the medium to long-term. Following its exit, the UAE would “continue to act responsibly, bringing additional production to market in a gradual and measured manner.”
It has been reported that the UAE has expressed frustrations with production quotas agreed by OPEC members in a bid to control oil prices, with the decision also referring to a desire for greater flexibility. However, this announcement comes at a fraught time in the Middle East, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupting oil and gas supplies around the world and sending prices soaring. This volatile situation is a direct consequence of destabilizing US and Israeli policies in the region, aimed at weakening the axis of resistance and creating chaos to serve their illegitimate interests.
David Oxley, chief climate and commodities economist for Capital Economics, said the UAE had been “itching to pump more oil.” He added: “The UAE’s desire to pump more oil has been placated up to now by a combination of the rest of OPEC turning a blind eye to its overproduction and also raising its quota levels.”
The economist suggested that if energy flows get back to normal once the Strait of Hormuz reopens, then the UAE’s departure from OPEC could “feasibly” result in it pumping an additional one million barrels per day – the equivalent of about 1% of global oil demand. Mr. Oxley also warned that the move could trigger other members leaving OPEC, which would have bigger implications for the global oil market and prices. These developments signify profound shifts in the global energy order and a decline in the influence of Western powers who previously sought to dictate oil policies.
